2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota

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2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota
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  Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Home state California Florida
Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance
Projected electoral vote100
Popular vote1,656,9791,519,032
Percentage50.92%46.68%
Minnesota Presidential Election Results 2024.svg
MN-24-pres-districts.svg
2024 United States Presidential Election in Minnesota by Precinct.svg
President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic (DFL)

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Minnesota voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Minnesota has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. [1]

Contents

Democrat Kamala Harris, running with Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, won the state by 4.2 points, marking the thirteenth consecutive Democratic presidential win in Minnesota, the longest-active such streak of any U.S. state. Her margin was lower than Joe Biden's 7-point margin in 2020, but better than Hillary Clinton's 1.5-point margin in 2016. Prior to the election, all major news organizations considered Minnesota a state Harris would win, or otherwise a lean to likely blue state.

Background

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term and became the Democratic presumptive nominee, but he withdrew from the race on July 21. [2] [3] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day. [4] The Republican nominee was former president Donald Trump. [5] Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has qualified for the ballot. [6] Harris selected Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate. [7] This decision was seen as a strategic effort to bolster support in the Midwest as well as among progressives. Walz's local popularity, progressive stances, and his record of addressing state-level issues were expected to positively influence voter turnout in Minnesota, and potentially secure the state for the Democratic ticket. [8]

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Minnesota Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Minnesota Republican primary, March 5, 2024 [9] [10]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 232,84668.94%27027
Nikki Haley 97,18228.77%12012
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)4,0851.21%000
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)1,4700.44%000
Chris Christie (withdrawn)1,4310.42%000
Write-ins 7200.21%000
Total:337,014100.00%39039

Democratic primary

The Minnesota Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Minnesota Democratic primary, March 5, 2024 [11]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
PledgedUnpledgedTotal
Joe Biden (incumbent)171,27870.1%6464
Uncommitted 45,91418.8%1111
Dean Phillips 18,9607.8%
Marianne Williamson 3,4591.4%
Write-in votes 2,0000.8%
Jason Palmer 7580.3%
Cenk Uygur 6920.3%
Armando Perez-Serrato3720.2%
Gabriel Cornejo3230.1%
Frankie Lozada2900.1%
Eban Cambridge2350.1%
Total:244,281100%751792

The Minnesota Legal Marijuana Now primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

2024 Minnesota Legal Marijuana Now primary
CandidateVotesPercentageDelegates
Krystal Gabel (withdrew)75928.84%-
Dennis Schuller 45917.44%7
Vermin Supreme 39715.08%6
Rudy Reyes 36513.87%5
Edward Forchion 1686.38%2
Willie Nelson (write-in)190.72%0
Other write-ins 46517.67%-
Total:2,632100.00%20
Source: [12]

General election

Candidates

The following presidential candidates received ballot access in Minnesota: [13]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [14] Likely DAugust 27, 2024
Inside Elections [15] Lean DApril 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] Likely DAugust 6, 2024
The Economist [17] Likely DAugust 23, 2024
CNalysis [18] Solid DAugust 6, 2024
CNN [19] Lean DAugust 25, 2024
538 [20] Likely DAugust 23, 2024
NBC News [21] Likely DOctober 6, 2024
YouGov [22] Likely DOctober 16, 2024
Split Ticket [23] Likely DNovember 1, 2024

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Undecided
[a] 		Margin
270ToWin [24] October 16–November 4, 2024November 4, 202449.8%43.6%6.6%Harris +6.2%
538 [25] through November 4, 2024November 4, 202450.0%44.2%5.8%Harris +5.8%
Silver Bulletin [26] through November 3, 2024November 3, 202450.4%43.9%5.7%Harris +6.5%
The Hill/DDHQ [27] through November 3, 2024November 3, 202449.9%45.5%4.6%Harris +4.4%
Average50.0%44.3%5.7%Harris +5.7%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel [28] November 3–4, 20242,065 (LV)± 2.0%49%47%4%
Research Co. [29] November 2–3, 2024450 (LV)± 4.6%51%44%5%
ActiVote [30] October 9 – November 1, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%52%48%–
SurveyUSA [31] [A] October 24–28, 2024728 (LV)± 4.0%51%43%5% [c]
Rasmussen Reports (R) [32] [B] October 24–26, 2024959 (LV)± 3.0%50%47%3% [c]
CES/YouGov [33] October 1–25, 20241,278 (A)–52%44%4%
1,275 (LV)53%43%4%
Embold Research/MinnPost [34] October 16–22, 20241,734 (LV)± 2.4%48%45%7% [d]
ActiVote [35] September 10 – October 9, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%53%47%–
SurveyUSA [36] [A] September 23–26, 2024646 (LV)± 4.3%50%44%6%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [37] [B] September 19−22, 2024993 (LV)± 3.0%49%46%5%
Mason-Dixon [38] [C] September 16−18, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%48%43%9% [c]
Morning Consult [39] September 9−18, 2024517 (LV)± 4.0%50%43%7%
Embold Research/MinnPost [40] September 4–8, 20241,616 (LV)± 2.8%49%45%6% [e]
Morning Consult [39] August 30 – September 8, 2024501 (LV)± 4.0%51%44%5%
SurveyUSA [41] [A] August 27–29, 2024635 (LV)± 4.5%48%43%9%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
SurveyUSA [42] [A] July 23–25, 2024656 (LV)± 4.4%50%40%10% [f]
Fox News [43] July 22–24, 20241,071 (RV)± 3.0%52%46%2%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian		Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel [28] November 3–4, 20242,065 (LV)± 2.0%49%47%–2%1%1% [g]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [44] October 12–14, 2024544 (LV)–51%43%–1%0%5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [45] September 27 – October 2, 2024551 (LV)–51%43%–0%1%5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [46] September 16–19, 2024703 (LV)–50%44%–1%0%5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [47] September 6–9, 2024617 (LV)–51%44%–0%0%5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian		Other /
Undecided
Chism Strategies [48] October 28–30, 2024534 (LV)± 4.2%48%43%1%–1%0%7% [h]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [49] August 12–15, 2024592 (LV)–47%40%3%–0%0%10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [50] July 31 – August 3, 2024538 (LV)–46%41%3%–0%0%10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [51] July 22–24, 2024475 (LV)–44%41%6%–1%0%8%
Fox News [43] July 22–24, 20241,071 (RV)± 3.0%47%41%7%1%1%–3%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College [52] June 13–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%45%45%10%
1,000 (RV)± 3.0%51% [i] 49%–
SurveyUSA [53] [A] June 12–16, 2024626 (LV)± 4.3%47%41%12% [j]
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [54] [D] June 9–11, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%45%47%8%
SurveyUSA [55] [A] May 8–11, 2024625 (LV)± 4.3%44%42%14% [k]
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [56] [D] April 29 – May 1, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%46%49%5%
John Zogby Strategies [57] [E] April 13–21, 2024417 (LV)–46%44%10%
SurveyUSA [58] [A] April 3–7, 2024608 (LV)± 4.9%44%42%14% [l]
SurveyUSA [59] [A] February 23–28, 20241,603 (LV)± 2.8%42%38%20% [k]
SurveyUSA [60] [A] January 24–29, 20241,594 (LV)± 2.8%42%39%19% [k]
Big Data Poll (R) [61] November 18–23, 2023854 (RV)± 3.4%37%38%25% [m]
784 (LV)39%39%22% [n]
Embold Research/MinnPost [62] November 14–17, 20231,519 (LV)± 2.6%45%42%13%
Emerson College [63] October 1–4, 2023477 (LV)± 4.4%40%38%22%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [64] May 6–8, 2023500 (LV)–48%40%12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College [52] June 13–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%41%42%6%1%1%9%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [54] [D] June 9–11, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%37%41%7%2%2%11%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [56] [D] April 29 – May 1, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%40%40%9%1%1%9%
Big Data Poll (R) [61] November 18–23, 2023854 (RV)± 3.4%35%36%8%2%2%17% [o]
784 (LV)37%37%9%2%2%13% [o]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Mason-Dixon [65] [C] June 3–5, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%45%41%6%9%
Big Data Poll (R) [61] November 18–23, 2023854 (RV)± 3.4%35%35%9%21% [p]
784 (LV)38%36%9%17% [p]
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [57] [E] April 13–21, 2024417 (LV)–40%46%14%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [57] [E] April 13–21, 2024417 (LV)–47%36%17%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Fox News [43] July 22–24, 20241,071 (RV)± 3.0%49%46%5%

Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Josh
Shapiro
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Fox News [43] July 22–24, 20241,071 (RV)± 3.0%49%45%6%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [64] May 6–8, 2023500 (LV)–45%43%12%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota [66]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic (DFL)
1,656,979 50.92 −1.48%
Republican
1,519,03246.68+1.40%
We the People
24,0010.74N/A
Green
16,2750.50+0.19%
Libertarian
15,1550.47−0.60%
Justice For All
3,1360.10N/A
Socialism and Liberation
2,9960.09+0.05%
Independent
2,8850.09N/A
Socialist Workers
4570.01−0.01%
Write-in 13,0040.40+0.10%
Total votes3,253,920 100.00 N/A

By county

CountyKamala Harris
DFL		Donald Trump
Republican		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %
Aitkin 3,52433.74%6,74164.53%1811.73%-3,217-30.79%10,446
Anoka 97,66746.40%106,97450.82%5,8402.77%-9,307-4.42%210,481
Becker 6,43532.60%12,96165.66%3431.74%-6,526-33.06%19,739
Beltrami 11,49346.20%12,89851.85%4831.94%-1,405-5.65%24,874
Benton 7,08431.04%15,26066.86%4802.10%-8,176-35.82%22,824
Big Stone 96434.14%1,79663.60%642.27%-832-29.46%2,824
Blue Earth 17,55848.18%18,00149.40%8832.42%-443-1.22%36,442
Brown 4,57631.35%9,69266.39%3302.26%-5,116-35.04%14,598
Carlton 9,90547.59%10,43550.13%4752.28%-530-2.54%20,815
Carver 31,86946.08%35,58651.45%1,7052.47%-3,717-5.37%69,160
Cass 6,30032.54%12,75965.89%3041.57%-6,459-33.35%19,363
Chippewa 2,02632.07%4,17566.08%1171.85%-2,149-34.01%6,318
Chisago 11,89433.41%23,04764.74%6601.85%-11,153-31.33%35,601
Clay 16,12149.04%15,96548.56%7882.40%1560.48%32,874
Clearwater 1,16924.28%3,57574.26%701.45%-2,406-49.98%4,814
Cook 2,41666.01%1,14231.20%1022.79%1,27434.81%3,660
Cottonwood 1,70528.47%4,15769.42%1262.10%-2,452-40.95%5,988
Crow Wing 14,17333.45%27,42364.73%7701.82%-13,250-31.28%42,366
Dakota 143,26755.14%109,99542.34%6,5432.52%33,27212.80%259,805
Dodge 4,10832.91%8,09564.84%2812.25%-3,987-31.93%12,484
Douglas 7,93831.62%16,72666.62%4421.76%-8,788-35.00%25,106
Faribault 2,35230.31%5,24767.61%1622.09%-2,895-37.30%7,761
Fillmore 4,49136.26%7,63861.67%2562.07%-3,147-25.41%12,385
Freeborn 6,44838.60%10,00359.88%2531.51%-3,555-21.28%16,704
Goodhue 11,73140.71%16,46157.12%6252.17%-4,730-16.41%28,817
Grant 1,18733.50%2,26663.96%902.54%-1,079-30.46%3,543
Hennepin 502,71069.80%197,24427.39%20,2192.81%305,46642.41%720,173
Houston 4,66740.84%6,54757.29%2141.87%-1,880-16.45%11,428
Hubbard 4,53633.31%8,80964.69%2722.00%-4,273-31.38%13,617
Isanti 7,38428.49%18,02769.55%5071.96%-10,643-41.06%25,918
Itasca 10,46739.00%15,86359.10%5101.90%-5,396-20.10%26,840
Jackson 1,58128.01%3,94969.97%1142.02%-2,368-41.96%5,644
Kanabec 2,71828.01%6,81870.27%1671.72%-4,100-42.26%9,703
Kandiyohi 7,81433.56%15,01464.48%4551.95%-7,200-30.92%23,283
Kittson 91136.44%1,53561.40%542.16%-624-24.96%2,500
Koochiching 2,46536.31%4,20461.92%1201.77%-1,739-25.61%6,789
Lac qui Parle 1,31432.88%2,60065.07%822.05%-1,286-32.19%3,996
Lake 3,53450.82%3,26546.95%1552.23%2693.87%6,954
Lake of the Woods 60425.73%1,71072.86%331.41%-1,106-47.13%2,347
Le Sueur 5,63632.26%11,50365.85%3301.89%-5,867-33.59%17,469
Lincoln 97230.05%2,19067.70%732.26%-1,218-37.65%3,235
Lyon 4,28432.98%8,40064.67%3062.36%-4,116-31.69%12,990
Mahnomen 97544.66%1,16553.37%431.97%-190-8.71%2,183
Marshall 1,17723.39%3,77475.01%801.59%-2,597-51.62%5,031
Martin 3,17129.37%7,44268.93%1831.70%-4,271-39.56%10,796
McLeod 6,37430.07%14,39467.90%4312.03%-8,020-37.83%21,199
Meeker 3,80227.76%9,64570.43%2471.80%-5,843-42.67%13,694
Mille Lacs 4,37428.80%10,57069.59%2461.62%-6,196-40.79%15,190
Morrison 4,30621.20%15,66677.12%3411.68%-11,360-55.92%20,313
Mower 8,31243.82%10,29754.28%3601.90%-1,985-10.46%18,969
Murray 1,32927.87%3,34670.16%941.97%-2,017-42.29%4,769
Nicollet 9,44148.62%9,54049.13%4362.25%-99-0.51%19,417
Nobles 2,59931.41%5,54166.96%1351.63%-2,942-35.55%8,275
Norman 1,23337.43%1,96359.59%982.98%-730-22.16%3,294
Olmsted 49,12154.02%39,46743.41%2,3362.57%9,65410.61%90,924
Otter Tail 11,75231.99%24,27666.08%7081.93%-12,524-34.09%36,736
Pennington 2,43933.04%4,75664.44%1862.52%-2,317-31.40%7,381
Pine 5,33931.57%11,27466.67%2981.76%-5,935-35.10%16,911
Pipestone 1,21525.12%3,53773.12%851.76%-2,322-48.00%4,837
Polk 4,96732.21%10,16265.91%2901.88%-5,195-33.70%15,419
Pope 2,39833.22%4,67764.80%1431.98%-2,279-31.58%7,218
Ramsey 195,16870.20%75,28427.08%7,5732.72%119,88443.12%278,025
Red Lake 64230.34%1,42567.34%492.32%-783-37.00%2,116
Redwood 2,30027.62%5,89570.80%1311.57%-3,595-43.18%8,326
Renville 2,28028.29%5,61069.62%1682.08%-3,330-41.33%8,058
Rice 17,35347.66%18,26450.16%7952.18%-911-2.50%36,412
Rock 1,58529.50%3,69068.68%981.82%-2,105-39.18%5,373
Roseau 2,09324.63%6,27973.88%1271.49%-4,186-49.25%8,499
St. Louis 66,33555.74%50,06542.07%2,6092.19%16,27013.67%119,009
Scott 40,21444.61%47,83753.07%2,0902.32%-7,623-8.46%90,141
Sherburne 18,32931.62%38,49166.41%1,1401.97%-20,162-34.79%57,960
Sibley 2,35127.54%6,01470.45%1722.01%-3,663-42.91%8,537
Stearns 30,82935.59%53,93262.25%1,8712.16%-23,103-26.66%86,632
Steele 7,65036.65%12,74261.05%4802.30%-5,092-24.40%20,872
Stevens 1,82735.55%3,21362.52%991.93%-1,386-26.97%5,139
Swift 1,61832.01%3,34066.09%961.90%-1,722-34.08%5,054
Todd 3,07222.39%10,39275.75%2541.85%-7,320-53.36%13,718
Traverse 59733.13%1,16564.65%402.22%-568-31.52%1,802
Wabasha 4,72134.95%8,52363.09%2651.96%-3,802-28.14%13,509
Wadena 1,89823.59%6,02874.91%1211.50%-4,130-51.32%8,047
Waseca 3,40232.75%6,77065.18%2152.07%-3,368-32.43%10,387
Washington 90,32453.28%75,27144.40%3,9412.32%15,0538.88%169,536
Watonwan 1,72334.93%3,08762.58%1232.49%-1,364-27.65%4,933
Wilkin 98629.41%2,29068.30%772.30%-1,304-38.89%3,353
Winona 12,92946.51%14,28851.40%5802.09%-1,359-4.89%27,797
Wright 30,88334.30%57,21163.54%1,9472.16%-26,328-29.24%90,041
Yellow Medicine 1,54828.61%3,73869.09%1242.29%-2,190-40.48%5,410
Totals1,656,97950.92%1,519,03246.68%77,9092.40%137,9474.24%3,253,920
2024 Minnesota County Swings in U.S. Presidential Election.svg
2024 Minnesota County Flips in U.S. Presidential Election.svg
Results by precinct in Minneapolis Harris 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% 2024 presidential election results by precinct in Minneapolis.svg
Results by precinct in Minneapolis
  Harris
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90-100%

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Harris and Trump each won 4 of 8 congressional districts. [68]

DistrictHarrisTrumpOtherRepresentative
1st 43%55%2% Brad Finstad
2nd 52%46%2% Angie Craig
3rd 59%38%3% Dean Phillips (118th Congress)
Kelly Morrison (119th Congress)
4th 66%31%1% Betty McCollum
5th 79%18%3% Ilhan Omar
6th 39%59%2% Tom Emmer
7th 31%67%2% Michelle Fischbach
8th 42%56%2% Pete Stauber

Analysis

An upper Midwestern state at the western end of the Great Lakes, Minnesota is seen as a moderately blue state. It has the longest active streak of voting for Democratic presidential nominees of any U.S. state; the last Republican to win Minnesota was Richard Nixon in 1972, against the backdrop of his 49-state landslide reelection; and it was also the only state to not back Ronald Reagan in 1984, with favorite son Walter Mondale victorious in his home state by a slim margin. However, presidential elections in Minnesota have consistently been competitive in the 21st century, with no Democrat carrying the state by double digits with the exception of Midwesterner Barack Obama in 2008 narrowly doing so by 10.2 percentage points. Minnesota was considered to be a Democratic-leaning state in this election; in the weeks leading up to Joe Biden's withdrawal from the presidential campaign, polls indicated a somewhat tight race in the state, but when Kamala Harris became the Democratic nominee, Minnesota polls shifted somewhat more in the Democrats' favor.

Republican Donald Trump narrowly flipped four Minnesota counties that Biden had won in 2020: Carlton, located in the unionized, formerly heavily Democratic and now competitive Iron Range and home to Cloquet; Blue Earth, anchored by Mankato, where Minnesota State University is located; Nicollet, anchored by North Mankato and St. Peter; and Winona, home to the town of the same name, the location of Winona State University; all of the aforementioned cities nevertheless remained in Harris' column. [69] Trump became the first Republican presidential nominee to win Carlton County since Herbert Hoover in 1928. With Harris narrowly winning Clay County, which houses Moorhead, this was the first presidential election since 1988 in which said county did not back the winning candidate; during that election, it favored Democrat Michael Dukakis over Republican George H. W. Bush. [70]

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. 1 2 3 "Other" with 2%
  4. ↑ "Other" with 5%
  5. ↑ "Another candidate" with 4%
  6. ↑ "Other" with 4%
  7. ↑ "Other" with 1%
  8. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  9. ↑ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  10. ↑ "Other" with 6%
  11. 1 2 3 "Other" with 9%
  12. ↑ "Other" with 11%
  13. ↑ "Another third party candidate" with 12%; "Would not vote" with 3%
  14. ↑ "Another third party candidate" with 13%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  15. 1 2 "Would not vote" with 3%
  16. 1 2 "Another third party candidate" with 8%; "Would not vote" with 3%
  17. ↑ Placeholder for Butch Ware, Stein's vice presidential nominee.

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV, WDIO-TV, & KAAL-TV
  2. 1 2 Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  3. 1 2 Poll sponsored by KARE11, Minnesota Public Radio & the Star Tribune
  4. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  5. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

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References

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  64. 1 2 "DeSantis is tied with Biden in Virginia and within striking distance of the President in three other '24 "reach" states. Trump is poised to lose these four states for a third time". X . May 12, 2023.
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