2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

Last updated

2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire
Flag of New Hampshire.svg
  2016 November 8, 2022 2028  
  Maggie Hassan, official portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg BG Donald C. Bolduc (cropped 2).jpg
Nominee Maggie Hassan Don Bolduc
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote332,490275,631
Percentage53.54%44.39%

2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire results map by county.svg
2022 US Senate Election in New Hampshire by congressional district.svg
2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire results map by municipality.svg
New Hampshire 2022 Senate (Wiki).svg
Hassan:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Bolduc:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No votes

U.S. senator before election

Maggie Hassan
Democratic

Elected U.S. senator

Maggie Hassan
Democratic

The 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Hampshire. [1] The primary elections were held on September 13, 2022. [2] Incumbent Senator Maggie Hassan was re-elected over Republican retired brigadier general Don Bolduc by an unexpectedly large margin of 9.1% that surpassed most polls. Hassan won her initial bid for this seat in 2016 by only 1,017 votes or 0.14%. [3] This election marked the first time a Democrat won re-election to New Hampshire's class 3 Senate seat.

Contents

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Paul Krautmann, dentist and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 [5]
  • John Riggieri [5]

Endorsements

Democratic Primary results by Municipality :
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Hassan
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60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
90-100%
Other
Hassan/Krautmann tie
No results
No polling places NH senate democratic primary by municipality 2022.png
Democratic Primary results by Municipality :

Results

Voters at a polling location in Londonderry Voters in Londonderry during the 2022 midterms.jpg
Voters at a polling location in Londonderry
Democratic primary results [26]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Maggie Hassan (incumbent) 88,146 93.77%
Democratic Paul Krautmann3,6293.86%
Democratic John Riggieri1,6801.79%
Write-in 5460.58%
Total votes94,001 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Don Bolduc

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

Chuck Morse

State officials

State legislators

  • Jess Edwards, state representative [47]
  • J. P. Marzullo, former state representative [48]
  • Frank McCarthy, former state representative [49]

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Kevin Smith

State officials

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Debates

2022 Republican primary debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Don BolducKevin SmithChuck MorseVikram MansharamaniBruce Fenton
1June 27, 2022NH JournalMichael Graham
Alicia Xanthopolous
Haris Alic
Link [60] PPPPP
2 [61] August 16, 2022 Good Morning New Hampshire Jack HeathN/APPPPP
3[ citation needed ]August 24, 2022 Newsmax John BachmannPPPNP
4September 8, 2022 New Hampshire Institute of Politics
WMUR
[62] PPPPP

Polling

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Don
Bolduc
Bruce
Fenton
Vikram
Mansharamani
Chuck
Morse
Kevin
Smith
Other
[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
Real Clear Politics [63] August 9–29, 2022August 31, 202237.5%4.5%3.5%19.0%3.5%32.0%Bolduc +18.5
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Don
Bolduc
Bruce
Fenton
Vikram
Mansharamani
Chuck
Morse
Kevin
Smith
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [64] September 7–8, 2022559 (LV)33%4%6%23%9%25%
University of New Hampshire [65] August 25–29, 2022892 (LV)± 3.3%43%5%5%22%3%2%20%
Saint Anselm College [66] August 9–11, 2022820 (RV)± 3.4%32%4%2%16%4%2%39%
University of New Hampshire [67] April 14–18, 2022315 (LV)± 5.5%33%1%2%4%1%58%

Results

Results by county
Bolduc
30-40%
40-50%
Morse
30-40%
40-50% 2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in New Hampshire results map by county.svg
Results by county
  Bolduc
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Morse
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results [68]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Don Bolduc 52,629 36.91%
Republican Chuck Morse 50,92935.71%
Republican Kevin H. Smith 16,62111.65%
Republican Vikram Mansharamani10,6907.50%
Republican Bruce Fenton6,3814.47%
Republican John Berman9610.67%
Republican Andy Martin9200.64%
Republican Tejasinha Sivalingam8320.58%
Republican Dennis Lamare7730.54%
Republican Edward Laplante7230.51%
Republican Gerard Beloin5210.36%
Democratic Maggie Hassan (incumbent) (write-in)3160.22%
Write-in 3070.21%
Total votes142,603 100.0%

Libertarian convention

Jeremy Kauffman, the Libertarian nominee Jeremy Kauffman in May 2022.png
Jeremy Kauffman, the Libertarian nominee

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated at convention

Independents

Candidates

Did not qualify

  • Steve Hattamer, physician [72]
  • Geoff Woollacott, businessman [31]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [73] Lean DAugust 18, 2022
Inside Elections [74] Tilt DJuly 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [75] Lean DAugust 31, 2022
Politico [76] TossupNovember 3, 2022
RCP [77] TossupJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News [78] Lean DSeptember 20, 2022
DDHQ [79] Lean DOctober 24, 2022
538 [80] Lean DNovember 1, 2022
The Economist [81] Lean DNovember 1, 2022

Endorsements

Maggie Hassan (D)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Individuals

Labor unions

Newspapers

Organizations

Don Bolduc (R)

U.S. executive branch officials

State officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Don
Bolduc (R)
Other
[lower-alpha 4]
Margin
Real Clear Politics [106] October 28 – November 1, 2022November 8, 202248.7%47.3%4.0%Hassan +1.4
FiveThirtyEight [107] September 23 – November 5, 2022November 8, 202248.8%46.6%4.6%Hassan +2.2
270towin [108] October 27 – November 4, 2022November 8, 202249.2%46.0%4.8%Hassan +3.2
Average48.9%46.6%4.5%Hassan +2.3
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Don
Bolduc (R)
OtherUndecided
Phillips Academy [109] November 5–6, 20221,056 (LV)± 3.0%48%45%2% [lower-alpha 5] 6%
University of New Hampshire [110] November 2–6, 20222,077 (LV)± 2.2%50%48%1% [lower-alpha 6] <1%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [111] [upper-alpha 1] November 5, 2022700 (LV)± 3.7%49%48%1% [lower-alpha 7] 2%
Data for Progress (D) [112] November 2–5, 20221,995 (LV)± 2.0%50%47%2% [lower-alpha 8]
Wick Insights (R) [113] November 2–5, 2022725 (LV)± 3.6%48%48%2% [lower-alpha 9] 1%
Emerson College [114] October 30 – November 1, 2022850 (LV)± 3.3%49%45%3% [lower-alpha 10] 3%
50%46%5% [lower-alpha 11]
The Trafalgar Group (R) [115] October 30 – November 1, 20221,241 (LV)± 2.9%46%47%4% [lower-alpha 12] 3%
Saint Anselm College [116] October 28–29, 20221,541 (LV)± 2.5%47%48%2% [lower-alpha 13] 3%
co/efficient (R) [117] October 25–26, 20221,098 (LV)± 3.2%45%45%3% [lower-alpha 14] 7%
UMass Lowell/YouGov [118] October 14–25, 2022600 (LV)± 5.1%51%41%3% [lower-alpha 15] 5%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [119] [upper-alpha 1] October 23, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%48%47%3% [lower-alpha 16] 3%
Emerson College [120] October 18–19, 2022727 (LV)± 3.6%48%45%3% [lower-alpha 17] 4%
50%45%5% [lower-alpha 18]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [121] [upper-alpha 2] October 17–19, 2022600 (LV)49%47%4%
Data for Progress (D) [122] October 14–19, 20221,392 (LV)± 3.0%50%44%3% [lower-alpha 19] 4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [123] [upper-alpha 3] October 2–6, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%52%45%2%1%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [124] September 26–30, 20221,081 (LV)± 2.9%48%45%4% [lower-alpha 20] 3%
Data for Progress (D) [125] September 23–30, 20221,147 (LV)± 3.0%50%43%3% [lower-alpha 21] 4%
Saint Anselm College [126] September 27–28, 2022901 (RV)± 3.3%49%43%4% [lower-alpha 22] 4%
Suffolk University [127] September 23–26, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%50%41%3% [lower-alpha 23] 7%
American Research Group [128] September 15–19, 2022555 (RV)± 4.2%53%40%7%
University of New Hampshire [129] September 15–19, 2022870 (LV)± 3.3%49%41%5% [lower-alpha 24] 5%
Emerson College [130] September 14–15, 2022800 (LV)± 3.4%51%40%4%5%
Data for Progress (D) [131] [lower-alpha 25] June 22 – July 8, 2022903 (LV)± 3.0%49%45%6%
Change Research (D) [132] [upper-alpha 4] June 24–27, 2022704 (LV)± 3.7%49%40%11%
University of New Hampshire [67] April 14–18, 2022868 (LV)± 3.5%47%46%1%6%
Phillips Academy [133] April 4–8, 2022533 (A)± 4.2%45%40%15%
471 (RV)± 4.5%54%39%7%
Saint Anselm College [134] March 23–24, 20221,265 (RV)± 2.8%44%39%7%10%
Saint Anselm College [135] January 11–12, 20221,215 (RV)± 2.8%43%36%10%12%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [136] December 10–12, 20211,041 (LV)± 3.0%46%40%14%
University of New Hampshire [137] October 14–18, 2021979 (LV)± 3.1%47%42%6%6%
University of New Hampshire [138] July 15–19, 20211,540 (LV)± 2.5%51%41%1%6%
University of New Hampshire [139] February 18–22, 20211,676 (LV)± 2.4%52%39%2%7%
Hypothetical polling

Maggie Hassan vs. Kelly Ayotte

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Kelly
Ayotte (R)
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire [137] October 14–18, 2021979 (LV)± 3.1%44%43%7%5%
University of New Hampshire [138] July 15–19, 20211,540 (LV)± 2.5%49%45%3%3%
University of New Hampshire [139] February 18–22, 20211,676 (LV)± 2.4%48%43%3%6%

Maggie Hassan vs. Bruce Fenton

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Bruce
Fenton (R)
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire [67] April 14–18, 2022868 (LV)± 3.5%46%40%0%14%

Maggie Hassan vs. Chuck Morse
Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Chuck
Morse (R)
Other
[lower-alpha 26]
Margin
Real Clear Politics [140] December 10, 2021 – April 18, 2022April 21, 202244.3%40.0%15.7%Hassan +4.3
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Chuck
Morse (R)
OtherUndecided
Data for Progress (D) [141] June 22 – July 8, 2022903 (LV)± 3.0%49%46%5%
University of New Hampshire [67] April 14–18, 2022868 (LV)± 3.5%44%46%1%9%
Phillips Academy [133] April 4–8, 2022533 (A)± 4.2%43%40%17%
471 (RV)± 4.5%51%45%6%
Saint Anselm College [134] March 23–24, 20221,265 (RV)± 2.8%43%36%10%11%
Saint Anselm College [135] January 11–12, 20221,215 (RV)± 2.8%41%27%17%15%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [136] December 10–12, 20211,041 (LV)± 3.0%46%38%16%

Maggie Hassan vs. Corey Lewandowski

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Corey
Lewandowski (R)
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire [139] February 18–22, 20211,676 (LV)± 2.4%53%34%3%9%

Maggie Hassan vs. Corky Messner

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Corky
Messner (R)
Undecided
The Tarrance Group (R) [142] [upper-alpha 5] November 16–18, 2021500 (LV)± 4.5%47%45%8%

Maggie Hassan vs. Kevin Smith

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Kevin
Smith (R)
OtherUndecided
Data for Progress (D) [143] June 22 – July 8, 2022903 (LV)± 3.0%49%45%6%
University of New Hampshire [67] April 14–18, 2022868 (LV)± 3.5%45%44%1%10%
Saint Anselm College [134] March 23–24, 20221,265 (RV)± 2.8%44%34%10%12%
Saint Anselm College [135] January 11–12, 20221,215 (RV)± 2.8%42%24%17%17%

Maggie Hassan vs. Chris Sununu

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Chris
Sununu (R)
OtherUndecided
Saint Anselm College [144] October 20–22, 20211,323 (RV)± 2.7%41%46%9%4%
University of New Hampshire [137] October 14–18, 2021979 (LV)± 3.1%42%45%6%6%
Saint Anselm College [145] August 24–26, 20211,855 (RV)± 2.3%41%49%6%4%
University of New Hampshire [138] July 15–19, 20211,540 (LV)± 2.5%48%49%1%2%
Saint Anselm College [146] March 4–6, 2021871 (RV)± 3.3%41%47%7%6%
University of New Hampshire [139] February 18–22, 20211,676 (LV)± 2.4%46%48%2%5%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
OtherUndecided
Fabrizio Ward (R) [147] [upper-alpha 2] October 17–19, 2022500 (LV)± 4.0%48%47%4%
Phillips Academy [133] April 4–8, 2022533 (A)± 4.2%32%46%22%
471 (RV)± 4.5%36%48%16%
The Tarrance Group (R) [142] [upper-alpha 5] November 16–18, 2021500 (LV)± 4.5%42%45%13%

on if Maggie Hassan should be re-elected

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
YesNoUndecided
Saint Anselm College [66] August 9–11, 20221,898 (RV)± 2.3%39%53%8%

Debates

2022 United States Senate general election in New Hampshire debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Maggie Hassan Donald C. Bolduc
1October 27, 2022 NHPR Josh Rogers, Amanda Gokee [148] PP
1November 1, 2022 Saint Anselm College Adam Sexton [149] PP

Results

Jeremy Kauffman - election results by municipality New Hampshire 2022 Senate Election Results - Libertarian Party.png
Jeremy Kauffman - election results by municipality

In the early months of the campaign, Hassan maintained a healthy lead in the polls. Polls began to tighten around September 2022 and by late October, a few polls even showed Bolduc with a narrow lead or had the candidates tied. Most pundits concurred that Hassan had a very slight edge and that the race would be extremely tight. However, Hassan won reelection by 9 points, a margin considerably wider than what was expected and one far greater than her 0.14 point plurality in 2016. Hassan's victory made her the first Democrat to win re-election to the class 3 Senate seat in New Hampshire history. This, along with Democrats' comfortable victories in New Hampshire's two House races, affirmed New Hampshire's transition from a closely contested swing state to a clearly Democratic leaning state at the federal level.

2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire [150]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Maggie Hassan (incumbent) 332,490 53.54% +5.56%
Republican Don Bolduc 275,63144.39%−3.45%
Libertarian Jeremy Kauffman 12,3902.00%+0.30%
Write-in 4640.07%
Total votes620,975 100.0%
Democratic hold

By county

By county
2022 Senate election results in New Hampshire (by county) [151]
CountyMaggie Hassan
Democratic
Don Bolduc
Republican
Other votesTotal
votes
# %# %# %#
Belknap 13,66944.4%16,59153.9%5371.7%30,797
Carroll 13,70850.5%13,01448.0%4151.5%27,137
Cheshire 20,08359.1%13,24138.9%6842.0%34,008
Coös 6,05947.0%6,49150.3%3532.7%12,903
Grafton 26,33761.6%15,54436.3%8912.1%42,772
Hillsborough 91,77653.2%76,86244.6%3,7382.2%172,376
Merrimack 39,36755.6%29,96542.3%1,5262.2%70,858
Rockingham 78,04750.6%73,24447.4%3,0962.0%154,387
Strafford 33,24058.7%22,21739.2%1,1612.1%56,618
Sullivan 9,90751.8%8,75945.8%4532.4%19,119

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Hassan won both congressional districts. [152]

DistrictHassanBolducRepresentative
1st 53%45% Chris Pappas
2nd 54%44% Annie Kuster

See also

Notes

  1. Candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, 2014, 2016, and 2020; candidate for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district in 2012 and 2018
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. Kauffman (L) with 2%
  6. Kauffman (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with <1%
  7. "Someone else" with 1%
  8. Kauffman (L) with 2%
  9. "Someone else" with 2%
  10. Kauffman (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  11. Kauffman (L) with 3%; "Someone else" with 2%
  12. Kauffman (L) with 4%
  13. Kauffman (L) with 2%
  14. Kauffman (L) with 3%
  15. Kauffman (L) with 3%
  16. "Someone else" with 3%
  17. Kauffman (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  18. Kauffman (L) with 3%; "Someone else" with 2%
  19. Kauffman (L) with 3%
  20. Kauffman (L) with 4%
  21. Kauffman (L) with 3%
  22. "Someone else" with 4%
  23. Kauffman (L) with 3%
  24. Kauffman (L) with 5%
  25. Archived July 21, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
  26. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 Poll conducted for American Greatness, a conservative news and opinions site.
  2. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by Bolduc's campaign.
  3. This poll was sponsored by AARP.
  4. This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America’s Future Majority Fund.
  5. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Messner's campaign

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The 2020 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the governor of New Hampshire. Incumbent Republican Governor Chris Sununu was re-elected to a third two-year term in office, defeating his opponent Dan Feltes, the Majority Leader of the Senate. Nine governors ran for re-election in this cycle and all nine were re-elected. Sununu's win marked the first time since 1986 that a Republican was elected to a third term as governor, in which year his father, John H. Sununu was reelected for his third and final term. The elder Sununu chose not to seek reelection in 1988, instead becoming George H. W. Bush's chief of staff in 1989.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire</span>

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire</span>

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Don Bolduc</span> United States Army brigadier general

Donald C. Bolduc is a retired brigadier general of the United States Army. The Republican nominee in the 2022 U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire, he lost to incumbent Democrat Maggie Hassan. Bolduc was also a Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2020, but did not win the primary. As of 2024, Bolduc is employed as a police officer in Pittsfield, New Hampshire.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire</span>

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election</span>

The 2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of New Hampshire. Incumbent Republican governor Chris Sununu won re-election to a fourth term, defeating Democratic nominee Tom Sherman.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New Hampshire voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Mayoral elections in Manchester, New Hampshire, in the 21st century</span>

Beginning shortly after the city's incorporation as a city in 1846, elections have been held in the mayor of Manchester, New Hampshire. The following article provides information on the elections for mayor in the city during the 21st century.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 New Hampshire gubernatorial election</span>

The 2024 New Hampshire gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of New Hampshire, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Chris Sununu was eligible to seek re-election to a fifth term, but has announced that he will not do so, leaving the election an open race.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary</span>

The 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary was held on January 23, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election.

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Official campaign websites