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All 11 Virginia seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Virginia |
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 11 U.S. representatives from the state of Virginia, one from each of the state's 11 congressional districts. The elections coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives. Pursuant to state law, primaries organized through the Department of Elections were held on June 21, 2022 (the third Tuesday of June). However, some Republican firehouse primaries were held on dates as late as May 21, 2022. [1] [2] [3]
Following the passage of Question 1 in the 2020 elections, a bipartisan redistricting commission was created. The commission holds 16 members, 4 from the House of Delegates, 4 from the Senate of Virginia, and 8 citizens. It had 60 days following the release of the 2020 census data or until July 1, 2021, whichever was later, to approve a map, which had to be approved by the General Assembly.
As the 2020 census data was released on August 12, 2021 [4] the deadline was set to October 11, 2021. Early in the commission meetings the Democrat and Republican sides both hired partisan map makers and legal advisers. This created worry they would cause the commission to become too partisan to create a compromise map. This was proved true after it became clear that the commission would not create a Congressional map within the deadline after it failed to create any progress on a starting draft for the General Assembly maps, which it had solely focused on. The failure of the commission was shown even more clearly when, out of growing frustration from the lack of compromise, three Democratic members of the commission walked out, breaking any chance of a deal. [5] After the walkout no other progress was made and the deadline passed, handing the redistricting process over to the Virginia Supreme Court.
Following the rules established by Question 1, the court ordered both Democrats and Republicans to create a list of nominees to be selected as special masters for a map. However, the court threw out 1 of the 3 Republican nominees and ordered a replacement as they found past ties to Republican leadership. [6] Once the Republican list was re-submitted, the court started reviewing both parties' lists again and picked Sean Trende as the Republican nominee and Bernard Grofman as the Democratic nominee. [7] On December 8 the two special masters had announced the completion of the draft map for the House of Representatives. [8] However, following the announcement it came with public backlash over the handling of incumbents, mostly around the new 7th district. Following the public comment period, the map was almost completely redrawn and a revised map was released on December 28. [9] The new map's announcement ended the nearly six-month redistricting process.
The new court-approved map completely changed every district, with the largest changes being in the 1st, 2nd, 7th, and 10th districts. The first district previously held a significant southern portion of Northern Virginia and was replaced with the western parts of Henrico and Chesterfield counties. These changes made it more Republican. [10] The second district shifted more Republican as it previously held Williamsburg City, York County, eastern portions of Hampton City, and northern parts of Norfolk City. These regions were generally Democratic and were replaced with the southern portions of Chesapeake City, Suffolk City, Isle of Wight County, Franklin City, and eastern parts of Southampton County, which are generally Republican areas. These changes made it less Republican. [10] Unlike the 1st and 2nd districts, the new 7th district was entirely remade. The new district now holds the eastern parts of Prince William County and the entirety of Culpeper, Madison, Greene, Orange, Stafford, King George, Spotsylvania, and Caroline counties. These areas combined are more Democratic than the former Richmond suburbs and rural central Virginia counties which made up the old 7th district. [10] The last major change district was the 10th district, which removed Frederick County, Winchester City, Clarke County, and western parts of Fairfax County. These were replaced by the addition of western Prince William County, Fauquier County, and Rappahannock County. This made the district more Republican. [10]
Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||
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No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
Democratic Party | 11 | 1,572,296 | 51.59% | 6 | 1 | 54.54% | |
Republican Party | 11 | 1,462,049 | 47.97% | 5 | 1 | 45.46% | |
Independent | 2 | 7,466 | 0.24% | 0 | 0.0% | ||
Write-in | 11 | 5,918 | 0.19% | 0 | 0.0% | ||
Total | 35 | 3,047,729 | 100% | 11 | 100% |
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County and independent city results Wittman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Jones: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is based in the western Chesapeake Bay and includes portions of suburban Richmond. Within the district are western Henrico and Chesterfield counties. Other localities in the district include Colonial Beach, Mechanicsville, and Williamsburg. The incumbent was Republican Rob Wittman, who was re-elected with 58.2% of the vote in 2020. On November 8, 2022, Congressman Wittman was re-elected.
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [19] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections [20] | Solid R | February 8, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico [22] | Likely R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [23] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [24] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [25] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [26] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [27] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Rob Wittman (incumbent) | 191,828 | 56.0 | |
Democratic | Herb Jones | 147,229 | 43.0 | |
Independent | David Foster | 3,388 | 1.0 | |
Write-in | 297 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 342,742 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County and independent city results Kiggans: 50–60% 60–70% Luria: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is based in Hampton Roads, containing the cities of Chesapeake, Franklin, Suffolk, and Virginia Beach. Virginia's Eastern Shore is also located within the district. The incumbent was Democrat Elaine Luria, who was re-elected with 51.6% of the vote in 2020. Despite her home in Norfolk no longer being in the district, Luria ran for re-election in this seat. On November 8, 2022, State Senator Jen Kiggans won the election to the district, unseating Luria.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Tommy Altman | Jarome Bell | Jen Kiggans | Undecided |
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Basswood Research (R) [36] [upper-alpha 1] | May 24–26, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 9% | 8% | 43% | 40% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Jen Kiggans | 23,300 | 55.7 | |
Republican | Jarome Bell | 11,330 | 27.1 | |
Republican | Tommy Altman | 5,972 | 14.3 | |
Republican | Andy Baan | 1,237 | 3.0 | |
Total votes | 41,839 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Elaine Luria | Jen Kiggans | |||||
1 | Oct. 12, 2022 | Hampton Roads Chamber of Commerce WTKR-TV | [38] | P | P | |
2 [39] | Oct. 17, 2022 | Herb De Groft Steve Stewart | P | P | ||
3 | Oct. 26, 2022 | WTKR | Barbara Ciara | [40] | P | P |
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Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [19] | Tossup | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections [20] | Tilt R (flip) | November 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
Politico [22] | Tossup | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [23] | Lean R (flip) | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [24] | Lean R (flip) | November 1, 2022 |
DDHQ [25] | Tossup | October 21, 2022 |
538 [26] | Tossup | August 5, 2022 |
The Economist [27] | Tossup | September 28, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Elaine Luria (D) | Jen Kiggans (R) | Other | Undecided |
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Christopher Newport University [62] | October 12–18, 2022 | 820 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 45% | 1% | 8% |
Slingshot Strategies (D) [63] | April 10–15, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 34% | 4% | 20% |
Elaine Luria vs. Jarome Bell
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Elaine Luria (D) | Jarome Bell (R) | Other | Undecided |
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Slingshot Strategies (D) [63] | April 10–15, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 33% | 4% | 20% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
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Slingshot Strategies (D) [63] | April 10–15, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 42% | 3% | 13% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Jen Kiggans | 153,328 | 51.6 | |
Democratic | Elaine Luria (incumbent) | 143,219 | 48.2 | |
Write-in | 449 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 296,996 | 100.0 | ||
Republican gain from Democratic |
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County and independent city results Scott: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district encompasses the inner Hampton Roads, including parts of Hampton and Norfolk, as well as Newport News. The incumbent was Democrat Bobby Scott, who was reelected with 68.4% of the vote in 2020. On November 8, 2022, Congressman Scott was re-elected.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Terry Namkung | 6,293 | 60.5 | |
Republican | Theodore "Ted" Engquist | 4,116 | 39.5 | |
Total votes | 10,409 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [19] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections [20] | Solid D | February 8, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico [22] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [23] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [24] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [25] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [26] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [27] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Bobby Scott (incumbent) | 139,659 | 67.2 | |
Republican | Terry Namkung | 67,668 | 32.6 | |
Write-in | 523 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 207,850 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County and independent city results McEachin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Benjamin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district takes in the city of Richmond and portions of Southside Virginia following Interstate 95. Within the district are the cities of Colonial Heights, Emporia, Hopewell, and Petersburg. The incumbent was Donald McEachin, who was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2020.
On November 8, 2022, McEachin was re-elected; however, he died on November 28. A special election was held on February 21, 2023, with fellow Democrat Jennifer McClellan elected to succeed him.
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [19] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections [20] | Solid D | February 8, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico [22] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [23] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [24] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [25] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [26] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [27] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Donald McEachin (incumbent) | 159,044 | 64.9 | |
Republican | Leon Benjamin | 85,503 | 34.9 | |
Write-in | 431 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 244,978 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County and independent city results Good: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Throneburg: 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district includes the majority of Southside Virginia. Within the district are the cities of Charlottesville, Danville, and Lynchburg. The incumbent representative is Bob Good, who was elected with 52.4% of the vote in 2020, after ousting then Representative Denver Riggleman in the Republican convention. On November 8, 2022, Congressman Bob Good was re-elected.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Bob Good (incumbent) | 1,488 | 84.6 | |
Republican | Dan Moy | 271 | 15.4 | |
Total votes | 1,759 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [19] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections [20] | Solid R | February 8, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico [22] | Likely R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [23] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [24] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [25] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [26] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [27] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Bob Good (incumbent) | 177,191 | 57.6 | |
Democratic | Josh Throneburg | 129,996 | 42.2 | |
Write-in | 603 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 307,790 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County and independent city results Cline: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Lewis: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district is located in western Virginia taking in the Shenandoah Valley along Interstate 81. The district is anchored at the southern end by the cities of Roanoke and Salem. The incumbent was Republican Ben Cline, who was re-elected with 64.6% of the vote in 2020. On November 8, 2022, Congressman Cline was re-elected.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Ben Cline (incumbent) | 19,620 | 82.1 | |
Republican | Merritt Hale | 4,264 | 17.9 | |
Total votes | 23,884 | 100.0 |
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Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [19] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections [20] | Solid R | February 8, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico [22] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [23] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [24] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [25] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [26] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [27] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Ben Cline (incumbent) | 173,352 | 64.4 | |
Democratic | Jennifer Lewis | 95,410 | 35.4 | |
Write-in | 472 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 269,234 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County and independent city results Spanberger: 60–70% Vega: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is based in Northern and Central Virginia. The district contains Stafford, Spotsylvania, Greene, Orange, Madison, Culpeper, Caroline, and King George counties, the city of Fredericksburg, parts of eastern Prince William County, along with a small sliver of Albemarle County. The incumbent was Democrat Abigail Spanberger, who was re-elected with 50.8% of the vote in 2020. The district was radically redrawn and no longer includes her residence in Henrico County. Despite this, Spanberger ran for re-election in this seat. [110]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Yesli Vega | 10,913 | 28.9 | |
Republican | Derrick Anderson | 8,966 | 23.8 | |
Republican | Bryce Reeves | 7,580 | 20.1 | |
Republican | Crystal Vanuch | 6,400 | 17.0 | |
Republican | David Ross | 2,284 | 6.1 | |
Republican | Gina Ciarcia | 1,565 | 4.2 | |
Total votes | 37,708 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [19] | Tossup | October 25, 2022 |
Inside Elections [20] | Tilt D | February 8, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] | Lean D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico [22] | Tossup | November 3, 2022 |
RCP [23] | Tossup | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [24] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
DDHQ [25] | Lean D | November 6, 2022 |
538 [26] | Lean D | October 25, 2022 |
The Economist [27] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Abigail Spanberger (D) | Yesli Vega (R) | Other | Undecided |
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Wick Insights/RRH Elections (R) [166] | October 23–26, 2022 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | – | 6% |
RMG Research [167] | July 31 – August 6, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 41% | 3% | 10% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Abigail Spanberger (incumbent) | 143,357 | 52.2 | |
Republican | Yesli Vega | 130,586 | 47.6 | |
Write-in | 647 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 274,590 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County and independent city results Beyer: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district is based in northern Virginia and encompasses the inner Washington, D.C. suburbs, including Arlington, Alexandria, and Falls Church. The incumbent was Democrat Don Beyer, who was re-elected with 75.8% of the vote in 2020. On November 8, 2022, Congressman Beyer was re-elected.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Don Beyer (incumbent) | 39,062 | 77.1 | |
Democratic | Victoria Virasingh | 11,583 | 22.9 | |
Total votes | 50,645 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Karina Lipsman | 440 | 61.5 | |
Republican | Kezia Tunnell | 137 | 19.1 | |
Republican | Jeff Jordan | 114 | 15.9 | |
Republican | Heerak Christian Kim | 17 | 2.4 | |
Republican | Monica Carpio | 8 | 1.1 | |
Total votes | 716 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [19] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections [20] | Solid D | February 8, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico [22] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [23] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [24] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [25] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [26] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [27] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Don Beyer (incumbent) | 197,760 | 73.5 | |
Republican | Karina Lipsman | 66,589 | 24.8 | |
Independent | Teddy Fikre | 4,078 | 1.5 | |
Write-in | 509 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 268,936 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County and independent city results Griffith: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% DeVaughan: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district takes in rural southwest Virginia, including Abingdon, Blacksburg, Bristol and Norton. The incumbent v Republican Morgan Griffith, who was re-elected with 94% of the vote in 2020 without opposition from any party. Despite his home in Salem no longer being in the district. Griffith was running for re-election in this seat. [11] On November 8, 2022, Congressman Morgan Griffith was re-elected.
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [19] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections [20] | Solid R | February 8, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico [22] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [23] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [24] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [25] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [26] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [27] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Morgan Griffith (incumbent) | 182,207 | 73.2 | |
Democratic | Taysha DeVaughan | 66,027 | 26.5 | |
Write-in | 558 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 248,792 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County and independent city results Wexton: 50–60% 60–70% Cao: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 10th district is based in northern Virginia and the D.C. metro area, encompassing Fauquier, Loudoun, and Rappahannock counties, the independent cities of Mansassas and Manassas Park, and portions of Fairfax and Prince William counties. Democratic incumbent Jennifer Wexton was re-elected with 56.5% of the vote in 2020.
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Virginia 10th district GOP firehouse primary [186] | |||||||||||||||||||
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Candidate | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 | Round 4 | Round 5 | Round 6 | Round 7 | Round 8 | Round 9 | ||||||||||
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
Hung Cao | 6,363 | 42% | 6,379 | 42.1% | 6,393 | 42.2% | 6,471 | 42.8% | 6,562 | 43.5% | 6,672 | 44.4% | 6,998 | 46.6% | 7,238 | 48.7% | 7,729 | 52.3% | |
Jeanine Lawson | 4,373 | 28.9% | 4,382 | 30% | 4,390 | 29% | 4,433 | 29.3% | 4,503 | 29.8% | 4,564 | 30.4% | 4,693 | 31.2% | 4,800 | 32.3% | 5,000 | 33.8% | |
Brandon Michon | 1,538 | 10.2% | 1,551 | 10.2% | 1,555 | 10.3% | 1,588 | 10.5% | 1,612 | 10.7% | 1,614 | 10.7% | 1,733 | 11.5% | 1,854 | 12.5% | 2,052 | 13.9% | |
Mike Clancy | 719 | 4.7% | 721 | 4.8% | 724 | 4.8% | 739 | 4.9% | 764 | 5.1% | 794 | 6.3% | 876 | 5.8% | 979 | 6.6% | Eliminated | ||
Caleb Max | 621 | 4.1% | 623 | 4.1% | 627 | 4.1% | 646 | 4.3% | 678 | 4.5% | 707 | 4.7% | 727 | 4.8% | Eliminated | ||||
John Henley | 612 | 4% | 614 | 4.1% | 619 | 4.1% | 628 | 4.2% | 641 | 4.2% | 676 | 4.5% | Eliminated | ||||||
Dave Beckwith | 308 | 2% | 308 | 2% | 312 | 2.1% | 328 | 2.2% | 333 | 2.2% | Eliminated | ||||||||
Theresa Ellis | 259 | 1.7% | 262 | 1.7% | 276 | 1.8% | 285 | 1.9% | Eliminated | ||||||||||
John Beatty | 232 | 1.5% | 232 | 1.5% | 237 | 1.6% | Eliminated | ||||||||||||
Jeff Mayhugh | 64 | 0.4% | 66 | 0.4% | Eliminated | ||||||||||||||
Brooke Taylor | 56 | 0.4% | Eliminated |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [19] | Likely D | October 25, 2022 |
Inside Elections [20] | Likely D | October 21, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] | Likely D | June 22, 2022 |
Politico [22] | Likely D | August 12, 2022 |
RCP [23] | Lean D | October 17, 2022 |
Fox News [24] | Likely D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [25] | Likely D | October 17, 2022 |
538 [26] | Likely D | October 20, 2022 |
The Economist [27] | Likely D | October 4, 2022 |
Both candidates agreed to four joint events.
The first forum was hosted by The Arc of Northern Virginia (NoVA), an advocacy center for disabled children and seniors. [189] They have been hosting these forums since 2020. It was the only online event both Wexton and Cao would partake in. It also included the Democratic and Republican candidates for the 7th and 10th congressional districts. The Arc of NoVA asked their own questions, questions sent to them ahead of time, and questions taken from a Facebook chat. As mentioned at the start of the forum, all candidates were sent the questions they were planning to ask as well as questions that were sent in.
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |
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P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||
Jennifer Wexton | Hung Cao | |||||
1 | August 23, 2022 | Arc of NoVA | Lucy Beadnell | [190] | P | P |
2 | October 2, 2022 | MOVE Chamber | Ayan Sheikh | [191] | P | P |
3 | October 5, 2022 | Prince William Committee of 100 | Stephen J. Farnsworth | [192] | P | P |
4 | October 20, 2022 | Loudoun Chamber | Tony Howard | [193] | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Jennifer Wexton (D) | Hung Cao (R) | Undecided |
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OnMessage (R) [194] [upper-alpha 2] | October 11–13, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jennifer Wexton (incumbent) | 157,405 | 53.2 | |
Republican | Hung Cao | 138,163 | 46.7 | |
Write-in | 577 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 296,145 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 11th district encompasses portions of suburban Washington, D.C., including the city of Fairfax and portions of Fairfax County. The incumbent was Democrat Gerry Connolly, who was re-elected with 71.4% of the vote in 2020. On November 8, 2022, Congressman Connolly was re-elected.
Organizations
Virginia GOP 11th District, Firehouse Primary [198] | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 | Round 4 | ||||
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |
Jim Myles | 670 | 40.17% | 681 | 40.9% | 752 | 45.44% | 959 | 59.2% |
Manga Anantatmula | 517 | 31% | 530 | 31.83% | 559 | 33.78% | 661 | 40.8% |
Matthew Chappell | 309 | 18.53% | 316 | 18.98% | 344 | 20.79% | Eliminated | |
Joe Babb | 129 | 7.73% | 138 | 8.29% | Eliminated | |||
Barbara Banks | 43 | 2.58% | Eliminated | |||||
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [19] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections [20] | Solid D | February 8, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico [22] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [23] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [24] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [25] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [26] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [27] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gerry Connolly (incumbent) | 193,190 | 66.7 | |
Republican | Jim Myles | 95,634 | 33.0 | |
Write-in | 852 | 0.3 | ||
Total votes | 289,676 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
Partisan clients
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