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USA TODAY > Betting > Sports > Best Super Bowl Prop Bets | Top Super Bowl 58 Chiefs vs 49ers Player Props to Back

Best Super Bowl Prop Bets | Top Super Bowl 58 Chiefs vs 49ers Player Props to Back

Published Feb 11 2024, 10:58AM EST
Best Super Bowl Prop Bets | Top Super Bowl 58 Chiefs vs 49ers  Player Props to Back

When it comes to betting on Super Bowl 58, a lot of attention will get paid to the point spread, moneyline or even the novelty wagers that are typically only available for the Super Bowl. For many sports bettors, however, the extraordinary volume of prop bets is what makes this game a go-to wagering event. With this huge array of available wagers, we thought it is an apt time to provide a list of the best Super Bowl prop bets.

These Super Bowl prop bets from the top Super Bowl betting sites will carve a different path than most, because we want sports bettors to get the most out of these unique opportunities by diving into many wagers that aren’t typically available for most games.

We’ve put together seven of these best Super Bowl prop bets that are available at various online sportsbooks, as well as providing you with the odds for each and links to sign up for one or more of the top Super Bowl betting promos available via these sports betting apps.

Best Super Bowl 58 Prop Bets

Prop BetOddsSportsbook
🏈 Dre Greenlaw (SF), under 8.5 tackles + assists-135 Bet Now at BetMGM
🏈 Eli Mitchell (SF), over 1.5 rush attempts+110 Bet Now at BetMGM
🏈 Over 44.5 combined pass completions+100 Bet Now at BetMGM
🏈 George Karlaftis (KC), over 0.25 sacks+110Bet Now at DraftKings
🏈 Total turnovers, over 2.5-115 Bet Now at DraftKings
🏈 Patrick Mahomes (KC) -16.5 pass yards vs Brock Purdy (SF)-110 Bet Now at FanDuel
🏈 Christian McCaffrey (SF) -0.5 rush TDs vs Isiah Pacheco (KC)+155 Bet Now at FanDuel

Inside the Best Super Bowl Prop Bets

Dre Greenlaw (SF), under 8.5 tackles + assists, -135 odds at BetMGM

Greenlaw racked up 120 total tackles this year (a category that combines solo tackles and assists on tackles) and thus might seem to be a strong candidate to hit the over in this wager, but he posted more than eight tackles in a game only five times this season. To be fair, two of those 9+ tackle games occurred in San Francisco’s final two regular season contests, but Greenlaw followed that up with eight and seven tackles, respectively, in San Francisco’s playoff matchups. Since Kansas City is likely to rely on the pass in this contest, Greenlaw should hit the under here at -135 odds at BetMGM.

Eli Mitchell (SF), over 1.5 rush attempts, +110 odds at BetMGM

Mitchell has been a big part of San Francisco’s offense at times this year, as he posted double-digit carry volumes twice in games while filling in for an injured Christian McCaffrey, but the key for this wager is that Mitchell carried the ball four times against Detroit in the conference title game. That shows a return to an earlier season form that saw Mitchell post two or more carries in nine other contests. Since San Francisco is going to test Kansas City’s shaky run defense early and often, Mitchell is very likely to be asked to give McCaffrey a break and that makes Mitchell a good wager at +110 odds at BetMGM.

Over 44.5 combined pass completions, +100 odds at BetMGM

San Francisco racked up 14 wins versus no losses when scoring 24 or more points this year and lost all five games when it scored fewer than 24 points. Keep this in mind in this wager, as that means Kansas City will likely need to pass to keep up in a high scoring contest. To put that into context, Patrick Mahomes threw 37 or more passes in 12 games this year and threw fewer than 30 only twice. If Mahomes has a high attempt volume and completes his usual 67 percent of his passes, it should result in enough completions that Brock Purdy won’t even need to hit 20 completions to get this to the over that pays out at +100 odds at BetMGM.

George Karlaftis (KC), over 0.25 sacks, +110 odds at DraftKings

Sacks have been a regular occurrence for Karlaftis this year, as he was tied with Chris Jones for the team lead with 10.5. He also has four sacks over the past four games, with at least one sack in three of those matchups. San Francisco has shown some pass blocking issues of late and will be paying a lot of attention to Jones to keep Purdy from facing up the gut pressure, and that should open the door for Karlaftis to get to Purdy at least one time and put this wager in the win column at +110 odds at DraftKings.

Total turnovers, over 2.5, -115 odds at DraftKings

Patrick Mahomes is supremely talented and thus can make any wide receiving corps productive, but Kansas City’s middling players at this position have tested his typically elite skills. It’s why Mahomes had the worst interception percentage of his career and ranked 20th among qualifying quarterbacks in that category. Brock Purdy hasn’t been much better of late, as he had at least six potential interceptions in the Green Bay and Detroit games. Add those risk-taking trends to San Francisco and Kansas City’s highly talented defenses and it should lead to at least three turnovers in this matchup and a wager that wins at -115 odds at DraftKings.

Patrick Mahomes (KC) -16.5 pass yards vs Brock Purdy (SF), -110 odds at FanDuel

One could go with the moneyline matchup here, as Mahomes is listed at -145 odds in that version of this wager, but let’s be realistic here. Kyle Shanahan is wise enough to go after a Kansas City defense that allowed 100 or more rushing yards on 15 occasions this year. That will limit Brock Purdy’s pass volume and since Kansas City’s secondary is very talented, big plays may also be at a premium for Purdy and company. Meld that line of thinking with the fact that San Francisco’s defensive weakness is pass coverage and it should keep Mahomes far enough ahead of Purdy in the passing yardage category to win this bet at -110 odds at FanDuel.

Christian McCaffrey (SF) -0.5 rush TDs vs Isiah Pacheco (KC), +155 odds at FanDuel

It seems odd at first glance that McCaffrey is listed at +155 odds here, as he and Raheem Mostert of Miami were the only players to score 21 scrimmage touchdowns this season, but Pacheco is on a seven-game streak of posting a scrimmage touchdown, so the betting public thinks Pacheco is likely to match McCaffrey’s scoring pace. That may not a percentage play, however, because with San Francisco likely leaning on the ground game, and with McCaffrey having his own scoring streak of two rushing touchdowns in two consecutive games, he has a very good chance of topping Pacheco by one rushing touchdown and that makes McCaffrey a good upside play here at +155 odds at FanDuel.

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KC Joyner  for USAToday.com
KC Joyner 24 Articles written
KC Joyner is one of the pioneers of the football analytics movement. He was a Senior Writer for ESPN, covering fantasy football, the NFL, college football, and the NFL draft for 14 years. He has also penned material for The Athletic, The New York Times and The Philadelphia Inquirer. KC’s Scientific Football book series broke new ground in the football analytics world and was purchased by nearly half of NFL teams.