2020 Missouri elections

Last updated
Missouri elections, 2020
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Missouri state elections in 2020 were held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020. Aside from its presidential primaries held on March 10, its primary elections were held on August 4, 2020. [1]

Contents

In addition to the U.S. presidential race, Missouri voters will elect the Governor of Missouri, four of Missouri's other executive officers, all of its seats to the House of Representatives, all of the seats of the Missouri House of Representatives, and 17 of 34 seats in the Missouri State Senate. Neither of the state's two U.S. Senate seats are up for election this year, but there are also two ballot measures which will be voted on, in addition to one voted on in the August 4 primaries. [1]

To vote by mail, registered Missouri voters had to request a ballot by October 21, 2020. [2]

Federal offices

President of the United States

Missouri has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

United States House of Representatives

There are 7 U.S. Representatives in Missouri that will be up for election. Another seat is open after the incumbent, Lacy Clay, lost renomination in its Democratic primary. [3]

Governor

Lieutenant governor

Attorney general

Secretary of State

Treasurer

State legislature

All 163 seats of the Missouri House of Representatives and 17 of 34 seats of the Missouri State Senate are up for election. Before the election, the composition of the Missouri State Legislature was:

After the election, the composition of the Missouri State Legislature was:

Primary election

Senate District 3 - Republican

Polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Joshua
Barrett		Elaine Freeman
Gannon		Kent
Scism		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout June 24–25, 2020500 (LV)± 4.3%24%23%19%34%

Senate District 5 - Democratic

Polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Jeremiah
Church		McFarlane
Duncan		Megan Elliya
Green		William
"Bill" Haas		Peter
Merideth		Steve
Roberts		Michelle
Sherod		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout April 1–2, 2020486 (LV)± 4.6%7%1%16%14%–18%9%35%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout December 4–5, 2019464 (LV)± 4.6%–3%24%––24%4%45%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout August 21–22, 2019501 (LV)± 4.5%– [lower-alpha 4] –––20%24%13%43%
– [lower-alpha 5] –32%––23%11%34%
– [lower-alpha 6] ––––24%21%55%

Senate District 13 - Democratic

Polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Alan
Green		Angela
Mosley		Tommie
Pierson Jr.		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout June 3–4, 2020545 (LV)± 4.2%15%21%19%45%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout October 16–17, 2019421 (LV)± 4.9%15%18%19%48%

Senate District 23 - Republican

Polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Bill
Eigel		Dan
O'Connell		Eric
Wulff		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout July 8–9, 2020436 (LV)± 4.8%33%8%7%52%

Senate District 25 - Republican

Polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Jason
Bean		Stephen Carroll
Cookson		Eddy
Justice		Jeff
Shawan		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout July 8–9, 2020436 (LV)± 4.8%26%11%23%17%23%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout July 30–31, 2019438 (LV)± 4.7%––17%16%67%

Senate District 27 - Republican

Polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Holly
Rehder		Kathy
Swan		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout July 16–17, 2020414 (LV)± 4.9%51%29%20%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout August 7–8, 2019520 (LV)± 4.3%26%27%48%

Senate District 29 - Republican

Polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		David
Cole		Mike
Moon		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout July 25–26, 2020504 (LV)± 4.5%34%37%29%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout April 21–23, 2020536 (LV)± 4.2%15%25%60%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout July 17–18, 2019532 (LV)± 4.3%14%21%65%

Senate District 31 - Republican

Polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Jack
Bondon		Rick
Brattin		Bill
Yarberry		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout July 21–23, 2020403 (LV)± 4.9%40%34%6%20%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout April 15–16, 2020419 (LV)± 4.76%16%18%5%60%

Senate District 33 - Republican

Nominee
  • Karla Eslinger, state representative for District 155 [4]
Eliminated in primary
  • Van Kelly [4]
  • Robert Ross [4]
Polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Karla
Eslinger		Van
Kelly		Robert
Ross		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout July 27–29, 2020503 (LV)± 4.5%20%17%39%24%
Missouri Scout July 12–13, 2020456 (LV)± 4.5%31%12%36%31%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout May 6–7, 2020568 (LV)± 4.0%15%12%16%57%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout July 24–25, 2019510 (LV)± 4.5%–16%15%69%

Senate District 33 - Democratic

Nominee
  • Tammy Harty [5]

General election

Senate District 1

Polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Doug
Beck (D)		David
Lenihan (R)		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout September 9–10, 2020646 (LV)± 3.8%43%36%21%
Results
Missouri state senate district 1 election, 2020
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Doug Beck
Republican David Lenihan

Senate District 15

Polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Andrew
Koenig (R)		Deb
Lavender (D)		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout October 7–8, 2020644 (LV)± 3.8%45%49%6%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout August 19–20, 2020585 (LV)± 4%43%43%14%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout May 29–30, 2019648 (LV)± 3.8%50%35%15%
Hypothetical polling in District 15
with Mark Osmack
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Andrew
Koenig (R)		Mark
Osmack (D)		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout May 29–30, 2019648 (LV)± 3.8%52%33%15%
Results
Missouri state senate district 15 election, 2020
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Andrew Koenig
Democratic Deb Lavender

Senate District 19

Polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Caleb
Rowden (R)		Judy
Baker (D)		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout October 20–22, 2020489 (LV)± 4.4%48%48%4%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout August 26–27, 2020536 (LV)± 4.2%47%42%11%
Hypothetical polling in District 19
with Michela Skelton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Caleb
Rowden (R)		Michela
Skelton (D)		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout September 25–27, 2019446 (LV)± 4.7%50%44%6%
Results
Missouri state senate district 19 election, 2020
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Caleb Rowden
Democratic Judy Baker

Senate District 33

Missouri state senate district 33 election, 2020
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Karla Eslinger
Democratic Tammy Harty

Ballot measures

Missouri Amendment 2, Medicaid Expansion passed in the August 4 primary. [6]

Missouri Amendment 3, Redistricting Process and Criteria, Lobbying, and Campaign Finance Amendment is to amend the state constitution to lower thresholds for lobbyists' gifts, lower campaign contribution limits for state senate campaigns and reverse changes to the redistricting process brought about by the passage of 2018's Missouri Amendment 1, known as "Clean Missouri". That amendment (aimed to prevent gerrymandering [7] ) delegated redistricting to a nonpartisan state demographer and citizens' commission as opposed to the status quo ante of it being left to a bipartisan commission appointed by the governor.

Polling

Primary election

Amendment 2
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		For Missouri Amendment 1Against Missouri Amendment 1Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout April 28–29, 20201,356 (LV)± 2.6%54%32%14%
Human Agency/Missouri Scout December 20–24, 2019415 (RV)± 5%46%33%21%
Human Agency/Missouri Scout November 17–20, 2020400 (RV)± 5%41%29%29%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout November 12–13, 20191,641 (LV)± 2.4%57%25%18%
Human Agency/Missouri Scout September 16–18, 2019825 (RV)± 4.0%42%25%33%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout September 4–5, 2019910 (LV)± 3.3%44%33%23%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout June 12–13, 2019986 (LV)± 3.2%40%37%23%

General election

Amendment 1
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		For Missouri Amendment 1Against Missouri Amendment 1Undecided
YouGov/SLU September 24 – October 7, 2020931 (LV)± 3.9%51%29%20%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout September 20–21, 20201,046 (LV)± 3%60%26%14%
Amendment 3
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		For Missouri Amendment 3Against Missouri Amendment 3Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout October 28–29, 20201,010 (LV)± 3%29%56%15%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout October 14–15, 20201,010 (LV)± 3%28%50%22%
YouGov/SLU September 24 – October 7, 2020931 (LV)± 3.9%35%43%23%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout September 20–21, 20201,046 (LV)± 3%44%30%26%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout August 12–13, 20201,112 (LV)± 3.0%46%19%35%

Notes

  1. ↑ Including 2 vacancies
  2. ↑ Including 2 vacancies
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ↑ With Peter Meredith, Steve Roberts and Michelle Sherod
  5. ↑ With Megan Green, Steve Roberts and Michelle Sherod
  6. ↑ With Steve Roberts and Michelle Sherod
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    References

    1. 1 2 "Missouri elections, 2020". Ballotpedia. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
    2. ↑ Lily Hay Newman (August 27, 2020), "How to Vote by Mail and Make Sure It Counts", Wired.com , archived from the original on October 6, 2020
    3. ↑ Wiegel, Dave (August 5, 2020). "Longtime Rep. William Lacy Clay loses Democratic primary in Missouri". The Washington Post. Retrieved August 20, 2020.
    4. 1 2 3 "Eslinger wins Republican nomination for Missouri 33rd Senate District". Ozark County Times. August 5, 2020. Retrieved August 26, 2020.
    5. ↑ "Certified Candidate List". Missouri Secretary of State. May 7, 2020. Retrieved August 27, 2020.
    6. ↑ Smith, Alex (August 5, 2020). "Missouri Voters Approve Medicaid Expansion Despite Resistance From Republican Leaders". NPR. Retrieved August 20, 2020.
    7. ↑ Peters, Benjamin (November 3, 2017). "What is the Clean Missouri Initiative?" . Retrieved August 20, 2020.
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