Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.