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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 6pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Benfica

Casa Pia
3 - 1
Benfica

Cassiano (32'), Moreira (60'), Livolant (90+4')
Moreira (79'), Ferreira de Sousa (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
di Maria (14' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 2-3 Casa Pia
Monday, January 20 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 4-5 Barcelona
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Casa Pia 2-3 Benfica

Despite Casa Pia's impressive league form, Benfica remain the favourites for this encounter, considering their dominant record against the hosts. The Geese will look to stand firm, but with the visitors' attacking firepower, the odds are tilted in their favour, making an away win the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 68.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.95%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Casa PiaDrawBenfica
11.69% (-0.125 -0.13) 19.37% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 68.94% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Both teams to score 44.22% (-0.332 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.24% (-0.233 -0.23)47.76% (0.231 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.05% (-0.215 -0.22)69.95% (0.212 0.21)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.68% (-0.367 -0.37)49.31% (0.363 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.82% (-0.263 -0.26)84.18% (0.259 0.26)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.24% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)12.76% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.97% (-0.061 -0.06)39.02% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 11.69%
    Benfica 68.93%
    Draw 19.37%
Casa PiaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 4.45% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-1 @ 3.24% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 1.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 11.69%
1-1 @ 9.16% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 19.37%
0-2 @ 13.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-1 @ 12.95% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 9.15% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 6.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.71% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.94% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.37% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 68.93%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Benfica

Casa Pia
10.5%
Draw
15.8%
Benfica
73.7%
19
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Benfica
3-0
Casa Pia
Pavlidis (70'), Gouveia (80'), Aursnes (90')

Segovia (67')
Mar 17, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 26
Casa Pia
0-1
Benfica
Cabral (74')
Luis (45'), Silva (77')
Oct 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 9
Benfica
1-1
Casa Pia
Mario (44')
Luis (73')
Larrazabal (81')
Larrazabal (41'), Roberto (72')
Feb 4, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 19
Benfica
3-0
Casa Pia
Mario (35', 43'), Bah (71')
Aug 13, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 2
Casa Pia
0-1
Benfica

Neto (7'), Godwin (27'), Taira (31'), Kunimoto (53'), Fernandes (59'), Anderson (90+1')
Ramos (59')
Otamendi (29'), Luis (30'), Silva (90+5')
Otamendi (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon20162256154150
2Benfica20142446163044
3Porto20133444172742
4Braga20124436201640
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2011272321235
6Casa Pia208662625130
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes207853025529
8Estoril PraiaEstoril207672431-727
9FamalicaoFamalicao205962224-224
10Rio AveRio Ave206682234-1224
11MoreirenseMoreirense206592328-523
12Gil Vicente205782330-722
13AroucaArouca2064101831-1322
14Nacional2054111728-1119
15AVS203981529-1418
16Estrela Amadora2045111833-1517
17SC FarenseFarense2036111328-1515
18BoavistaBoavista2026121334-2112


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