Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
45.25% ( 0.05) | 23.22% ( -0.01) | 31.53% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 62.76% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.49% ( 0.02) | 38.51% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.19% ( 0.03) | 60.8% ( -0.03) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.59% ( 0.03) | 17.41% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.16% ( 0.05) | 47.84% ( -0.05) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.99% ( -0.01) | 24.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.74% ( -0.02) | 58.26% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 4.03% Total : 45.25% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.5% 0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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