MX23RW : Friday, January 10 11:10:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
AJ Auxerre

Marseille
1 - 3
Auxerre

Greenwood (65' pen.)
Rabiot (60'), Greenwood (66'), Wahi (87')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Sinayoko (10'), Perrin (43'), Traore (45')
Leon (66'), Bair (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 4-0 Rennes
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 3-1 Auxerre

Despite suffering from peculiarly poor home form so far, Marseille will again be big favourites ahead of this clash, and will look to take advantage of playing earlier to close the gap on PSG. Auxerre have not travelled well so far this season, and without two key defenders due to suspension, they could struggle to keep this impressive Marseille attack at bay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawAuxerre
53.67% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 22.24% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 24.09% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 59.98% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.53% (0.012999999999998 0.01)39.47% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.19% (0.012 0.01)61.81% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)14.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.03% (0.033000000000001 0.03)42.97% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)29.64% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)65.69% (0.026999999999987 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 53.67%
    Auxerre 24.09%
    Draw 22.24%
MarseilleDrawAuxerre
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 53.67%
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 24.09%

How you voted: Marseille vs Auxerre

Marseille
87.4%
Draw
10.5%
Auxerre
2.1%
143
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
2-1
Auxerre
Under (75'), Sanchez (77')
Toure (33')
Sep 3, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 6
Auxerre
0-2
Marseille

Jubal (39'), Furlan (54')
Gerson (8'), Sanchez (84')
Tudor (42'), Harit (90')
May 13, 2012 4pm
Aug 14, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille16103337191833
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1677226161028
5Lyon168442820828
6Nice1676331211027
7Lens166641915424
8Toulouse167361817124
9Auxerre166372426-221
10StrasbourgStrasbourg165562828020
11Reims165562121020
12Brest166192429-519
13Rennes165292223-117
14Angers164481626-1016
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
16NantesNantes163671825-715
17Le HavreLe Havre1640121234-2212
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1623111539-249


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!