Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.