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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Stevenage

Barnsley
0 - 1
Stevenage


McCarthy (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kemp (90+2')
Phillips (56'), Goode (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Barnsley
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, January 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Stevenage

Despite the visitors' midweek victory and the hosts' setback last weekend, Barnsley should have the quality to get over the line at Oakwell and make a swift return to winning ways in their promotion bid. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
BarnsleyDrawStevenage
41.06% (0.435 0.43) 28.02% (0.305 0.31) 30.93% (-0.735 -0.73)
Both teams to score 46.84% (-1.118 -1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.98% (-1.285 -1.29)59.02% (1.292 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.51% (-1.005 -1.01)79.49% (1.011 1.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.37 -0.37)28.25% (0.378 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.474 -0.47)63.96% (0.47900000000001 0.48)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.28% (-1.21 -1.21)34.72% (1.217 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.55% (-1.302 -1.3)71.45% (1.31 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 41.05%
    Stevenage 30.92%
    Draw 28.01%
BarnsleyDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 12.39% (0.46 0.46)
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.216 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 41.05%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.81% (0.47 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 10.37% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.49% (-0.095999999999999 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 30.92%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Stevenage

Barnsley
94.7%
Draw
5.3%
Stevenage
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stevenage
3-0
Barnsley
List (54', 90'), Piergianni (59')
White (61'), Phillips (78'), Freestone (82'), Thompson (86')

Durand de Gevigney (64'), O'Keeffe (79')
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Stevenage
2-1
Barnsley
Reid (45+2'), Butler (51')
List (75'), Thompson (85')
Phillips (30')
Durand de Gevigney (12'), McCart (51')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Barnsley
2-1
Stevenage
McAtee (32'), Kane (70')
Connell (66'), Kane (81'), Cotter (90+7')
Wildin (4')
Butler (67')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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