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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-0 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Middlesbrough |
24.2% ( 0.22) | 24.74% ( 0.07) | 51.06% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 51.82% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.68% ( -0.06) | 50.32% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.74% ( -0.06) | 72.26% ( 0.06) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.54% ( 0.17) | 35.46% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.77% ( 0.17) | 72.22% ( -0.17) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.3% ( -0.14) | 19.7% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.29% ( -0.23) | 51.71% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.2% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 51.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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