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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Middlesbrough logo

Preston
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Teitur Thordarson (28'), Riis Jakobsen (78')
Greenwood (13'), Meghoma (45+1'), Ledson (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Burgzorg (52')
Ayling (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Preston
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 West Brom
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 1-1 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough will be looking to take all three points to aid their playoff bid, but we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils when they face a Preston side that have drawn five of their last seven home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-0 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawMiddlesbrough
24.2% (0.224 0.22) 24.74% (0.067 0.07) 51.06% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29)
Both teams to score 51.82% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.68% (-0.064 -0.06)50.32% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)72.26% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54% (0.167 0.17)35.46% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77% (0.17 0.17)72.22% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)19.7% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29% (-0.23200000000001 -0.23)51.71% (0.22900000000001 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 24.2%
    Middlesbrough 51.05%
    Draw 24.73%
Preston North EndDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.051 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.1% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.76% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.3% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.2%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 11.34% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.22% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 51.05%

How you voted: Preston vs Middlesbrough

Preston North End
33.3%
Draw
41.7%
Middlesbrough
25.0%
24
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Middlesbrough
1-1
Preston
Conway (16')
Frokjaer-Jensen (43')
Whatmough (33'), Storey (36'), Hughes (60'), Woodman (74'), Brady (86')
Feb 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Preston
2-1
Middlesbrough
Millar (23'), Riis Jakobsen (60')
Storey (86'), Browne (90+2')
Azaz (57')
McGree (90+6')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Middlesbrough
4-0
Preston
Jones (16', 37'), Van den Berg (26'), Bangura (90+4')

Potts (65'), Hughes (82')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Middlesbrough
4-0
Preston
Akpom (22'), Archer (52', 58'), Forss (90+5')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Preston
2-1
Middlesbrough
Riis Jakobsen (35'), Storey (90+1')
Akpom (8')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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