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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Swansea logo

Norwich
5 - 1
Swansea

Sargent (44', 63'), Dobbin (76'), Crnac (84'), Marcondes (87')
Schwartau (53'), Marcondes (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cullen (62')
Fulton (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Norwich
Wednesday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-0 Swansea City

Both sides have endured difficult times in recent weeks, but we are going with the hosts to take the three points this weekend. Norwich have a good record at home, and the Swans have lost four on the bounce away from home, so we expect the hosts to taste success here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
44.06% (0.69600000000001 0.7) 24.69% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 31.24% (-0.741 -0.74)
Both teams to score 57.36% (-0.485 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.46% (-0.49 -0.49)45.54% (0.489 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.13% (-0.467 -0.47)67.87% (0.46599999999999 0.47)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (0.108 0.11)20.75% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (0.17 0.17)53.38% (-0.172 -0.17)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (-0.712 -0.71)27.62% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84% (-0.927 -0.93)63.16% (0.926 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 44.06%
    Swansea City 31.24%
    Draw 24.69%
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.068 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.01% (0.216 0.22)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.193 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 44.06%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-1 @ 7.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.24%

How you voted: Norwich vs Swansea

Norwich City
73.0%
Draw
13.5%
Swansea City
13.5%
37
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
1-0
Norwich
Forson (4' og.)
Darling (53'), Key (88')

Nunez (45+1'), McLean (48'), Duffy (67')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Norwich
2-2
Swansea
Sara (34'), Sargent (45+3')
Gunn (53'), McCallum (77'), McLean (90')
Paterson (24'), Grimes (53' pen.)
Paterson (45'), Cullen (57')
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Swansea
2-1
Norwich
Lowe (3'), Humphreys (83')
Lowe (48'), Key (52'), Cullen (55'), Cooper (76')
Sara (22')
Gibson (18'), Rowe (61')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Norwich
0-3
Swansea
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland301610445261958
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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