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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Millwall |
40.58% ( 0.17) | 28.8% ( 0.06) | 30.62% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 44.6% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.23% ( -0.24) | 61.77% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.43% ( -0.18) | 81.56% ( 0.18) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.15% ( -0.02) | 29.85% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.06% ( -0.02) | 65.94% ( 0.03) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.57% ( -0.3) | 36.42% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.79% ( -0.31) | 73.21% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 40.58% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.79% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 30.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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