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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Millwall logo

Luton
0 - 1
Millwall


Andersen (74'), Walsh (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ivanovic (61')
Saville (71'), Cooper (74'), Honeyman (88'), Tanganga (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-2 Cardiff
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Millwall

Both of these sides are still searching for their first league victory under their new managers, although Millwall's wait has been considerably longer. With Luton performing better in their home games this season, we think they can grab a much-needed win this weekend against the Lions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawMillwall
40.58% (0.172 0.17) 28.8% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 30.62% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 44.6% (-0.224 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.23% (-0.242 -0.24)61.77% (0.243 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.43% (-0.178 -0.18)81.56% (0.181 0.18)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)29.85% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.94% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (-0.302 -0.3)36.42% (0.302 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-0.306 -0.31)73.21% (0.30699999999999 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 40.58%
    Millwall 30.62%
    Draw 28.79%
Luton TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.14% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.87% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.79%
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 30.62%

How you voted: Luton vs Millwall

Luton Town
57.5%
Draw
20.0%
Millwall
22.5%
40
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Millwall
0-1
Luton

De Norre (22'), Hutchinson (90+5')
Mengi (10')
Mengi (41'), Kaminski (85'), Doughty (89')
Apr 7, 2023 12.30pm
Feb 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 23
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (58'), Berry (87')
Flemming (4'), Bradshaw (52')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)
Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Millwall
0-2
Luton

Cooper (69')
Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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