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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Watford had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Coventry City in this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Watford |
59.06% ( -0.46) | 21.63% ( 0.33) | 19.3% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 55.01% ( -0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.22% ( -1.31) | 42.77% ( 1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.82% ( -1.32) | 65.17% ( 1.31) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.85% ( -0.57) | 14.14% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.19% ( -1.13) | 41.8% ( 1.13) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.07% ( -0.63) | 35.92% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.3% ( -0.65) | 72.7% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Watford |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.96% Total : 59.06% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.63% | 1-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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