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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 53.57%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | VfL Bochum |
53.57% ( -0.31) | 22.24% ( 0.15) | 24.19% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 60.13% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.67% ( -0.52) | 39.33% ( 0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.33% ( -0.55) | 61.67% ( 0.55) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.27% ( -0.28) | 14.73% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.05% ( -0.55) | 42.94% ( 0.55) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.52% ( -0.15) | 29.48% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.51% ( -0.18) | 65.49% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.57% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 24.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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