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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Werder Bremen logo

Dortmund
2 - 2
Werder Bremen

Guirassy (28'), Friedl (51' og.)
Ryerson (10')
Schlotterbeck (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bittencourt (65'), Ducksch (72')
Bittencourt (63'), Njinmah (79'), Stage (87'), Friedl (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Dortmund
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-2 Augsburg
Sunday, January 19 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Werder Bremen

Dortmund fans will expect a reaction from their players after a series of poor performances, and they may benefit from the new manager bounce. However, Werder Bremen have been prolific in front of goal in recent matchweeks, and BVB will have their work cut out to keep them at bay on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
56.92% (0.171 0.17) 20.48% (-0.072999999999997 -0.07) 22.59% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 64.49% (0.137 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.28% (0.235 0.23)32.71% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.6% (0.269 0.27)54.39% (-0.271 -0.27)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.47% (0.122 0.12)11.53% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.57% (0.263 0.26)36.43% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (0.052999999999997 0.05)27.1% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (0.072000000000003 0.07)62.48% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 56.92%
    Werder Bremen 22.59%
    Draw 20.48%
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.25% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.48% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.7% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.84% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.42% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% (0.012 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.05% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 56.92%
1-1 @ 8.81% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 3.12% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.95% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 20.48%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.66% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 22.59%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund
75.7%
Draw
16.2%
Werder Bremen
8.1%
37
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Werder Bremen
0-0
Dortmund
Weiser (41'), Friedl (59')
Anton (29'), Sule (34'), Ryerson (48'), Schlotterbeck (53'), Bensebaini (85'), Gross (90+1')
Schlotterbeck (73')
Mar 9, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Werder Bremen
1-2
Dortmund
Njinmah (70')
Schmid (77')
Malen (21'), Sancho (38')
Schlotterbeck (78'), Adeyemi (90+5')
Sabitzer (45+1')
Oct 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Dortmund
1-0
Werder Bremen
Brandt (67')
Nmecha (44')

Bittencourt (61'), Stage (75'), Veljkovic (83'), Deman (90+4'), Ducksch (90+5')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Dortmund
2-3
Werder Bremen
Brandt (45+2'), Guerreiro (77')
Modeste (39'), Can (42'), Wolf (83'), Reus (90+1')
Buchanan (89'), Schmidt (90+3'), Burke (90+5')
Fullkrug (29')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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