Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Werder Bremen |
56.92% ( 0.17) | 20.48% ( -0.07) | 22.59% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 64.49% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.28% ( 0.23) | 32.71% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.6% ( 0.27) | 54.39% ( -0.27) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.47% ( 0.12) | 11.53% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.57% ( 0.26) | 36.43% ( -0.26) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.9% ( 0.05) | 27.1% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.52% ( 0.07) | 62.48% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 56.92% | 1-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.48% | 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.74% Total : 22.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |