000
WTNT22 KNHC 022042
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
2100 UTC WED OCT 02 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  44.0W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......190NE 190SE  80SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 300SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  44.0W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  43.6W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.9N  45.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.1N  46.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.4N  48.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.8N  49.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  45SE  35SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.7N  50.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.5N  50.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...130NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 120SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 35.1N  47.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...220NE 230SE 170SW 150NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 42.5N  38.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...130NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 280SE 230SW 190NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  44.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN