Donald Trump Breaks His Record in New Poll

A record number of Americans believe that former President Donald Trump is going to beat President Joe Biden in November.

In a poll released Wednesday by The Economist and YouGov, 49 percent of U.S. adults said that they think Trump would win the 2024 presidential election with him as the Republican nominee and Biden as the Democrats' pick. That number included 16 percent of Democratic participants, 46 percent of independents and 88 percent of Republicans.

Trump's odds for reelection were significantly greater than the 26 percent of adults who said they believed Biden would win in November. Another 25 percent of the 1,582 adults surveyed between July 13 and 16 said they were unsure. The survey specified that participants should pick who they believe will be successful "regardless of who you prefer" for president.

A spokesperson for YouGov confirmed with Newsweek that the recent poll result is the highest number of support Trump has received when compared to past surveys where participants were asked who they viewed as the likely next president. Last week's poll found that 48 percent of adults anticipated that Trump would be reelected, while 29 percent picked Biden.

In the last survey conducted by the Economist/YouGov before the June 27 presidential debate, 41 percent of participants said they believed Trump would win, compared to the 32 percent who selected Biden.

Newsweek reached out to Biden and Trump's campaigns via email for comment Wednesday evening.

Participants were also asked how likely they think Biden is to step down as the Democratic Party's nominee before November. Party members have been split over whether the president should drop out of the 2024 election to allow another Democrat to take his spot on the ballot. Polling has shown that Vice President Kamala Harris is the favorite to replace Biden if he does step aside.

Most Americans (65 percent) said that the president was "not very" or "not at all likely" to drop out of the race. Nineteen percent said that they believed it was "very" or "somewhat likely" that Biden would allow another Democrat to run.

Over a half (51 percent) of U.S. adults said that Biden "definitely" or "probably" should step aside as the Democratic nominee.

Wednesday's poll results also found that adults hold nearly equal favorable views of Biden and Harris (38 percent to 39 percent.) Harris also polled more favorably than Ohio Senator JD Vance, who Trump selected as his running mate.

Only 22 percent of participants said that they view Vance favorably. Forty-three percent said that they view Trump favorably, beating Biden by a margin of 5 percentage points.