玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.84-12.50.00.68-9.3315.25108.9314.580.36134.6911.41-12.556.8914.7740.71186.7312.22-15.9
24Q2 (19)0.9618.520.00.7515.3810.2995.07-15.750.09120.90-13.36-10.1449.57-4.49.55166.40-17.02-9.7
24Q1 (18)0.81-24.3-17.350.65-13.330.0112.8432.6421.26139.5515.05-0.3451.8554.78-7.34200.5416.0113.22
23Q4 (17)1.0727.381.90.7527.1211.9485.07-21.62-2.18121.30-21.2-10.3533.50-17.14-41.46172.87-22.144.74
23Q3 (16)0.84-12.5-14.290.59-13.24-19.18108.5414.2816.9153.9314.422.8740.43-10.65-31.08222.0420.4939.24
23Q2 (15)0.96-2.04-5.880.684.62-16.0594.982.066.44134.55-3.9120.3545.25-19.14-25.84184.284.0431.62
23Q1 (14)0.98-6.672.080.65-2.99-19.7593.067.0-1.94140.023.4824.3555.96-2.22-18.01177.127.3127.2
22Q4 (13)1.057.1416.670.67-8.22-33.086.97-6.33-13.87135.318.0149.2257.23-2.44-5.58165.053.5125.95
22Q3 (12)0.98-3.920.00.73-9.88-30.4892.854.060.44125.2812.0645.1858.66-3.87-6.08159.4613.8937.15
22Q2 (11)1.026.254.080.810.0-22.8689.23-5.97-3.47111.80-0.7129.5661.02-10.59-2.31140.010.5520.42
22Q1 (10)0.966.672.130.81-19.0-20.5994.90-6.02-2.1112.6024.1725.8868.2512.61-11.72139.256.2727.66
21Q4 (9)0.90-8.164.651.00-4.76-13.04100.989.24-4.2390.685.0914.1860.61-2.96-13.33131.0412.714.03
21Q3 (8)0.980.027.271.050.011.792.440.0-21.3986.290.0-11.0562.460.0-17.03116.270.0-16.55
21Q2 (7)0.984.2616.671.052.949.3892.44-4.64-15.0586.29-3.53-9.3862.46-19.21-12.14116.276.59-12.55
21Q1 (6)0.949.3-3.091.02-11.3-9.7396.94-8.063.1589.4512.6310.8477.3110.5529.15109.08-5.08-5.0
20Q4 (5)0.8611.69-9.471.1522.34-12.21105.44-10.349.9179.42-18.1314.3169.93-7.1165.51114.92-17.52-6.69
20Q3 (4)0.77-8.330.00.94-2.080.0117.608.070.097.011.880.075.285.890.0139.334.80.0
20Q2 (3)0.84-13.40.00.96-15.040.0108.8215.790.095.2217.990.071.0918.760.0132.9515.790.0
20Q1 (2)0.972.110.01.13-13.740.093.98-2.030.080.7016.150.059.8641.680.0114.82-6.770.0
19Q4 (1)0.950.00.01.310.00.095.930.00.069.480.00.042.250.00.0123.160.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)3.69-11.932.69-14.8798.9113.61135.5517.4251.31-15.9183.1529.44
2022 (9)4.190.483.16-26.6887.06-0.55115.4436.1661.01-5.6141.4931.39
2021 (8)4.1727.134.31-4.2287.54-21.2684.784.4964.63-6.71107.69-12.48
2020 (7)3.288.254.50-1.53111.18-7.7481.141.5469.2835.34123.05-17.54
2019 (6)3.030.334.57-5.38120.51-0.2279.915.8451.193.31149.231.71
2018 (5)3.02-8.484.83-16.87120.779.2675.5020.1749.5510.16146.7214.29
2017 (4)3.30-4.075.812.11110.534.2762.83-2.0944.9824.77128.38-4.27
2016 (3)3.44-3.15.6916.84106.003.1864.17-14.2936.05-6.7134.11-3.49
2015 (2)3.55-15.684.87-13.04102.7318.574.8714.9438.64-14.06138.9630.04
2014 (1)4.219.645.60-15.6686.69-8.965.1418.544.960.25106.861.5

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