玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q2 (20)0.8521.4346.551.1920.216.67107.00-18.11-32.0976.19-16.77-14.597.19-17.55-21.285.99-17.57-30.29
24Q1 (19)0.70-6.670.00.99-13.91-20.8130.667.971.1791.5415.2925.5117.889.8412.19104.3212.057.54
23Q4 (18)0.75-7.411.351.15-7.26-5.74121.027.41-1.1479.408.126.59107.3212.6210.0393.102.52-6.3
23Q3 (17)0.8139.6614.081.2421.5716.98112.67-28.5-11.6773.44-17.59-14.6895.29-22.74-11.9290.81-26.38-13.88
23Q2 (16)0.58-17.14-15.941.02-18.42.0157.5722.0118.6789.1122.17-2.07123.3317.38-6.02123.3527.1533.31
23Q1 (15)0.70-5.41-9.091.252.46-2.34129.155.519.8472.94-2.082.47105.077.72-13.1497.01-2.3743.12
22Q4 (14)0.744.23-17.781.2215.09-20.26122.41-4.0320.6474.49-13.4625.6497.54-9.84-4.9199.36-5.7770.78
22Q3 (13)0.712.9-16.471.066.0-31.17127.55-3.9419.4386.08-5.445.43108.19-17.5611.26105.4413.9553.37
22Q2 (12)0.69-10.397.811.00-21.88-27.01132.7812.93-6.1790.9927.8336.54131.238.489.5392.5336.524.74
22Q1 (11)0.77-14.448.451.28-16.34-24.71117.5815.88-8.7671.1820.0532.63120.9717.937.4167.7816.5-3.06
21Q4 (10)0.905.8812.51.53-0.65-19.05101.47-4.99-10.7659.290.1722.83102.585.49-0.1758.18-15.37-1.77
21Q3 (9)0.8532.810.01.5412.41-11.49106.80-24.53-0.4859.19-11.1813.3597.24-18.84-2.9868.75-22.1815.94
21Q2 (8)0.64-9.86-28.091.37-19.41-23.03141.519.8139.1266.6424.1730.28119.816.3831.2488.3426.3443.46
21Q1 (7)0.71-11.255.971.70-10.058.28128.8713.33-5.2453.6711.19-7.27112.629.613.1469.9218.05-17.42
20Q4 (6)0.80-5.88-1.231.898.622.72113.715.961.2148.27-7.56-2.15102.752.518.5259.23-0.12-11.6
20Q3 (5)0.85-4.49-9.571.74-2.25-6.95107.315.511.2452.222.097.14100.239.7919.3859.30-3.7-3.18
20Q2 (4)0.8932.840.01.7813.380.0101.72-25.20.051.15-11.630.091.29-16.390.061.58-27.270.0
20Q1 (3)0.67-17.280.01.57-14.670.0135.9921.040.057.8817.330.0109.1915.330.084.6726.370.0
19Q4 (2)0.81-13.830.01.84-1.60.0112.3516.460.049.331.210.094.6812.770.067.009.390.0
19Q3 (1)0.940.00.01.870.00.096.470.00.048.740.00.083.960.00.061.250.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)2.85-5.04.43-13.14127.905.1582.3215.1112.89-0.7497.3322.57
2022 (9)3.00-1.325.10-15.14121.631.1571.5217.75113.73-4.2879.4127.69
2021 (8)3.042.016.01-11.75120.25-1.860.7413.28118.815.2262.19-1.52
2020 (7)2.98-12.876.815.09122.4514.6953.62-4.78112.927.9563.157.99
2019 (6)3.427.216.485.71106.77-6.6356.31-5.39104.60-10.1158.481.7
2018 (5)3.191.276.13-20.6114.35-1.2959.5225.91116.36-0.7357.5025.22
2017 (4)3.15-17.547.72-19.25115.8521.1847.2723.78117.216.3845.9294.49
2016 (3)3.821.069.5613.2795.60-0.9838.19-11.72110.18-11.8723.6159.74
2015 (2)3.78-9.138.446.8496.5510.1343.26-6.34125.0211.6614.78-32.51
2014 (1)4.16-18.597.90-1.087.6722.7946.191.01111.9620.9721.90-10.9

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