玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q2 (20)1.9714.5322.360.7442.3185.046.12-12.82-18.5122.41-29.54-46.747.513.1758.63121.02-32.98-52.78
24Q1 (19)1.728.8622.860.52-3.773.3352.90-8.43-18.58173.722.48-43.6446.0514.55-0.45180.57-3.48-44.77
23Q4 (18)1.58-3.0733.90.5410.274.1957.773.77-25.27169.51-7.96-41.6240.2013.85-33.91187.09-8.52-39.03
23Q3 (17)1.631.2436.970.4922.532.4355.67-1.63-26.92184.16-19.81-24.7435.3117.9-48.06204.51-20.21-19.13
23Q2 (16)1.6115.05.920.4033.33-21.5756.59-12.9-5.49229.66-25.4929.8229.95-35.26-53.14256.30-21.648.24
23Q1 (15)1.4018.64-14.110.30-3.23-50.064.97-15.9516.54308.226.15103.8846.26-23.95-39.26326.926.54150.0
22Q4 (14)1.18-0.84-23.870.31-16.22-54.4177.301.4731.75290.3718.66117.2860.83-10.52-18.24306.8421.33160.21
22Q3 (13)1.19-21.71-25.160.37-27.45-55.4276.1827.2232.81244.7038.32122.4167.986.3720.38252.9046.28128.02
22Q2 (12)1.52-6.75-13.640.51-15.0-47.9659.887.4115.58176.9117.0291.1563.91-16.0828.72172.8932.2182.55
22Q1 (11)1.635.167.240.60-11.76-34.7855.75-4.98-7.08151.1813.1252.5176.162.3748.9130.7710.921.11
21Q4 (10)1.55-2.520.00.68-18.07-38.7458.672.28-0.14133.6421.4763.4774.4031.7571.63117.926.3221.38
21Q3 (9)1.59-9.66-9.140.83-15.31-25.8957.3610.7110.22110.0218.8834.9656.4713.7424.96110.9117.125.51
21Q2 (8)1.7615.794.140.986.5212.6451.81-13.65-3.8692.55-6.64-11.4349.65-2.93-4.9894.71-12.29-10.76
21Q1 (7)1.52-1.9415.150.92-17.1239.3960.002.13-13.2799.1321.26-28.1251.1517.99-15.91107.9811.15-26.18
20Q4 (6)1.55-11.436.91.11-0.8912.1258.7512.89-6.6681.750.28-11.3443.35-4.073.1497.159.94-14.11
20Q3 (5)1.753.5525.01.1228.747.6952.04-3.43-19.7581.52-21.98-6.5245.19-13.51-17.6988.37-16.73-9.06
20Q2 (4)1.6928.030.00.8731.820.053.89-22.10.0104.49-24.230.052.25-14.10.0106.13-27.440.0
20Q1 (3)1.32-8.970.00.66-33.330.069.189.910.0137.9149.560.060.8344.730.0146.2729.320.0
19Q4 (2)1.453.570.00.99-4.810.062.94-2.950.092.215.730.042.03-23.440.0113.1116.40.0
19Q3 (1)1.400.00.01.040.00.064.850.00.087.210.00.054.900.00.097.170.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)6.546.01.67-8.7455.82-5.61218.979.9945.58-36.76229.2123.14
2022 (9)6.17-3.441.83-43.8759.143.57199.0877.9772.089.15186.1480.84
2021 (8)6.391.433.26-24.3657.10-1.5111.8631.9966.0457.35102.932.16
2020 (7)6.302.614.318.2957.97-2.4684.75-7.6741.97-13.78100.75-1.75
2019 (6)6.149.253.98-0.2559.43-8.4391.790.4448.68-19.5102.547.01
2018 (5)5.622.933.99-8.964.90-2.8491.399.5760.47-7.1395.8212.6
2017 (4)5.463.214.384.7866.80-3.1383.41-4.565.1111.0785.10-12.88
2016 (3)5.293.124.188.8568.96-3.0487.34-8.0458.6213.9197.68-14.8
2015 (2)5.136.433.84-4.4871.12-6.0894.984.4851.46-17.19114.659.72
2014 (1)4.82-17.044.023.6175.7220.6390.91-3.3662.1410.41104.493.9

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