玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q2 (20)1.44-2.7-7.691.2211.93-1.6162.982.647.9974.89-10.161.7840.12-5.5812.5497.76-4.371.57
24Q1 (19)1.4824.379.631.09-15.5-19.2661.36-19.72-9.1983.3618.2123.9942.4919.0914.22102.23-8.124.74
23Q4 (18)1.19-20.13-14.391.29-11.031.5776.4325.1916.6570.5212.69-1.4535.6815.13-22.65111.2720.1122.34
23Q3 (17)1.49-4.492.051.4516.94-0.6861.054.68-1.7262.58-14.950.5930.99-13.07-32.7892.64-3.7518.42
23Q2 (16)1.5615.56-1.271.24-8.15-27.0658.32-13.691.4173.589.4537.5335.65-4.17-15.096.25-1.3839.35
23Q1 (15)1.35-2.88-10.61.356.3-21.5167.573.1312.4367.23-6.0527.2337.20-19.36-13.2797.607.3139.35
22Q4 (14)1.39-4.793.731.27-13.01-28.6565.525.47-3.2971.5615.0339.7446.130.0710.9290.9516.2617.55
22Q3 (13)1.46-7.593.551.46-14.12-14.6262.128.02-3.5462.2116.2817.246.109.9214.0578.2313.261.52
22Q2 (12)1.584.64-5.391.70-1.164.9457.51-4.315.6853.501.25-4.9941.94-2.21-1.1369.07-1.381.11
22Q1 (11)1.5112.691.341.72-3.378.8660.10-11.29-1.3152.843.18-8.4542.893.13-4.4670.04-9.47-5.0
21Q4 (10)1.34-4.96-7.591.784.094.7167.755.28.351.21-3.52-4.4241.592.89-7.5277.370.48.71
21Q3 (9)1.41-15.57-7.841.715.56-6.0464.4018.348.3153.08-5.746.3740.42-4.71-10.3477.0612.8119.88
21Q2 (8)1.6712.08-5.651.622.53-18.5954.42-10.645.8556.31-2.4422.8742.42-5.56.5668.31-7.3518.94
21Q1 (7)1.492.76-1.321.58-7.06-13.1960.90-2.651.3357.727.7315.1644.89-0.189.2773.733.66.64
20Q4 (6)1.45-5.23-4.611.70-6.59-10.9962.565.214.7653.587.3712.5944.97-0.2421.8771.1710.721.09
20Q3 (5)1.53-13.560.01.82-8.54-4.2159.4615.66-0.349.908.884.3345.0813.2435.9564.2811.93-13.51
20Q2 (4)1.7717.220.01.999.340.051.41-14.460.045.83-8.560.039.81-3.090.057.43-16.940.0
20Q1 (3)1.51-0.660.01.82-4.710.060.100.640.050.125.320.041.0811.330.069.14-1.790.0
19Q4 (2)1.52-0.650.01.910.530.059.720.130.047.59-0.50.036.9011.280.070.40-5.270.0
19Q3 (1)1.530.00.01.900.00.059.640.00.047.830.00.033.160.00.074.320.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)5.34-14.975.07-17.2968.3817.5772.0020.9538.86-6.88101.5233.65
2022 (9)6.281.626.13-12.0558.16-1.4759.5313.7241.73-3.3875.9611.38
2021 (8)6.18-8.586.97-4.1359.039.3152.354.243.195.4268.207.81
2020 (7)6.7641.727.279.8254.00-29.3750.24-8.8240.97-13.8763.26-24.67
2019 (6)4.77-21.426.62-24.2676.4627.2255.1031.9847.5723.9183.9832.34
2018 (5)6.079.768.74-1.4760.10-8.9441.751.4838.39-4.8163.46-5.01
2017 (4)5.53-2.478.87-0.4566.002.541.140.4940.33-7.7366.818.42
2016 (3)5.67-19.08.91-29.1264.3923.5740.9440.9843.7137.9761.6224.56
2015 (2)7.00-6.5412.57-6.8252.117.029.047.3631.686.749.477.4
2014 (1)7.490.6713.4910.7648.70-0.7327.05-9.7429.69-3.0746.06-4.83

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