玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q2 (20)1.29-3.73-3.010.48-7.692.1370.333.373.02191.279.38-2.1341.46-16.6116.76220.1413.94-3.53
24Q1 (19)1.341.523.880.52-3.720.9368.04-1.61-3.76174.873.32-17.0849.726.7420.45193.200.72-19.61
23Q4 (18)1.32-2.946.450.54-3.5720.069.153.07-5.97169.253.33-17.1746.5840.345.94191.82-2.96-17.99
23Q3 (17)1.362.2611.480.5619.1540.067.09-1.73-10.4163.79-16.19-27.233.19-6.53-36.28197.68-13.37-20.22
23Q2 (16)1.333.111.760.479.36.8268.27-3.44-10.44195.44-7.33-5.0335.51-13.98-28.84228.20-5.04-1.69
23Q1 (15)1.294.034.880.43-4.44-15.6970.70-3.86-4.77210.903.2217.2641.28-6.12-17.17240.322.7417.65
22Q4 (14)1.241.64-8.150.4512.5-16.6773.54-1.799.01204.33-9.1821.043.97-15.59-15.54233.90-5.626.94
22Q3 (13)1.222.52-12.230.40-9.09-28.5774.88-1.7714.69224.999.3237.2652.094.39-2.78247.786.7441.09
22Q2 (12)1.19-3.25-7.750.44-13.73-16.9876.232.688.45205.8014.4220.0349.900.12-5.78232.1313.6422.96
22Q1 (11)1.23-8.89-8.210.51-5.56-17.7474.2410.059.45179.866.5122.4849.84-4.2617.38204.2710.8618.6
21Q4 (10)1.35-2.88-0.740.54-3.57-8.4767.463.321.05168.873.029.7152.06-2.847.78184.264.926.88
21Q3 (9)1.397.751.460.565.66-6.6765.29-7.11-1.67163.92-4.47.6253.581.1720.16175.62-6.970.86
21Q2 (8)1.29-3.7326.470.53-14.523.9270.293.63-20.95171.4616.76-3.9652.9624.73-23.61188.789.61-4.71
21Q1 (7)1.34-1.4713.560.625.08-12.6867.831.6-12.18146.85-4.614.5942.46-12.09-21.98172.23-0.114.08
20Q4 (6)1.36-0.7356.320.59-1.670.066.760.54-36.52153.931.06-0.5848.308.32-24.34172.40-0.99-12.11
20Q3 (5)1.3734.31-5.520.6017.65-28.5766.40-25.336.0152.32-14.6841.2744.59-35.68-14.55174.13-12.1147.21
20Q2 (4)1.02-13.560.00.51-28.170.088.9215.120.0178.5339.310.069.3327.40.0198.1231.230.0
20Q1 (3)1.1835.630.00.7120.340.077.24-26.550.0128.15-17.230.054.42-14.760.0150.97-23.030.0
19Q4 (2)0.87-40.00.00.59-29.760.0105.1667.880.0154.8343.60.063.8422.350.0196.1565.820.0
19Q3 (1)1.450.00.00.840.00.062.640.00.0107.820.00.052.180.00.0118.290.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)5.407.571.881.0867.62-7.06194.15-0.9250.85-0.49210.92-3.07
2022 (9)5.02-2.331.86-15.0772.762.41195.9517.6751.10-2.39217.6117.47
2021 (8)5.1411.262.19-12.7571.05-10.07166.5314.652.358.97185.245.08
2020 (7)4.6223.862.51-3.4679.01-19.3145.313.448.04-30.96176.284.39
2019 (6)3.73-29.492.60-52.5597.9141.98140.53111.1669.5825.89168.86110.47
2018 (5)5.2910.95.486.6168.96-9.966.55-6.3755.2717.9580.23-20.37
2017 (4)4.77-3.835.1411.576.543.9771.08-10.2446.8613.79100.75-9.74
2016 (3)4.9611.214.61-7.873.62-10.0979.198.4841.18-17.47111.626.33
2015 (2)4.46-16.325.00-11.6681.8819.6473.0013.1849.904.02104.9823.53
2014 (1)5.33-0.195.6610.3368.440.0964.50-9.2747.97-0.684.98-6.83

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