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Policy

Economy

This Month

Wayne Swan makes an unhelpful intervention in the interest rate debate.

Chalmers must back the central bank he shaped

The RBA cannot fix inflation as fast as a now big-spending government wants. But the treasurer must be wary of damage to the central bank’s credibility.

  • The AFR View
Nothing to see here: China is lurching from one economic hotspot to another, yet President Xi Jinping seems to have other priorities.

Australia’s China problem is bigger than we think

Look past the renewed pressure on iron ore prices. China needs radical surgery that its leaders appear reluctant to deliver. A prolonged period of pain looks likely.  

  • Updated
  • James Thomson
Labor has left the door open to doling out extra cost of living assistance, even as economists warn the rapid growth in spending is fuelling inflation.

No let-up in government’s spending splurge

Labor has left the door open to doling out extra cost of living assistance, even as economists warn that the rapid growth in spending is fuelling inflation.

  • Michael Read
Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia Michele Bullock speaks at the Anika Foundation lunch in Sydney on Thursday.

Bullock fights her own war

RBA governor Michele Bullock took to the podium on Thursday on a mission to avoid a war of words with the treasurer.

  • Jonathan Shapiro
Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock at the Anika Foundation lunch in Sydney on Thursday.

The alternative to high interest rates is recession: Bullock

Michele Bullock has stressed the necessity of high rates just days after Treasurer Jim Chalmers said the central bank’s actions were “smashing the economy”.

  • Updated
  • Michael Read
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Treasurer Jim Chalmers.

Government spending plays hero and villain

Jim Chalmers says the weakness of the economy justifies high government spending. He doesn’t want voters to link that with interest rates and inflation.

  • Jennifer Hewett

Rate rises are doing what they were meant to

Readers’ letters on interest rate policy; wealth and the young; Australia’s place in Asia; credit card fees; sumo tournaments; fixed-interest investors; and David Rowe’s cartoons.

Jim Chalmers, Michele Bullock and the inflation dragon.

Treasurer v the RBA: Why Chalmers and Bullock are both right

Jim Chalmers says the economy is getting smashed by high rates, but it’s still running too hot for the RBA. The answer is simple: productivity.

  • Michael Stutchbury

Record government spending prolonging RBA’s inflation fight

Treasurer Jim Chalmers says the economy would have gone backwards without government spending, but economists warn the outlays are making the RBA’s job harder.

  • Updated
  • Michael Read
Former RBA board member Warwick McKibbin.

You’re part of the inflation problem, McKibbin tells Chalmers

Former RBA board member Warwick McKibbin says the treasurer should be doing more to get price rises under control, instead of criticising the central bank.

  • Michael Read and Lucas Baird
Jim Chalmers.

‘It’s self-evident’: Chalmers stands firm on rates ‘smashing the economy’

In a breakfast TV blitz, Treasurer Jim Chalmers has also accused the Coalition of making political capital out of the independent central bank’s decisions.

  • Michael Read
Jim Chalmers’ other concern is the weakness of economic growth and the possibility that this might tip over into recession.

Chalmers is more in touch with the economy than the RBA

It’s easy enough to understand the treasurer’s criticism of the RBA in political terms. But the inflation target that is good for the central bank as an institution is not so good for the economy.

  • John Quiggin
Jim Chalmers’ subterfuge no longer seems to be fooling anyone.

Chalmers is smashing Labor’s economic legacy

If only the treasurer focused a little less on managing political expectations and a little more on managing inflation expectations we might have avoided this mess in the first place.

  • Steven Hamilton
Consumer and wages data signal the economy is growing only slowly.

Consumer slowdown hits profits and GDP growth

Growth in profits and wages is slowing sharply across consumer-facing sectors such as retail and construction, raising expectations for sluggish June GDP figures.

  • Michael Read
Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock.

Attacks on retirees are getting old

Readers’ letters on the wealth of retirees; the Reserve Bank of Australia and fixed-interest investors; and private hospitals

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Gina Cass-Gottlieb heads an ACCC that lacks the resources to handle large numbers of merger proposals.

Raising the bar against mergers will rob everyone of benefits

Why clamp down on mergers with less than maximum benefits when the public would still gain from seeing them go through?

  • Bran Black
Off we go into the wild blue yonder ...

Is Anthony Albanese fated to lead the last majority government?

Labor may not hold off the Greens, and the Coalition may not recapture the seats it lost to the teals. Another marriage of convenience may beckon.

  • Lidija Ivanovski
 Small shifts in behaviour can have a big effect. A jump in the number of homeowners welcoming flatmates has added the equivalent of 106,000 houses onto the market.

These two charts show the worst of the rental crisis is over

Small shifts in behaviour can have a big effect. A jump in the number of homeowners welcoming flatmates has added the equivalent of 106,000 houses onto the market.

  • Michael Read
Subsidies under Anthony Albanese’s Labor government, and the previous Morrison government, have driven up childcare prices.

The case for making childcare costs tax deductable

Government contributions will again increase demand without boosting supply. No wonder fees keep rising.

  • Richard Holden
RBA’s former head of economic research John Simon.

Inflation could become entrenched, ex-RBA research boss warns

The central bank’s former top researcher, John Simon, says the decision not to raise rates further has not been adequately scrutinised by the board.

  • Michael Read