Division of Page

Last updated

Page
Australian House of Representatives Division
Division of PAGE 2016.png
Division of Page in New South Wales, as of the 2016 federal election
Created1984
MP Kevin Hogan
Party Nationals
Namesake Sir Earle Page
Electors 122,915 (2022)
Area19,342 km2 (7,468.0 sq mi)
DemographicRural
Electorates around Page:
Maranoa
(QLD)
Wright
(QLD)
Richmond
New England Page Pacific Ocean
New England Cowper Pacific Ocean

The Division of Page is an Australian electoral division in the state of New South Wales.

Contents

History

Sir Earle Page, the division's namesake Earle Page.jpg
Sir Earle Page, the division's namesake

The division is named after the Right Honourable Sir Earle Page, the second leader of the Country Party of Australia and the Prime Minister of Australia after the death of Joseph Lyons in 1939. The division was proclaimed at the redistribution of 11 October 1984, and was first contested at the 1984 federal election.

Since its creation, Page has usually been a marginal seat, frequently changing hands between the National Party and the Labor Party, with neither party gaining more than 55% of the two party preferred vote at any election except for the 1984 election, the 2019 election and the 2022 Australian federal election . It was considered a bellwether seat from the 1990 election until 2022, when it was comfortably won by the National Party, despite the victory of the Labor Party under Anthony Albanese. [1] Though results vary by election, booths in the City of Lismore LGA are usually Labor’s strongest results, while the more rural booths generally deliver strong votes for the Nationals candidate. [2]

It was previously held by Ian Causley, the Deputy Speaker of the Australian House of Representatives. Causley retired at the 2007 election, and Chris Gulaptis, a former Mayor of Maclean, was endorsed as the Nationals' candidate. Labor selected Janelle Saffin, a former member of the New South Wales Legislative Council, who took the seat with a swing of around 8 per cent. Saffin increased her majority in 2010, however was defeated in 2013 by the Nationals' Kevin Hogan, who won with a swing of 6.71 per cent.

Hogan moved to the crossbench in 2018 in protest over the spate of leadership spills in the Liberal Party. However, he still supported the Coalition on confidence and supply, and remained a National in good standing. He rejoined the Coalition before the 2019 election and contested that as a Nationals endorsed candidate. [3] [4]

Boundaries

Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned. [5]

The division is located in the far north-east of the state, adjoining the border with Queensland and the Tasman Sea. It includes the towns of Lismore, Casino, Grafton, Tyringham, Bonalbo, Nimbin, Yamba and Iluka. Originally, much of its current territory (including Page's home of Grafton) was located in neighbouring Cowper, which Page represented from 1919 to 1961. In February 2016, Page's borders were extended as far south as Sapphire Beach. [6]

Members

ImageMemberPartyTermNotes
  Ian Robinson 1970.jpg Ian Robinson
(1925–2017)
Nationals 1 December 1984
24 March 1990
Previously held the Division of Cowper. Lost seat
  Labor Placeholder.png Harry Woods
(1947–)
Labor 24 March 1990
2 March 1996
Lost seat. Later elected to the New South Wales Legislative Assembly seat of Clarence in 1996
  Nationals Placeholder.png Ian Causley
(1940–2020)
Nationals 2 March 1996
17 October 2007
Previously held the New South Wales Legislative Assembly seat of Clarence. Retired
  Janelle Saffin.jpg Janelle Saffin
(1954–)
Labor 24 November 2007
7 September 2013
Previously a member of the New South Wales Legislative Council. Lost seat. Later elected to the New South Wales Legislative Assembly seat of Lismore in 2019
  Kevin Hogan 2019.jpg Kevin Hogan
(1963–)
Nationals 7 September 2013
24 August 2018
Incumbent
  Independent National 24 August 2018 –
21 May 2019
  Nationals 21 May 2019 –
present

Election results

2022 Australian federal election: Page [7]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
National Kevin Hogan 47,70145.62−4.01
Labor Patrick Deegan19,53118.68−7.68
Independent Hanabeth Luke13,73413.13+13.13
Greens Kashmir Miller8,8638.48−3.20
One Nation Donna Pike5,6215.38+5.38
Liberal Democrats Thomas Searles3,8963.73+3.73
United Australia Ian Williamson2,4312.32−0.88
Indigenous-Aboriginal Brett Duroux1,7331.66+1.66
Australian Federation Heather Smith8160.78+0.78
TNL Serge Killingbeck2430.23+0.23
Total formal votes104,56993.03−2.22
Informal votes7,8396.97+2.22
Turnout 112,40891.47−1.06
Two-party-preferred result
National Kevin Hogan 63,51260.74+1.29
Labor Patrick Deegan41,05739.26−1.29
National hold Swing +1.29
Primary vote results in Page (Parties that did not get 5% of the vote are omitted)
  National
  Liberal
  Labor
  Greens
  Australian Democrats
  One Nation
  Independent
Two-candidate-preferred results in Page

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References

  1. "Page - Federal Electorate, Candidates, Results". Australian Broadcasting Corporation .
  2. "Page – Australia 2019 | The Tally Room". 2 April 2018.
  3. "It's time for sane Liberals to tell their party's deniers the climate has changed | The New Daily Liberal dinosaur need to be taught the climate has changed". 10 January 2020.
  4. "Nats MP to return if elected, leader says".
  5. Muller, Damon (14 November 2017). "The process of federal redistributions: a quick guide". Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 19 April 2022.
  6. "Profile of the electoral division of Page (NSW)". Australian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 18 March 2016.
  7. Page, NSW, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.

29°16′30″S152°48′14″E / 29.275°S 152.804°E / -29.275; 152.804