2022 South Ayrshire Council election

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2022 South Ayrshire Council election
S Ayrs arms.png
←  2017 5 May 2022 (2022-05-05)2027 →
All 28 seats to South Ayrshire Council
15 seats needed for a majority
Registered92,112
Turnout49.7%
 First partySecond party
  Martin Dowey.jpg Peter Henderson.jpg
LeaderMartin DoweyPeter Henderson
Party Conservative SNP
Leader's seatAyr WestGirvan and South Carrick
Last election12 seats, 43.4%9 seats, 30.2%
Seats before119
Seats won109
Seat changeDecrease2.svg 2Steady2.svg
Popular vote14,52014,838
Percentage33.3%34.1%
SwingDecrease2.svg 10.1%Increase2.svg 3.9%
 Third partyFourth party
  Brian McGinley.jpg
Ind
LeaderBrian McGinleyN/A
Party Labour Independent
Leader's seatAyr EastN/A
Last election5 seats, 15.2%2 seats, 10.7%
Seats before53
Seats won54
Seat changeSteady2.svgIncrease2.svg 2
Popular vote7,2765,313
Percentage16.7%12.2%
SwingIncrease2.svg 1.5%Increase2.svg 1.5%
South Ayrshire Council election 2022.svg
Leader before election

Peter Henderson
(SNP)
No overall control

Leader after election

Martin Dowey
(Conservative)
No overall control

Elections to South Ayrshire Council took place on 5 May 2022 on the same day as the 31 other Scottish local government elections. As with other Scottish council elections, it was held using single transferable vote (STV) – a form of proportional representation – in which multiple candidates are elected in each ward and voters rank candidates in order of preference.

Contents

Despite shedding almost a quarter of their vote and coming second in the popular vote, the Conservatives retained their position as the largest party returning 10 councillors - two less than in the previous election. Both the Scottish National Party (SNP) – who topped the popular vote – and Labour made no gains or losses to remain as the second and third parties respectively. The number of independents returned increased from two to four.

Following the election the Conservatives formed a minority administration, replacing the previous SNP-Labour-Independent administration which was formed as a result of the previous election in 2017.

Background

Previous election

At the previous election in 2017, the Conservatives won the most seats returning 12 councillors. The Scottish National Party (SNP) maintained their position as the second-largest party while boundary changes saw Labour lose out as they lost four seats to return five councillors. Two independents were also returned. [1] [2]

2017 South Ayrshire Council election result
PartySeatsVote share
Conservatives 1243.4%
SNP 930.2%
Labour 515.2%
Independent 210.7%

Source: [1] [2]

Electoral system

The election used the eight wards created under the Local Governance (Scotland) Act 2004, with 28 councillors elected. Each ward elected either three or four members, using the single transferable vote (STV) electoral system – a form of proportional representation – where candidates are ranked in order of preference. [3]

Composition

There was one change to the composition of the council following the previous election in 2017. Conservative councillor Hugh Hunter was de-selected in the run-up to the 2022 elections and resigned from the party to stand as an independent. [4] [5]

Composition of South Ayrshire Council
Party2017 resultDissolution
Conservative 1211
SNP 99
Labour 55
Independents23

Retiring Councillors

Retiring councillors
Council WardPartyRetiring Councillor
Troon Conservative Peter Convery
Prestwick Conservative Margaret Toner
Labour Helen Moonie
Ayr North SNP Douglas Campbell
Ayr West SNP Siobhian Brown
Kyle Labour Andy Campbell
Girvan and South Carrick Conservative Ian Fitzsimmons

Source: [2] [6]

Candidates

The total number of candidates increased from 45 in 2017 to 61 mainly due to the increased number of parties contesting the election. Unlike the previous vote, the Conservatives fielded the highest number of candidates at 19 – seven more than they had in 2017. Both the SNP and Labour also fielded at least one candidate in every ward but the 13 candidates fielded by the SNP and the eight fielded by Labour was one less than in 2017. The Liberal Democrats named six candidates in this election after fielding none in South Ayrshire in 2017. The number of independent candidates increased from nine in 2017 to 10 but the Greens did not contest the election as they did five years previous. Both the Scottish Family Party and the Alba Party fielded their first ever candidates in a South Ayrshire election. [2] [6] [7]

Results

2022 South Ayrshire Council election
PartySeatsGainsLossesNet gain/lossSeats %Votes %Votes+/−
  Conservative 1002Decrease2.svg 235.732.614,520Decrease2.svg 10.1
  SNP 900Steady2.svg32.133.414,849Increase2.svg 3.9
  Labour 500Steady2.svg17.816.37,276Increase2.svg 1.5
  Independent 420Increase2.svg 214.215.36,820Increase2.svg 1.5
  Liberal Democrats 000Steady2.svg0.01.5671New
  Alba 000Steady2.svg0.00.6275New
  Scottish Family 000Steady2.svg0.00.2108New
Total28 43,488

Source: [8]

Note: Votes are the sum of first preference votes across all council wards. The net gain/loss and percentage changes relate to the result of the previous Scottish local elections on 4 May 2017. This is because STV has an element of proportionality which is not present unless multiple seats are being elected. This may differ from other published sources showing gain/loss relative to seats held at the dissolution of Scotland's councils. [9] [10]

Ward summary

Results of the 2022 South Ayrshire Council election by ward
Ward %Cllrs %Cllrs %Cllrs %Cllrs %CllrsTotal
Cllrs
Con SNP Lab Ind Others
Troon 37.3235.9119.212.804.704
Prestwick 25.5134.8115.4123.211.204
Ayr North 20.5145.9224.116.303.204
Ayr East 30.0139.2116.5112.102.303
Ayr West 39.6221.9110.9022.814.804
Kyle 36.7133.9123.016.403
Maybole, North Carrick and Coylton 35.5132.0112.4017.712.503
Girvan and South Carrick 28.0124.918.8037.211.203
Total32.61033.4916.3515.342.2028

Source: [8]

Seats changing hands

Below is a list of seats which elected a different party or parties from 2017 in order to highlight the change in political composition of the council from the previous election. The list does not include defeated incumbents who resigned or defected from their party and subsequently failed re-election while the party held the seat.

Seats changing hands
Seat20172022
PartyMemberPartyMember
Prestwick Conservative Hugh Hunter Independent Hugh Hunter [Note 1]
Ayr West ConservativeDerek McCabeIndependentBob Shields
Notes
  1. ^
    Note 1: In 2017, Hugh Hunter was elected as a Conservative candidate but was later deselected and stood as an independent in 2022. [5]

Ward results

Troon

The Conservatives (2), the SNP (1) and Labour (1) retained the seats they won at the previous election.

Troon - 4 seats
PartyCandidateFPv%Count
12345678
SNP Craig MacKay (incumbent)23.01,607       
Labour Philip Saxton (incumbent)19.21,3421,352 1,405     
Conservative Bob Pollock (incumbent)16.21,1311,134 1,146 1,147 1,209 1,463  
Conservative Kenneth Bell14.51,0151,016 1,029 1,029 1,074 1,275 1,335 1,497
SNP Annie McIndoe12.88981,080 1,120 1,122 1,184 1,192 1,193  
Conservative Rose Hall6.5459459 466 466 496    
Liberal Democrats Judith Godden4.7329333 373 376     
Independent Linda Lunan2.8198200       
Electorate: 13,025  Valid: 6,979  Spoilt: 128  Quota: 1,396  Turnout: 54.6%  

    Source: [11] [12]

    Prestwick

    The Conservatives held one of the two seats they won at the previous election and lost one to independent candidate Hugh Hunter while the SNP and Labour retained the seats they had won at the previous election. In 2017, Hugh Hunter was elected as a Conservative candidate.

    Prestwick - 4 seats
    PartyCandidateFPv%Count
    12345678
    SNP Ian Cochrane (incumbent)25.51,685       
    Independent Hugh Hunter (incumbent)23.21,544       
    Conservative Martin Kilbride17.01,1321,135 1,195 1,236 1,239 1,726  
    Labour Cameron Ramsay15.31,0201,038 1,077 1,086 1,100 1,114 1,181 1,591
    SNP Norrie Smith9.2614928 955 958 995 997 1,002  
    Conservative Derek Stillie 7.3488488 516 539 544    
    Alba John Caddis1.17884 90 91     
    Conservative Owen Daniel North1.07172 79      
    Electorate: 12,507  Valid: 6,642  Spoilt: 107  Quota: 1,329  Turnout: 54.0%  

      Source: [13] [14]

      Ayr North

      The SNP (2), Labour (1) and the Conservatives (1) retained the seats they had won at the previous election.

      Ayr North - 4 seats
      PartyCandidateFPv%Count
      1234567
      SNP Laura Brennan-Whitefield (incumbent)38.81,913      
      Labour Ian Cavana (incumbent)24.01,185      
      Conservative Ian Davis (incumbent)13.7675687 715 719 723 745 1,046
      SNP Mark Dixon6.93441,143     
      Conservative David Paterson6.8336341 349 352 354 367  
      Independent Andrew Russell6.2309326 346 365 403 462 481
      Liberal Democrats Mason Graham1.68090 137 156 172   
      Alba Denise Sommerville1.67990 94 124    
      Electorate: 12,973  Valid: 4,921  Spoilt: 166  Quota: 985  Turnout: 39.2%  

        Source: [15] [16]

        Ayr East

        The SNP, Labour and the Conservatives retained the seats they won at the previous election.

        Ayr East - 3 seats
        PartyCandidateFPv%Count
        123456789
        SNP Chris Cullen (incumbent)27.81,377        
        Conservative Mary Kilpatrick (incumbent)19.4959960 980 1,003 1,024 1,068 1,565  
        Labour Brian McGinley (incumbent)16.4814820 860 888 919 992 1,021 1,108 1,408
        SNP Ian Douglas11.2556676 684 703 727 779 783 791  
        Conservative Alan Lamont10.5520520 525 545 560 584    
        Independent Chic Brodie 4.7232233 236 268 364     
        Independent Andrew Bryden3.7185187 204 245      
        Independent David John Ramsay3.6180181 189       
        Liberal Democrats Deirdre Kennedy2.2113114        
        Electorate: 10,276  Valid: 4,936  Spoilt: 95  Quota: 1,235  Turnout: 49.0%  

          Source: [17] [18]

          Ayr West

          The Conservatives retained two of the three seats they won at the previous election and lost one to independent candidate Bob Shields while the SNP retained their only seat.

          Ayr West - 4 seats
          PartyCandidateFPv%Count
          123456789
          Conservative Martin Dowey (incumbent)27.12,271        
          Independent Bob Shields22.81,909        
          SNP George Weir14.51,2171,218 1,237 1,252 1,275 1,282 1,870  
          Labour John Duncan10.9915930 961 981 1,117 1,140 1,165 1,247  
          Conservative Lee Lyons (incumbent)8.36991,113 1,164 1,199 1,235 1,646 1,649 1,652 1,893
          SNP Margaret Weir7.3614614 624 628 653 655    
          Conservative Derek McCabe (incumbent)4.0341465 503 515 548     
          Liberal Democrats Jamie Ross3.5295305 341 349      
          Scottish Family Gordon Hawley Bryce1.2108111 118       
          Electorate: 14,541  Valid: 8,369  Spoilt: 133  Quota: 1,674  Turnout: 58.5%  

            Source: [19] [20]

            Kyle

            The SNP, Labour and the Conservatives retained the seats they won at the previous election.

            Kyle - 3 seats
            PartyCandidateFPv%Count
            123456
            SNP Julie Dettbarn (incumbent)33.91,635     
            Labour Duncan Townson23.01,1101,236    
            Conservative Stephen Ferry19.8955964 967 971 1,072 1,836
            Conservative Arthur Spurling (incumbent)16.8814823 826 830 879  
            Liberal Democrats John Aitken4.8235288 299 365   
            Alba Geoff Bush1.471154 156    
            Electorate: 10,625  Valid: 4,820  Spoilt: 57  Quota: 1,206  Turnout: 45.9%  

              Source: [21] [22]

              Maybole, North Carrick and Coylton

              The SNP, the Conservatives and independent candidate Brian Connolly retained the seats they won at the previous election.

              Maybole, North Carrick and Coylton - 3 seats
              PartyCandidateFPv%Count
              123456
              SNP William James Grant (incumbent)31.91,370     
              Conservative Ian Campbell (incumbent)20.9895903 914 1,435  
              Independent Brian Connolly (incumbent)17.6756857 892 920 1,043 1,402
              Conservative Laura McEwan14.5623629 635    
              Labour Nicola Saxton12.4532598 651 690 752  
              Liberal Democrats Stephen Ralph2.4106130     
              Electorate: 9,316  Valid: 4,282  Spoilt: 74  Quota: 1,071  Turnout: 46.8%  

                Source: [23] [24]

                Girvan and South Carrick

                Independent candidate Alec Clark, the SNP and the Conservatives held the seats they won at the previous election.

                Girvan and South Carrick - 3 seats
                PartyCandidateFPv%Count
                1234567
                Independent Alec Clark (incumbent)31.41,277      
                SNP Peter Henderson (incumbent)24.81,0081,071     
                Conservative Gavin Scott14.1573600 601 607 684 753 1,371
                Conservative Linda Kane13.8563591 592 594 620 734  
                Labour Aaron Gilpin8.8358398 410 423 508   
                Independent Todor Joseph Radic5.6230286 296 321    
                Alba Eileen Spence1.14751 61     
                Electorate: 8,849  Valid: 4,056  Spoilt: 75  Quota: 1,015  Turnout: 46.7%  

                  Source: [25] [26]

                  Aftermath

                  It had initially been expected that the ruling SNP-Labour-Independent administration would continue to run the council, but discussions broke down between the parties amid Labour's claims of a "political stitch-up". As a result, the SNP planned to run the council as a minority administration on a "collaboration and consensus basis". [27] However, the Conservative group formed a minority administration and took control of the council [28] after the first full-council meeting thanks to Labour abstentions. The party also had the support of two of the local authority's four independents. [29]

                  In June 2023, both the SNP and Labour groups made changes to their leadership. Cllr Peter Henderson, leader of the SNP group, retired as a councillor due to "personal ill-health" which triggered a by-election in Girvan and South Carrick. He was replaced by Cllr William Grant as the SNP group leader. Labour group leader Cllr Brian McGinley was replaced in the role by Cllr Duncan Townson. [30] [31]

                  Ayr East councillor Chris Cullen defected from the SNP to the Alba Party in October 2023 saying the party had "failed to deliver on independence". [32]

                  At some point in late 2023 or early 2024, Ayr North councillor Mark Dixon left the SNP to sit as an independent. He has stated on social media that he is now a member of the Greens but the party do not allow members who have defected from other parties to formally sit under their banner so he remains an independent on the council. [8] [33]

                  In July 2024, Cllr Stephen Ferry resigned from the Conservatives to sit as an independent councillor and from his position as education portfolio holder. A deal was subsequently struck between the Conservative administration and Cllr Grant – who resigned from his position as SNP group leader and from the party to sit as an independent – which would see him return as education portfolio holder, a position he held while the SNP were in administration before the 2022 election. [34]

                  Girvan and South Carrick by-election

                  Cllr Henderson stood down on 30 June 2023 and a by-election took place on 21 September 2023. [35] This resulted in a Conservative gain from the SNP and Alan Lamont was elected on the fourth count. [36]

                  Girvan and South Carrick (21 September 2023) - 1 seat
                  PartyCandidateFPv%Count
                  1234
                  Conservative Alan Lamont47.51,3151,323 1,346 1,497
                  SNP Joseph McLaughlin28.1778802 824 947
                  Labour Nicola Saxton18.0499507 551  
                  Liberal Democrats Jamie Ross3.9108113   
                  Alba Denise Sommerville2.570   
                  Electorate: 8,648  Valid: 2,770  Spoilt: 32  Quota: 1,386  Turnout: 32.4%  

                    Source: [37]

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                    References

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                    2. 1 2 3 4 Teale, Andrew. "Local Elections Archive Project - 2017 - South Ayrshire" . Retrieved 17 March 2023.
                    3. ↑ "Notice of Election" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. Retrieved 17 March 2023.
                    4. ↑ Wilson, Stuart (9 November 2021). "Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party to drop Prestwick councillor Hugh Hunter from 2022 local election team". Daily Record. Retrieved 8 April 2022.
                    5. 1 2 Wilson, Stuart (13 February 2022). "Former South Ayrshire Conservative councillor Hugh Hunter confirms Independent bid for May election". Daily Record. Retrieved 8 April 2022.
                    6. 1 2 Wilson, Stuart (30 March 2022). "Scottish council elections 2022: South Ayrshire candidates revealed for May 5 vote". Daily Record. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    7. ↑ "Notice of Election Agents" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. 30 March 2022. Retrieved 19 May 2023.
                    8. 1 2 3 Faulds, Allan. "South Ayrshire Council 2022". Ballot Box Scotland. Retrieved 4 April 2024.
                    9. ↑ Faulds, Allan (25 September 2021). "The Local STV Voting System Explained". Ballot Box Scotland. Retrieved 24 October 2022.
                    10. ↑ "Single Transferable Vote". Electoral Reform Society. Retrieved 24 October 2022.
                    11. ↑ "Declaration of Results Report Ward 1 Troon" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. 6 May 2022. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    12. ↑ "Candidate Votes Per Stage Report Ward 1 Troon" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. 6 May 2022. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    13. ↑ "Declaration of Results Report Ward 2 Prestwick" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. 6 May 2022. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    14. ↑ "Candidate Votes Per Stage Report Ward 2 Prestwick" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. 6 May 2022. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    15. ↑ "Declaration of Results Report Ward 3 Ayr North" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. 6 May 2022. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    16. ↑ "Candidate Votes Per Stage Report Ward 3 Ayr North" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. 6 May 2022. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    17. ↑ "Declaration of Results Report Ward 4 Ayr East" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. 6 May 2022. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    18. ↑ "Candidate Votes Per Stage Report Ward 4 Ayr East" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. 6 May 2022. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    19. ↑ "Declaration of Results Report Ward 5 Ayr West" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. 6 May 2022. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    20. ↑ "Candidate Votes Per Stage Report Ward 5 Ayr West" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. 6 May 2022. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    21. ↑ "Declaration of Results Report Ward 6 Kyle" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. 6 May 2022. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    22. ↑ "Candidate Votes Per Stage Report Ward 6 Kyle" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. 6 May 2022. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    23. ↑ "Declaration of Results Report Ward 7 Maybole, North Carrick and Coylton" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. 6 May 2022. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    24. ↑ "Candidate Votes Per Stage Report Ward 7 Maybole, North Carrick and Coylton" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. 6 May 2022. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    25. ↑ "Declaration of Results Report Ward 8 Girvan and South Carrick" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. 6 May 2022. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    26. ↑ "Candidate Votes Per Stage Report Ward 8 Girvan and South Carrick" (PDF). South Ayrshire Council. 6 May 2022. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    27. ↑ Dyson, Kevin (10 May 2022). "SNP to run South Ayrshire as minority administration as Labour claim 'political stitch-up'". Daily Record. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
                    28. ↑ Wilson, Stuart (19 May 2022). "BREAKING: Tories take control of South Ayrshire Council". Daily Record. Retrieved 19 May 2022.
                    29. ↑ Richards, Xander; Robertson, Adam (26 May 2022). "Every Scottish council with a Tory-Labour deal - see the full list" . The National. Retrieved 12 December 2022.
                    30. ↑ Lyon, Adam (9 June 2023). "South Ayrshire SNP leader Peter Henderson to retire this month". Ayr Advertiser. Retrieved 28 August 2023.
                    31. ↑ Dyson, Kevin (9 June 2023). "South Ayrshire Council: All change for SNP and Labour leadership". Ayr Advertiser. Retrieved 28 August 2023.
                    32. ↑ "SNP councillor Chris Cullen defects to Alba in Ash Regan's wake". BBC News. 30 October 2023. Retrieved 4 April 2024.
                    33. ↑ "Councillor Mark Dison". South Ayrshire Council. Retrieved 4 April 2024.
                    34. ↑ "SNP stunned as leader quits and is set to prop up Conservative administration in South Ayrshire". Daily Record. 15 July 2024. Retrieved 15 July 2024.
                    35. ↑ Gibson, Darren (16 August 2023). "Girvan and South Carrick: By-election taking place in Ward 8". Ayr Advertiser. Retrieved 28 August 2023.
                    36. ↑ Dyson, Kevin (22 September 2023). "Conservatives snatch precious seat from SNP in South Ayrshire by-election". Daily Record. Retrieved 23 September 2023.
                    37. ↑ Faulds, Allan. "By-Election Result: Girvan and South Carrick". Ballot Box Scotland. Retrieved 24 September 2023.
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