2016 Ohio Republican presidential primary

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2016 Ohio Republican presidential primary
Flag of Ohio.svg
 2012March 15, 2016 (2016-03-15) 2020  
  NC
AS  
  John Kasich (24618295175) (cropped).jpg Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg Ted Cruz by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg
Candidate John Kasich Donald Trump Ted Cruz
Home state Ohio New York Texas
Delegate count6600
Popular vote933,886713,404264,640
Percentage46.95%35.87%13.31%

2016 OH GOP presidential primary.svg
Ohio results by county.

The 2016 Ohio Republican presidential primary took place March 15 in the U.S. state of Ohio, as a part of the Republican Party's series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. The Ohio primary was held alongside Republican primary elections in Florida, Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina, along with the Democratic contest in Ohio.

Contents

The primary was won by the state's then governor, John Kasich.

Background

In the 2012 Republican primary elections, the Ohio primary was a winner-take-most primary scheduled for March 6. [1] However, the state's winner, Mitt Romney, reached only 37% of the vote and thus won only 58% of the state's delegates. House Bill 153, signed by Governor Kasich, moved the primary to March 15 for the 2016 contest, in what would be dubbed a second Super Tuesday by several news networks. [2] In addition, in mid-September, Ohio's Republican Party decided to make the state's 66 delegates completely winner-take-all, in order to maximize the state's power on the nominating convention and to avoid a similar problem to what happened in 2012. This was also expected to help John Kasich, as the state's governor. [3]

The state of the campaign

Previous contests

Despite an early victory by Ted Cruz in the Iowa caucuses, Donald Trump was seen as making steady progress towards the Republican nomination at the time. Trump was victorious in 7 of the contests on March 1, with Cruz seen as the only viable threat to Trump after victories in his home state of Texas and 3 other March 1 contests. Marco Rubio performed worse than anticipated on March 1, taking only Minnesota. On March 8, two primaries and a caucus were held in Hawaii, Michigan and Mississippi. Despite a poll from American Research Group that showed Kasich leading Trump in Michigan, Trump won all three contests. [4] [5]

Run-up to the election

The opinion polls during early March showed a narrow lead for Trump over Governor Kasich. These polls found approximately 10% support for Marco Rubio, in a distant fourth place. Seeing that many Rubio voters also preferred Governor Kasich as "establishment" voters, Rubio's communications director encouraged Rubio voters to vote for Kasich on March 11. [26] The strategy seemed to work, as Kasich drew narrowly ahead in the polls immediately before the election. [27] Kasich was seen as a slight favorite to take the state immediately before the primary. [28]

Results

Ohio Republican primary, March 15, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
John Kasich 933,88646.95%66066
Donald Trump 713,40435.87%000
Ted Cruz 264,64013.31%000
Marco Rubio 46,4782.34%000
Ben Carson (withdrawn)14,3510.72%000
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)5,3980.27%000
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)4,9410.25%000
Chris Christie (withdrawn)2,4300.12%000
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)2,1120.11%000
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)1,3200.07%000
Unprojected delegates:000
Total:1,988,960100.00%66066
Source: The Green Papers

Marco Rubio suspended his campaign after March 15's contests, although this was more based on a poor Florida primary as opposed to the Ohio contest. [29]

Related Research Articles

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were either declared candidates, former candidates, or received media speculation about their possible candidacy. On May 4, 2016, Donald Trump became the sole contender and presumptive nominee.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of the poll's leader.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries. For currency and accuracy, please note the specific dates for each polling as listed below. For the significance of the earliest state votes, the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, see United States presidential primary – Iowa and New Hampshire. To know when any given state votes, see the timeline of primaries and caucuses.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Republican Party presidential primaries</span>

Presidential primaries and caucuses of the Republican Party took place within all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories between February 1 and June 7, 2016. These elections selected the 2,472 delegates that were sent to the Republican National Convention. Businessman and reality television personality Donald Trump won the Republican nomination for president of the United States.

Twelve presidential debates and nine forums were held between the candidates for the Republican Party's nomination for president in the 2016 United States presidential election, starting on August 6, 2015.

Marco Rubio, then the junior United States senator from Florida, formally announced his 2016 presidential campaign on April 13, 2015, at the Freedom Tower in Downtown Miami. Early polling showed Rubio, who was considered a potential candidate for vice president by Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in 2012, as a frontrunner candidate for the Republican nomination for president of the United States in 2016 since at least the end of the 2012 election. Rubio was the second Cuban American to run for president, with Republican Ted Cruz announcing his campaign three weeks earlier. He suspended his campaign on March 15, 2016, after finishing second in Florida's primary.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">John Kasich 2016 presidential campaign</span> American political campaign

The 2016 presidential campaign of John Kasich, the 69th governor of Ohio, was announced on July 21, 2015. He was a candidate for the 2016 Republican Party presidential nomination. He earned 154 delegates and won only one contest, his home state, Ohio. Kasich suspended his campaign on May 4, 2016, one day after becoming the last major challenger to Donald Trump for the nomination. Kasich vied to become the first Pennsylvania native to hold the office since James Buchanan in 1856, as well as the first from the city of Pittsburgh to do so.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary</span>

The 2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary, which took place on February 9, was the second major vote of the cycle. Donald Trump was declared the winner with 35.2% of the popular vote and picked up 11 delegates, while John Kasich emerged from a pack of candidates between 10 and 20% to capture second place with 15.8% of the vote and picked up four delegates.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses</span>

The 2016 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses took place on February 1 in the U.S. state of Iowa, traditionally marking the Republican Party's first nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from 2013 to December 31, 2015, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Florida as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Ohio Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Ohio Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Ohio as one of the Democratic Party's primaries prior to the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Wisconsin Republican presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Wisconsin Republican presidential primary was held on April 5 in the U.S. state of Wisconsin as one of the Republican Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. Texas senator Ted Cruz won the contest with 48%, ahead of nationwide frontrunner Donald Trump by 13 percentage points. Taking advantage of the state's two-level "winner takes all" provision, Cruz took 36 out of the 42 available delegates.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 New York Republican presidential primary</span>

The 2016 New York Republican presidential primary was held on April 19 in the U.S. state of New York as one of the Republican Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Missouri Republican presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Missouri Republican presidential primary took place March 15 in the U.S. state of Missouri, as a part of the Republican Party's series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 United States presidential election. The Missouri primary was held alongside Republican primary elections in Florida, Illinois, North Carolina and Ohio, along with the Democratic contest in Missouri. The hotly contested primary was won by businessman Donald Trump by a margin of 0.21% over Texas Senator Ted Cruz.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Colorado Republican presidential caucuses</span>

The 2016 Colorado Republican presidential caucuses took place in early April in the U.S. state of Colorado, as a part of the Republican Party's series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. The Colorado contest consisted of a series of congressional district conventions on April 2, 7 and 8 and a state convention on April 9. A non-binding "beauty contest" caucus was held March 1 to coincide with the Super Tuesday conventions. Ted Cruz won a majority of delegates in the convention.

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2016, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Ohio</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Ohio was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Ohio voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate, California Senator Kamala Harris against the Republican Party's nominee—incumbent President Donald Trump and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence. Ohio had 18 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

This page lists statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida, contested by Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson and Jill Stein. The state was won by Donald Trump with 49.02% of the vote against 47.82% for Hillary Clinton.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Massachusetts Republican presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Massachusetts Republican presidential primary was held on Tuesday March 1, as one of the Republican Party's 2016 presidential primaries. Massachusetts was one of eleven states that held both their Democratic and Republican presidential primaries on that day, dubbed "Super Tuesday". 42 delegates were allocated proportionally to all candidates who received at least 5 percent of the vote in the primary.

References

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  2. "Super Tuesday II: Clinton sweeps Florida, Illinois, Ohio and North Carolina; Rubio quits after Trump wins Florida". Washington Post. Retrieved June 23, 2016.
  3. "Ohio GOP sets presidential primary as a winner-take-all event, a move that could boost John Kasich". cleveland.com. Retrieved June 23, 2016.
  4. "Michigan Republican Presidential Primary". americanresearchgroup.com. Retrieved June 23, 2016.
  5. "Trump wins in Hawaii, Mississippi and Michigan". Washington Post. Retrieved June 23, 2016.
  6. Primary results
  7. "2016 Ohio Republican Presidential Primary". American Research Group. Archived from the original on March 15, 2016. Retrieved March 15, 2016.
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  9. "TRUMP TOPS RUBIO IN FLORIDA, TIES KASICH IN OHIO, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; CLINTON LEADS SANDERS IN TWO CRITICAL PRIMARIES" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 14, 2016. Retrieved March 14, 2016.
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  11. "Polls: Trump Ahead in Florida, Illinois; Kasich Leads in Ohio". NBC News. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
  12. "Fox News Poll: Kasich ahead in Ohio". Fox News. Retrieved March 10, 2016.
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  14. "Trump, Kasich in Tight Ohio Race" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved March 8, 2016.
  15. Bradner, Eric (March 9, 2016). "CNN/ORC Poll: Trump, Clinton leading in Florida, Ohio". CNN. Retrieved March 9, 2016.
  16. "Quinnipiac University Poll" (PDF). Retrieved February 26, 2016.
  17. "Topline Report: Ohio Election Poll" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on February 28, 2016. Retrieved February 26, 2016.
  18. "Quinnipiac University Poll" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on December 13, 2015. Retrieved January 7, 2016.
  19. "Quinnipiac University Poll" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on August 20, 2015. Retrieved January 7, 2015.
  20. "Quinnipiac University Poll" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on June 19, 2015. Retrieved January 7, 2015.
  21. "Public Policy Polling" (PDF). Retrieved January 7, 2015.
  22. Quinnipiac University Archived April 4, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  23. Quinnipiac University Archived April 5, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  24. Magellan Strategies
  25. Public Policy Polling
  26. Tal Kopan, Julia Manchester and MJ Lee. "Best chance to stop Trump in Ohio is Kasich, Rubio adviser says". CNN. Retrieved June 23, 2016.
  27. "ARG (3/12-3/13 2016)". The Huffington Post. Archived from the original on March 15, 2016. Retrieved June 23, 2016.
  28. "What's At Stake For Republicans In The March 15 Primaries". FiveThirtyEight. March 14, 2016. Retrieved June 23, 2016.
  29. "Rubio suspends presidential campaign". POLITICO. Retrieved June 23, 2016.