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2013 United States Senate special election in Massachusetts

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2013 United States Senate special election in Massachusetts
← 2008 June 25, 2013 2014 →
 
Nominee Ed Markey Gabriel E. Gomez
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 645,429 525,307
Percentage 54.80% 44.60%
Markey:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Gomez:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No votes
U.S. senator before election

Mo Cowan[a]
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Ed Markey
Democratic

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The 2013 United States Senate special election in Massachusetts was held on June 25, 2013, in order to fill the Massachusetts Class 2 United States Senate seat for the remainder of the term ending January 3, 2015.

The vacancy that prompted the special election was created by the resignation of Senator John Kerry, in order to become U.S. Secretary of State.[1] On January 30, 2013, Governor Deval Patrick chose his former chief of staff, Mo Cowan, to serve as interim U.S. Senator. Cowan declined to participate in the election. A party primary election was held on April 30, to determinate the nominees of each party for the general election. The Massachusetts Democrats nominated U.S. Representative Ed Markey, while the Massachusetts Republicans nominated Gabriel E. Gomez, a businessman and former Navy SEAL.

The race drew remarks from the media, because of its potential similarity to the 2010 special election, when Republican state senator Scott Brown upset the Democratic nominee, Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley.[2][3][4][5] However, Gomez trailed Markey in every opinion poll taken, and Markey defeated him by a 10.2 percentage point margin, despite low turnout.[6]


Background

[edit]

The incumbent senator, John Kerry (Democratic), was nominated to serve as U.S. Secretary of State by President Barack Obama on December 21, 2012.[7][8] He was confirmed by the Senate on January 29, 2013,[9][10] and in a letter to Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick, Kerry announced his resignation from the Senate, effective February 1.[11] Kerry was sworn in as secretary of state on the same day.[12]

Patrick's former chief of staff, Mo Cowan, was appointed to replace Kerry in the Senate on the same day, and immediately ruled himself out of the special election.[13] The special primary elections took place on April 30. Democratic U.S. Representative Ed Markey and Republican businessman Gabriel E. Gomez won their respective primaries.

Democratic primary

[edit]

U.S. Representatives Ed Markey and Stephen F. Lynch both announced campaigns for the open seat. Markey was perceived as more left-wing than Lynch.[14]

Candidates

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Stephen F. Lynch

Politicians

  • Cheryl Coakley-Rivera, state representative from the 10th Hampden District[34]
  • Frank A. Moran, state representative from the 17th Essex District,[35]
  • Michael Finn, state representative from the 6th Hampden District[36]
  • John Sweeney, West Springfield city councilor[36]
  • George Kelley, West Springfield city councilor[36]
  • John Merrigan, Franklin County register of probate[37]
  • Johnathan Blodgett, district attorney of Essex County[38]
  • Susan Kay, mayor of Weymouth[39]
  • Joe Connolly, treasurer of Norfolk County[39]
  • Arthur Matthews, Weymouth town councilor[39]
  • T.J. Lacey, Weymouth town councilor[39]
  • Jane Hackett, Weymouth town councilor[39]
  • Frank Burke, Weymouth town councilor[39]
  • Greg Shanahan, former Weymouth town councilor[39]
  • Linda M. Pereira, Fall River City Council president

Labor unions

Ed Markey

Politicians U.S. presidents and vice presidents

U.S. cabinet members

U.S. senators

Members of the U.S. House of Representatives

Governors

Other state constitutional officers

State legislators

County officials

  • Tom Bowler, sheriff of Berkshire County[52]
  • Dave Sullivan, district attorney of Northwestern County[52]

Mayors

City councilors

Celebrities and prominent individuals

Newspapers and publications

Labor unions

Business people

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Stephen
Lynch 		Ed
Markey 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[80] January 29–30, 2013 763 ±4.9% 19% 52% — 29%
Public Policy Polling[81] February 13–14, 2013 426 LV ±4.8% 28% 43% — 29%
WBUR/MassINC[82] March 19–21, 2013 610 LV ±4.1% 24% 35% 0% 41%
Public Policy Polling[83] March 26–27, 2013 496 LV ±4.4% 32% 49% 0% 19%
WNEU[84] April 11–18, 2013 270 LV ±6% 34% 44% 0% 21%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mike
Capuano 		Martha
Coakley 		Vicki
Kennedy 		Stephen
Lynch 		Ed
Markey 		Marty
Meehan 		Deval
Patrick 		Other Undecided
Emerson College[85] December 16–18, 2012 1,053 RV ±2.9% 13% 11% 16% — — — 20% 10% 30%
WBUR/MassINC[86] December 17–18, 2012 500 RV ±3.3% 8% 21% — 5% 5% 3% 36% 3% 19%

Results

[edit]
Municipal results of the 2013 Democratic Senate primary
2013 Democratic Senate primary[87]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ed Markey 311,219 57.35%
Democratic Stephen F. Lynch 230,335 42.44%
Democratic All others 1,150 0.21%
Total votes 542,704 100%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Gabriel E. Gomez

Politicians

Michael J. Sullivan

Politicians

Daniel Winslow

Social and political activists

  • Barbara Anderson, veteran anti-tax activist[107]

Newspapers

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Gabriel
Gomez 		Michael
Sullivan 		Daniel
Winslow 		Other Undecided
WBUR/MassINC[82] March 19–21, 2013 610 LV ±4.1% 8% 28% 10% 3% 50%
WNEU[84] April 11–18, 2013 128 LV ±9% 33% 27% 9% — 30%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Charlie
Baker 		Scott
Brown 		Bill
Weld 		Other Undecided
Emerson College[85] December 16–18, 2012 1,053 RV ±2.9% — 80% 7% 5% 7%
WBUR/MassINC[86] December 17–18, 2012 500 RV ±3.3% 5% 81% 6% 1% 7%

Results

[edit]
Primary results by municipality
2013 Republican Senate primary[111]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gabriel E. Gomez 96,057 50.75%
Republican Michael J. Sullivan 67,946 35.89%
Republican Daniel Winslow 24,662 13.03%
Republican All others 628 0.33%
Total votes 189,293 100%

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Ed Markey (D) $7,866,591 $8,652,479 $2,264,701 $0
Gabriel Gomez (R) $3,304,338 $2,307,217 $997,120 $900,100
Source: Federal Election Commission[115][116]

Top contributors

[edit]
Ed Markey Contribution Gabriel Gomez Contribution
League of Conservation Voters $147,518 Advent International $38,850
Mintz, Levin, Cohn, Ferris, Glovsky, and Popeo $35,950 Berkshire Partners $36,300
Dish Network $32,000 Summit Partners $28,900
Bain Capital $26,000 Bain Capital $11,400
Harvard University $24,400 Easterly Capital $10,400
DLA Piper $24,400 William Blair & Company $10,300
Comcast Corporation $23,350 HarbourVest Partners $7,800
WilmerHale $23,000 Power Financial Corporation $6,200
Berkshire Group $20,700 BMO Capital Markets $5,200
American Cable Association $20,500 Carlyle Group $5,200
Source: OpenSecrets[117]

Top industries

[edit]
Ed Markey Contribution Gabriel Gomez Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $528,470 Financial Institutions $211,800
Financial Institutions $228,050 Retired $37,250
Entertainment Industry $179,400 Misc Finance $16,105
Environmental Organizations $171,568 Lawyers/Law Firms $13,250
Real Estate $134,900 Business Services $13,050
Lobbyists $134,900 Commercial Banks $7,750
Retired $107,101 Manufacturing & Distributing $6,200
Business Services $101,200 High-Tech Industry $6,000
High-Tech Industry $65,450 Retail Industry $5,600
Universities $65,150 Misc Business $5,100
Source: OpenSecrets[118]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ed
Markey (D) 		Gabriel E.
Gomez (R) 		Other Undecided
UMass Lowell-Boston Herald[119] March 2–5, 2013 309 RV ±4% 47% 28% 7% 19%
WBUR/MassINC[82] March 19–21, 2013 610 LV ±4.1% 44% 25% 3% 26%
WNEU[84] April 11–18, 2013 480 LV ±4.5% 51% 36% — 12%
Emerson College[120] May 1, 2013 797 RV ±2.5% 42% 36% — 16%
Public Policy Polling[121] May 1–2, 2013 1,539 LV ±2.5% 44% 40% — 16%
WBUR/MassINC[122] May 5–6, 2013 497 LV ±4.4% 41% 35% 0% 23%
Suffolk[123] May 4–7, 2013 500 LV ±4.4% 52% 35% — 13%
Public Policy Polling[124] May 13–15, 2013 880 LV ±3.3% 48% 41% — 11%
Emerson College[125] May 20–22, 2013 867 LV ±3.26% 45% 33% — 22%
New England College[126] June 1–2, 2013 734 RV ±3.62% 52% 40% — 8%
UMass Amherst-YouGov America[127] May 30 – June 4, 2013 357 RV ±5.4% 51% 40% — 9%
Public Policy Polling[128] June 3–4, 2013 560 LV ±5.4% 47% 39% — 14%
WBUR[129] June 6–9, 2013 500 LV ±3.4% 43% 36% — 17%
Suffolk University[130] June 6–9, 2013 500 LV ±3.4% 44% 36% — 10%
Harper Polling[131] June 10–11, 2013 498 RV ±4.39% 49% 37% — 14%
Boston Globe[132] June 11–14, 2013 508 LV ±4.3% 54% 41% — 4%
UMass Lowell-Boston Herald[133] June 15–19, 2013 608 RV ±4% 56% 36% — 7%
WNEU[134] June 16–20, 2013 566 LV ±4.1% 49% 41% — 9%
Emerson College[135] June 19–20, 2013 1,422 RV ±2.5% 51% 41% — 8%
Suffolk University[136] June 19–22, 2013 500 LV ±4.4% 52% 42% 1% 5%
Hypothetical polling

With Markey

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ed
Markey (D) 		Michael
Sullivan (R) 		Daniel
Winslow (R) 		Other Undecided
UMass Lowell-Boston Herald[119] March 2–5, 2013 309 RV ±4% 48% 30% — 5% 17%
49% — 26% 5% 20%
WBUR/MassINC[82] March 19–21, 2013 610 LV ±4.1% 44% 27% — 2% 25%
44% — 22% 3% 29%
WNEU[84] April 11–18, 2013 480 LV ±4.5% 52% 34% — — 15%
51% — 32% — 16%

With Lynch

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Stephen
Lynch (D) 		Gabriel E.
Gomez (R) 		Michael
Sullivan (R) 		Daniel
Winslow (R) 		Other Undecided
UMass Lowell-Boston Herald[119] March 2–5, 2013 309 RV ±4% 45% 27% — — 6% 22%
45% — 28% — 7% 21%
48% — — 24% 8% 19%
WBUR/MassINC[82] March 19–21, 2013 610 LV ±4.1% 55% 17% — — 1% 26%
49% — 21% — 1% 28%
52% — — 15% 1% 31%
WNEU[84] April 11–18, 2013 480 LV ±4.5% 58% 26% — — — 14%
57% — 25% — — 17%
59% — — 23% — 16%

With Brown

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of error Mike
Capuano (D) 		Martha
Coakley (D) 		Vicki
Kennedy (D) 		Stephen
Lynch (D) 		Ed
Markey (D) 		Marty
Meehan (D) 		Deval
Patrick (D) 		Generic
Democrat 		Scott
Brown (R) 		Other Undecided
Emerson College[85] December 16–18, 2012 1,053 RV ±2.9% — — 40% — — — — — 46% — 14%
— — — — — — 48% — 43% — 9%
WBUR/MassINC[86] December 17–18, 2012 500 RV ±3.3% 28% — — — — — — — 47% 4% 16%
— 36% — — — — — — 51% 3% 8%
— — — 24% — — — — 51% 4% 15%
— — — — 30% — — — 48% 4% 15%
— — — — — 30% — — 49% 4% 14%
— — — — — — 40% — 47% 3% 7%
— — — — — — — 39% 47% — 15%
David Paleologos Suffolk/NAGE[137] ? ? ±? — — — 33% — — — — 42% — 25%
— — — — 39% — — — 49% — 12%
[WBUR/MassINC]
[citation needed] 		January 16–19, 2013 435 RV ±3.6% — — — — 31% — — — 53% 1% 17%
— — — — — — — 36% 44% 3% 12%
Public Policy Polling[80] January 29–30, 2013 763 RV ±3.6% — — — 39% — — — — 48% — 12%
— — — — 45% — — — 48% — 8%

With Weld

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Vicki
Kennedy (D) 		Deval
Patrick (D) 		Bill
Weld (R) 		Other Undecided
Emerson College[85] December 16–18, 2012 1,053 RV ±2.9% 40% — 37% — 23%
— 50% 32% — 18%

Results

[edit]
2013 U.S. Senate special election in Massachusetts[138]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Ed Markey 645,429 54.80% Decrease11.06
Republican Gabriel Gomez 525,307 44.60% Increase13.67
Twelve Visions Richard Heos 4,550 0.39% N/A
Write-in 2,504 0.21% N/A
Total votes 1,177,790 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Markey won 6 of 9 congressional districts.[139]

District Gomez Markey Representative
1st 46.81% 52.72% Richard Neal
2nd 48.79% 50.73% Jim McGovern
3rd 50.59% 48.97% Niki Tsongas
4th 44.93% 54.77% Joe Kennedy III
5th 34.82% 64.82% Ed Markey
6th 50.6% 49.05% John F. Tierney
7th 18.53% 81.09% Mike Capuano
8th 48.79% 50.84% Stephen Lynch
9th 53.34% 46.31% Bill Keating

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ In February 2013, Cowan was appointed by Governor Deval Patrick to fill the vacancy caused by the resignation of Senator John Kerry, who had become U.S. Secretary of State.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Zengerle, Patricia (January 29, 2013). "Senate votes to confirm Kerry as secretary of state". Reuters. Archived from the original on January 31, 2013. Retrieved January 29, 2013.
  2. ^ Trende, Sean (May 7, 2013). "Can Gabriel Gomez Win Mass. Senate Race?". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved May 21, 2013.
  3. ^ Trumbull, Mark (May 1, 2013). "Could Gabriel Gomez pull a "Scott Brown" and win Massachusetts Senate race?". The Christian Science Monitor. Retrieved May 21, 2013.
  4. ^ Silver, Nate (May 6, 2013). "Does Gomez Have a Real Chance in Massachusetts?". The New York Times. Retrieved May 21, 2013.
  5. ^ Horowitz, Jason (May 9, 2013). "Gabriel Gomez: GOP hope in Massachusetts". The Washington Post. Retrieved May 21, 2013.
  6. ^ Levenson, Michael; Phillips, Frank; Finucane, Martin (June 25, 2013). "Markey wins US Senate special election". The Boston Globe. Retrieved June 25, 2013.
  7. ^ Landler, Mark (December 21, 2012). "Kerry Is Pick for Secretary of State, Official Says". The New York Times. Retrieved December 21, 2012.
  8. ^ "Remarks by the President at Nomination of Senator John Kerry as Secretary of State", The White House, December 21, 2012.
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  12. ^ "Clinton Out, Kerry In as Secretary of State". Associated Press. Archived from the original on February 4, 2013. Retrieved February 1, 2013.
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  35. ^ Moran endorses Lynch for Senate » Merrimack Valley » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA
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  38. ^ "Blodgett endorses Lynch for U.S. Senate". Retrieved April 12, 2013.
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  80. ^ a b Public Policy Polling
  81. ^ Public Policy Polling Archived March 6, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  82. ^ a b c d e WBUR/MassINC
  83. ^ Public Policy Polling
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