2024 United States presidential election in Maryland
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Elections in Maryland |
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Government |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Maryland is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Maryland voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Maryland has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
Mainly owing to the progressive Baltimore and Washington, DC areas (where the vast majority of Marylanders live), Democrats have consistently won Maryland's electoral votes by double digits since 1992, with Joe Biden of next-door neighbor Delaware doing so by 33 points in 2020 and with 52% of the White vote becoming the first Dem presidential candidate since LBJ in 1964 to have a majority showing with said electoral demographic.[2] Maryland is expected to be a safe blue state in 2024.[3]
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[4]
Primary elections
Democratic primary
The Maryland Democratic primary is scheduled to be held on May 14, 2024,[5] alongside primaries in Nebraska and West Virginia.
Republican primary
The Maryland Republican primary is scheduled to be held on May 14, 2024,[5] alongside primaries in Nebraska and West Virginia.
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[6] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections[7] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Solid D | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[9] | Solid D | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis[10] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
CNN[11] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
Polling
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 12–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 32% | – | 13% |
Gonzales Research | January 23–February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 32% | – | 15% |
Gonzales Research | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 30% | – | 13% |
Gonzales Research | May 30–June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 35% | – | 13% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research | January 23–February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 28% | 18% | – | 9% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 12−13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 1% | – | 13% |
- Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research | January 23–February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 36% | – | 14% |
Gonzales Research | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | – | 11% |
- Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 35% | – | 9% |
Gonzales Research | May 30–June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 37% | – | 12% |
- Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Vivek Ramaswamy Republican |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 29% | – | 15% |
See also
- United States presidential elections in Maryland
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
References
- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
- ^ "Maryland Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
- ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
- ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
- ^ a b "Legislation - HB0535". Maryland General Assembly. Archived from the original on April 24, 2023. Retrieved April 24, 2023.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.