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DF-TAR: A Deep Fusion Network for Citywide Traffic Accident Risk Prediction with Dangerous Driving Behavior

Published: 03 June 2021 Publication History

Abstract

Because traffic accidents cause huge social and economic losses, it is of prime importance to precisely predict the traffic accident risk for reducing future accidents. In this paper, we propose a Deep Fusion network for citywide Traffic Accident Risk prediction (DF-TAR) with dangerous driving statistics that contain the frequencies of various dangerous driving offences in each region. Our unique contribution is to exploit these statistics, obtained by processing the data from in-vehicle sensors, for modeling the traffic accident risk. Toward this goal, we first examine the correlation between dangerous driving offences and traffic accidents, and the analysis shows a strong correlation between them in terms of both location and time. Specifically, quick start (0.83), rapid acceleration (0.76), and sharp turn (0.76) are the top three offences that have the highest average correlation scores. We then train the DF-TAR model using the dangerous driving statistics as well as external environmental features. By extensive experiments on various frameworks, the DF-TAR model is shown to improve the accuracy of the baseline models by up to 54% by virtue of the integration of dangerous driving into the modeling of traffic accident risk.

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cover image ACM Conferences
WWW '21: Proceedings of the Web Conference 2021
April 2021
4054 pages
ISBN:9781450383127
DOI:10.1145/3442381
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Published: 03 June 2021

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Author Tags

  1. Correlation analysis
  2. Dangerous driving behavior
  3. Deep learning
  4. Intelligent transportation system
  5. Traffic accident risk prediction

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WWW '21: The Web Conference 2021
April 19 - 23, 2021
Ljubljana, Slovenia

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