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Crowdfunding support tools: predicting success & failure

Published: 27 April 2013 Publication History

Abstract

Creative individuals increasingly rely on online crowdfunding platforms to crowdsource funding for new ventures. For novice crowdfunding project creators, however, there are few resources to turn to for assistance in the planning of crowdfunding projects. We are building a tool for novice project creators to get feedback on their project designs. One component of this tool is a comparison to existing projects. As such, we have applied a variety of machine learning classifiers to learn the concept of a successful online crowdfunding project at the time of project launch. Currently our classifier can predict with roughly 68% accuracy, whether a project will be successful or not. The classification results will eventually power a prediction segment of the proposed feedback tool. Future work involves turning the results of the machine learning algorithms into human-readable content and integrating this content into the feedback tool.

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    cover image ACM Conferences
    CHI EA '13: CHI '13 Extended Abstracts on Human Factors in Computing Systems
    April 2013
    3360 pages
    ISBN:9781450319522
    DOI:10.1145/2468356
    Permission to make digital or hard copies of part or all of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for third-party components of this work must be honored. For all other uses, contact the Owner/Author.

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    Published: 27 April 2013

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    Author Tags

    1. adaboost
    2. crowdfunding
    3. crowdsourcing
    4. kickstarter
    5. machine learning
    6. sentiment analysis

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    CHI EA '13 Paper Acceptance Rate 630 of 1,963 submissions, 32%;
    Overall Acceptance Rate 6,164 of 23,696 submissions, 26%

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