Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
-0.45) 
0.16) 
