Jan 10
ABC News Photo Illustration, Kevin Dietsch, Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
Why the speaker vote should still worry Mike Johnson
The same wing of the GOP that ousted Kevin McCarthy is skeptical of Johnson.
January 07, 2025Key elections to watch in 2025
Races for governor in Virginia and New Jersey will be in the spotlight.
January 06, 2025What I got wrong in 2024
Senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich roasts his predictions from 2024.
January 02, 2025
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January 10
Who were the strongest Senate and House candidates of 2024?
Moderates and nonwhite Democrats tended to outrun the top of the ticket.
January 10
January 09
Republicans start 2025 with the smallest House majority since 1931
Narrow margins will challenge Speaker Mike Johnson and test Trump's influence.
January 09
January 07
Why the speaker vote should still worry Mike Johnson
The same wing of the GOP that ousted Kevin McCarthy is skeptical of Johnson.
January 07
January 07
What Will The Politics of 2025 Look Like? | 538 Politics Podcast
What’s on the horizon for American politics in 2025? In this episode of the 538 Politics Podcast, the team dives into what lies ahead.
January 07
January 06
Key elections to watch in 2025
Races for governor in Virginia and New Jersey will be in the spotlight.
January 06
January 02
What I got wrong in 2024
Senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich roasts his predictions from 2024.
January 02
December 30
Jimmy Carter was ahead of his time on energy (and craft brewing)
And it’s not just his White House solar panels.
December 30
December 30
How will Jimmy Carter be remembered?
He served only one term as president, but left his stamp on American politics.
December 30
December 30
Campaign Throwback: ‘Soccer Moms’ | 538 Politics Podcast
This is the second installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.” This episode originally aired in May.
December 30
December 26
26 charts that helped explain 2024 in politics
Take a tour through the best charts 538 made this year.
December 26
December 23
Campaign Throwback: ‘The Economy, Stupid’ | 538 Politics Podcast
This is the first installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.” This episode originally aired in May.
December 23
December 23
How will history remember Biden's presidency?
Trump's 2024 reelection could define Biden's legacy.
December 23
December 19
What we're putting in our 2024 time capsule | 538 politics podcast
In the second part of our end-of-year series on the 538 Politics podcast, the crew builds a time capsule to capture the political essence of the year.
December 19
December 16
Our 2024 Superlatives | 538 politics podcast
On this end-of-2024 installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew makes a yearbook and assigns superlatives.
December 16
December 12
What happens to Trump's legal cases now? | 538 politics podcast
Law professor and former federal prosecutor Jessica Roth joins the podcast to unpack the fate of the legal cases against Trump.
December 12
December 09
A topsy-turvy week in review | 538 politics podcast
The 538 crew looks at President-elect Donald Trump’s Cabinet picks, the status of House Republicans’ slim majority, and examine the polling on President Joe Biden’s pardon of his son Hunter.
December 09
December 05
Your post-election questions, answered
In this post-election mailbag episode, the crew tackles your burning questions about the 2024 election.
December 05
December 03
The 2026 Midterms Are Only 701 Days Away | 538 Politics Podcast
Deep dive into the 2026 midterm elections, with the 538 team analyzing the prospects for both the House and Senate.
December 03
November 26
Historic defeat for incumbents all over the world
The 538 crew discusses the global anti-incumbent wave and examines whether Democrats in the U.S. had it the worst.
November 26
November 26
Will Tulsi Gabbard get confirmed as director of national intelligence?
538’s Geoffrey Skelley and Nathaniel Rakich share their thoughts on Tulsi Gabbard, Trump's pick for director of national intelligence.
November 26
November 26
How economic sentiment impacted the 2024 election
The 538 team discusses how partisan biases influenced economic perceptions and voting outcome in the 2024 election.
November 26
November 21
What effect does weighting have on polls' accuracy?
The 538 team discusses how differences in accuracy in polling may be linked to methodology.
November 21
November 21
How pollsters' methodology may have changed
538’s Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik weigh in on whether pollsters changed their strategy in the last election cycle.
November 21
November 21
What the 2024 election tells us about past elections
538’s Galen Druke and the panel discuss what conclusions can be drawn from the 2024 presidential election and if it can tell us more about the 2016 and 2020 elections.
November 21
November 14
What 2024 election polls showed about the Latino electorate
Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke explain why accurate polling of Latino voters has proved difficult.
November 14
November 14
How the issue of immigration may evolve in a second Trump term
538's Galen Druke and Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, discuss how much is known about the mass deportation and immigration policy of president-elect Donald Trump.
November 14
November 14
Are Latino voters shifting or in a realignment?
Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke take a deep dive into whether the 2024 voting trends of Latino voters are a shift or a full-blown realignment.
November 14
November 06
How Trump won over voters
The 538 team discusses how Donald Trump won the election despite being disliked by a majority of Americans.
November 06
November 06
What early exit polls tell us about this year’s election
538’s G. Elliot Morris shares data on voter priorities in the exit polls.
November 06
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