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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees predictions, picks and best bets

Joe Williams
Sportsbook Wire

The Boston Red Sox look to salvage at least one game of their three-games set against the New York Yankees after being outscored 9-4 in the first two losses by Chris Sale and Rick Porcello.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook; for a full-set of today's sports betting odds, access them at USA TODAY Sports.

The teams might be dodging raindrops, as the weather forecast calls for a 30 percent chance of rain at first pitch, tailing off as the game progresses for the nationally televised game on ESPN.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees: Projected Starting Pitchers

May 28, 2019; Boston, MA, USA; Boston Red Sox starting pitcher David Price (10) pitches during the first inning against the Cleveland Indians at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

May 28, 2019; Boston, MA, USA; Boston Red Sox starting pitcher David Price (10) pitches during the first inning against the Cleveland Indians at Fenway Park. (Photo Credit: Bob DeChiara - USA TODAY Sports)

LHP David Price vs. LHP CC Sabathia

Price carries a 2-2 record and 2.83 ERA into play, and he has also recorded an impressive 53 strikeouts over 47 2/3 innings. Across his past three outings he is even better, going 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA over 11 2/3 innings with 11 strikeouts, a .186 on-base percentage and 0.69 WHIP. He has been quite a bit less effective on the road, posting a 4.08 ERA over 28 2/3 innings as opposed to a 0.95 ERA in 19 home innings.

Sabathia will come off the 10-day injured list to start Sunday night. He heads into this one with a 3-1 mark, 3.48 ERA and 34 strikeouts across 41 1/3 innings across eight starts. He hasn't faced Boston yet this season, but he is 6-1 with a 2.97 ERA and .243 opponent batting average across 57 2/3 innings against the Red Sox since the start of the 2016 season.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees: By the Numbers

  • The Red Sox are 1-4 over the past five road games, and 2-8 in their past 10 outings against teams with a winning overall record.

  • Boston enjoys playing on Sundays, as they're 29-10 in the past 39 games played on the day.
  • The Red Sox are an impressive 13-4 in the past 17 starts by Price against AL East opponents, and they're 8-3 in his past 11 against teams with a winning overall mark.
  • New York has won 28 of Sabathia's past 37 starts at home, and they're 36-15 overall in the past 51 games.
  • The Yankees are 6-0 in the past six home games against teams with a losing record mark, and they're 21-8 in the past 29 following a straight-up victory.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees: Picks and Betting Tips

Moneyline: The Red Sox ( -122) are favorites with Price on the bump, but he Yankees ( +106 ) are the value play at home with one of their more consistent pitchers starting.

Run Line: The Red Sox (- 1.5, +122) are worth a roll of the dice on the run line at plus money. These games are generally super tight, and that makes Boston a nice value at plus-money. The Yankees ( +1.5, -144) are also attractive getting a run and a half at home, but the price tag is rather steep.

Over/under: The UNDER ( 9.5, - 110) is the overwhelming trend in this series. The under has cashed in five straight meetings in the Bronx and five straight meetings overall. The under is also an amazing 11-0 in Sabathia's past 11 home starts vs. Boston, and 15-5-1 in his past 21 overall against the BoSox.

Follow Joe on Twitter @JoeWilliamsVI

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