PolitiFact: Donald Trump is partly correct about black unemployment

The statement

"Because of my policies, Black Unemployment has just been reported to be at the LOWEST RATE EVER RECORDED!"

President Donald Trump,
Jan. 28 in a tweet

The ruling

The unemployment rate for African-Americans is currently the lowest since the statistic was first calculated in 1972. In December 2017, African-American unemployment fell to 6.8 percent. The previous record low was 7 percent in April 2000 and September 2017.

However, the African-American unemployment rate didn't exactly turn on a dime once Trump took office.

Black unemployment peaked at 16.6 percent in April 2010, after a historic recession and when Barack Obama was president. It then fell by more than half to 7.8 percent by the time Obama left office in January 2017.

More to the point, as we've noted in regard to presidents of both parties, presidents don't deserve either full credit or full blame for the unemployment rate on their watch. The president is not all-powerful on economic matters. Broader factors, from the business cycle to changes in technology to demographic shifts, play major roles.

Chris Lafakis, a director at Moody's Analytics, said that while the jury remains out on his long-term record, Trump does deserve some credit for overall economic growth on his watch.

In the tweet, Lafakis said, Trump "is likely suggesting that his policies have boosted the overall economy, which has helped black people as well as whites. This is the only thing I can think of him referring to, since he hasn't undertaken any initiatives solely designed to benefit blacks."

Gary Burtless, an economist with the Brookings Institution, agreed that he "cannot think of any specific policy under President Trump that has especially aided African-American workers or job seekers."

Trump can "legitimately argue that his stewardship has contributed to, or at least not detracted from, the good economic news of the past 12 months," Burtless said. But beyond that, any specific link to African-Americans' economic fortunes is speculative, he said.

"Higher stock prices and improved investor confidence may fuel higher investment in the United States and better job growth in the future, helping African-Americans as well as all other workers, but that remains to be seen," he said.

The White House told PolitiFact that even though the improvement began on Obama's watch, Trump has kept the momentum going.

So Trump said that "because of my policies, Black Unemployment has just been reported to be at the LOWEST RATE EVER RECORDED!"

While African-American unemployment rates are indeed at record lows, Trump's ability to take credit is uncertain.

We rate the statement Half True.

Read more rulings at PolitiFact.com.