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Correlation analysis between electricity consumption and economic development

Published: 12 May 2017 Publication History

Abstract

As is widely known, the electricity industry is closely connected to the economic development. Lots of work has focused on the regression relationship between the economic metrics and electricity-related indexes. Studies on this relationship have great significance on economic predication and regulation. Obviously, the economic and electricity data can be treated as time series data, which is called trajectory in this paper. The similarity of two trajectories could reflect how much two metrics change in the same tendency. We proposed a new trajectory similarity, which based on the area enclosed by two trajectories. Different to the traditional polygon area, we keep one trajectory stay, and move another trajectory vertically seeking for the least area. Meanwhile, some economic activities would last for some time. So, there exists some time lagging between the economic activities and the electricity consumption. We could move the economic indicators data horizontally so that the most similarity could be found. Therefore, we could get time offset between the economic consumption and economic indicators. In the experiment, we used three similarity functions to compare the results. Our algorithm outperforms state-of-the-art techniques in terms of both effectiveness and efficiency.

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cover image ACM Other conferences
ACM TURC '17: Proceedings of the ACM Turing 50th Celebration Conference - China
May 2017
371 pages
ISBN:9781450348737
DOI:10.1145/3063955
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Published: 12 May 2017

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  1. economic indicator
  2. electricity consumption
  3. similarity

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