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AI Modelling and Time-series Forecasting Systems for Trading Energy Flexibility in Distribution Grids

Published: 15 June 2019 Publication History

Abstract

We demonstrate progress on the deployment of two sets of technologies to support distribution grid operators integrating high shares of renewable energy sources, based on a market for trading local energy flexibilities. An artificial-intelligence (AI) grid modelling tool, based on probabilistic graphs, predicts congestions and estimates the amount and location of energy flexibility required to avoid such events. A scalable time-series forecasting system delivers large numbers of short-term predictions of distributed energy demand and generation. We discuss the deployment of the technologies at three trial demonstration sites across Europe, in the context of a research project carried out in a consortium with energy utilities, technology providers and research institutions.

References

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Bei Chen, Bradley Eck, Francesco Fusco, Robert Gormally, Mark Purcell, Mathieu Sinn, and Seshu Tirupathi. 2018. Castor: Contextual IoT Time Series Data and Model Management at Scale. Proc. of the 18th ICDM 2018, pp 1487--1492 (2018).
[2]
Bradley Eck, Francesco Fusco, Robert Gormaly, Mark Purcell, and Seshu Tirupathi. 2019. Scalable Deployment of AI Time-series Models for IoT. In Accepted for presentation at the Workshop AI for Internet of Things (AI4IoT) at the 28th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI).
[3]
Francesco Fusco. 2018. Probabilistic Graphs for Sensor Data-Driven Modelling of Power Systems at Scale. In Woon W., Aung Z., Catalina Feliu A., Madnick S. (eds) Data Analytics for Renewable Energy Integration. Technologies, Systems and Society.
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Francesco Fusco, Seshu Thirupathi, and Robert Gormally. 2017. Power systems data fusion based on belief propagation. Proceedings of the IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies (ISGT) Conference Europe (2017).
[5]
GOFLEX. Accessed: 2019-04-17. Generalized Operational FLEXibility for Integrating Renewables in the Distribution Grid. https://goflex-project.eu/.
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Bijay Neupane, Laurynas Siksnys, and Torben Bach Pedersen. 2017. Generation and Evaluation of Flex-Offers from Flexible Electrical Devices. In Proc. of the Eighth International Conference on Future Energy Systems, e-Energy.

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e-Energy '19: Proceedings of the Tenth ACM International Conference on Future Energy Systems
June 2019
589 pages
ISBN:9781450366717
DOI:10.1145/3307772
Permission to make digital or hard copies of part or all of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for third-party components of this work must be honored. For all other uses, contact the Owner/Author.

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Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 15 June 2019

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Overall Acceptance Rate 160 of 446 submissions, 36%

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