Cross-Tabs: May 2024 Times/Siena Poll of the Presidential Battlegrounds

May 13, 2024

Donald Trump leads Joe Biden in five of six states polled by The New York Times, The Philadelphia Inquirer and Siena College from April 28 to May 9, 2024.

How satisfied are you with the way things are going in your life these days?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very satisfied	36%	40%	36%	33%	36%	33%	40%	36%	37%	32%	38%	33%	40%	38%	32%	37%	32%	43%	33%	46%	32%	38%	33%	37%	36%	37%	42%	31%	37%	45%	31%	33%	35%	41%	33%	35%	41%	32%	34%
Somewhat satisfied	38%	36%	38%	38%	34%	41%	39%	37%	39%	49%	38%	37%	32%	36%	46%	36%	43%	38%	38%	37%	36%	42%	42%	41%	37%	36%	44%	32%	39%	43%	30%	45%	41%	44%	29%	40%	44%	29%	43%
Not too satisfied	11%	11%	11%	12%	13%	10%	9%	11%	11%	12%	11%	12%	10%	11%	10%	11%	9%	8%	12%	8%	13%	8%	11%	9%	12%	11%	7%	14%	9%	7%	14%	12%	11%	8%	13%	12%	8%	14%	11%
Not at all satisfied	11%	9%	11%	14%	14%	11%	8%	13%	10%	5%	10%	14%	13%	12%	8%	11%	12%	7%	14%	7%	15%	8%	10%	10%	11%	13%	4%	19%	9%	3%	21%	8%	9%	4%	21%	10%	4%	20%	9%
[VOLUNTEERED] Don't know/Refused	4%	4%	5%	2%	3%	4%	3%	3%	4%	1%	3%	3%	5%	3%	4%	5%	4%	3%	3%	3%	3%	4%	4%	3%	4%	3%	3%	4%	6%	3%	4%	2%	5%	3%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%
NET Satisfied	74%	76%	74%	72%	70%	75%	80%	73%	75%	81%	77%	70%	72%	74%	78%	74%	75%	81%	71%	83%	69%	80%	75%	78%	73%	73%	86%	63%	76%	87%	62%	78%	76%	85%	62%	75%	85%	62%	76%
NET Not satisfied	22%	20%	21%	26%	27%	21%	17%	24%	21%	17%	21%	26%	23%	23%	18%	22%	21%	15%	26%	14%	28%	16%	21%	19%	23%	24%	11%	33%	18%	9%	35%	20%	20%	11%	34%	22%	12%	34%	20%
Number of respondents	4,097	626	604	616	614	1,023	614	2,103	1,957	726	926	1,254	1,032	2,830	484	367	293	1,784	2,284	1,325	1,496	392	738	959	1,806	1,332	1,782	1,922	393	1,445	1,574	411	667	1,211	1,104	1,345	1,687	1,440	694
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	48%	51%	16%	23%	31%	25%	68%	12%	10%	8%	34%	64%	25%	42%	8%	21%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	33%	40%	10%	17%	28%	27%	33%	39%	36%	18%

Thinking ahead to the presidential general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote or not at all likely to vote?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Almost certain	49%	44%	40%	54%	39%	57%	62%	51%	47%	30%	43%	58%	56%	56%	35%	32%	35%	58%	45%	64%	51%	41%	31%	47%	48%	52%	53%	51%	25%	58%	56%	34%	26%	52%	55%	46%	55%	59%	20%
Very likely	31%	37%	37%	23%	34%	29%	28%	31%	32%	35%	33%	29%	32%	32%	30%	32%	30%	31%	32%	28%	34%	40%	28%	30%	32%	32%	32%	32%	25%	32%	33%	33%	25%	31%	35%	30%	32%	35%	25%
Somewhat likely	8%	8%	9%	10%	12%	7%	5%	7%	10%	20%	10%	5%	4%	6%	14%	19%	14%	5%	10%	4%	7%	9%	18%	10%	9%	7%	8%	7%	17%	5%	5%	18%	18%	9%	5%	11%	7%	3%	21%
Not very likely	4%	5%	5%	4%	6%	3%	<1%	4%	4%	7%	5%	3%	2%	2%	8%	9%	7%	2%	5%	1%	3%	4%	9%	6%	4%	2%	3%	3%	9%	2%	2%	7%	10%	3%	1%	6%	2%	1%	12%
Not at all likely	5%	4%	6%	8%	7%	4%	3%	5%	6%	7%	6%	5%	4%	3%	10%	7%	13%	3%	7%	2%	4%	4%	12%	6%	5%	5%	3%	5%	16%	2%	3%	7%	15%	4%	3%	6%	2%	2%	18%
[VOL] Already voted	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	3%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%	1%	4%	<1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	8%	<1%	<1%	1%	6%	2%	<1%	2%	1%	<1%	3%
Number of respondents	4,097	626	604	616	614	1,023	614	2,103	1,957	726	926	1,254	1,032	2,830	484	367	293	1,784	2,284	1,325	1,496	392	738	959	1,806	1,332	1,782	1,922	393	1,445	1,574	411	667	1,211	1,104	1,345	1,687	1,440	694
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	48%	51%	16%	23%	31%	25%	68%	12%	10%	8%	34%	64%	25%	42%	8%	21%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	33%	40%	10%	17%	28%	27%	33%	39%	36%	18%

If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden, the Democrat	33%	33%	31%	36%	27%	36%	38%	30%	36%	26%	29%	32%	45%	33%	49%	31%	26%	44%	28%	44%	26%	49%	32%	40%	36%	25%	80%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	76%	4%	27%	74%	2%	16%
Donald Trump, the Republican	40%	42%	39%	38%	41%	40%	38%	45%	34%	30%	37%	47%	40%	46%	14%	31%	33%	32%	44%	36%	52%	21%	27%	29%	36%	51%	0%	82%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	5%	87%	33%	4%	86%	31%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the third-party candidate	10%	10%	9%	9%	12%	10%	9%	10%	10%	18%	13%	8%	5%	9%	11%	14%	12%	9%	11%	9%	9%	9%	14%	10%	10%	10%	8%	9%	23%	0%	0%	100%	0%	7%	4%	16%	8%	6%	19%
Jill Stein [stine], the Green Party candidate	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	<1%	2%	4%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	3%	2%	3%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	2%	3%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	<.5%	3%	0%	0%	0%	8%	<1%	<.5%	3%	1%	<.5%	3%
[VOL] Cornel West, the third-party candidate	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%
Lars Mapstead [map-sted], the Libertarian Party candidate	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	<1%	<1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	3%	0%	0%	0%	7%	<1%	<.5%	2%	<1%	<1%	1%
[VOL] Another candidate (specify)	<1%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	3%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	5%	0%	0%	0%	4%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%
[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices	4%	3%	5%	5%	5%	3%	3%	4%	4%	5%	5%	4%	2%	3%	8%	4%	9%	3%	5%	2%	3%	6%	7%	4%	4%	4%	3%	2%	21%	0%	0%	0%	24%	3%	<1%	5%	3%	<1%	12%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	10%	9%	12%	9%	10%	9%	9%	8%	12%	15%	11%	7%	7%	7%	14%	17%	12%	8%	10%	6%	8%	11%	14%	12%	10%	8%	6%	6%	45%	0%	0%	0%	57%	7%	3%	13%	7%	4%	17%
Number of respondents	4,097	626	604	616	614	1,023	614	2,103	1,957	726	926	1,254	1,032	2,830	484	367	293	1,784	2,284	1,325	1,496	392	738	959	1,806	1,332	1,782	1,922	393	1,445	1,574	411	667	1,211	1,104	1,345	1,687	1,440	694
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	48%	51%	16%	23%	31%	25%	68%	12%	10%	8%	34%	64%	25%	42%	8%	21%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	33%	40%	10%	17%	28%	27%	33%	39%	36%	18%

(If candidate selected) Are you definitely or probably going to vote for [CANDIDATE SELECTED IN PREVIOUS QUESTION]?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Definitely	72%	73%	70%	71%	68%	75%	74%	74%	70%	48%	63%	78%	86%	76%	62%	57%	60%	75%	70%	75%	77%	72%	55%	70%	72%	74%	71%	76%	38%	78%	81%	29%	25%	76%	83%	60%	75%	83%	44%
Probably	25%	24%	26%	27%	28%	23%	24%	23%	27%	50%	32%	21%	12%	22%	33%	39%	36%	24%	26%	23%	21%	26%	40%	26%	26%	24%	27%	22%	50%	21%	17%	62%	66%	22%	15%	36%	23%	17%	51%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	3%	4%	2%	4%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	5%	2%	2%	2%	5%	4%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	5%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	13%	1%	2%	8%	10%	1%	2%	3%	2%	<1%	6%
Number of respondents	3,532	547	487	524	518	908	548	1,859	1,642	578	778	1,117	939	2,550	373	298	225	1,580	1,935	1,214	1,328	322	569	810	1,547	1,175	1,633	1,775	124	1,445	1,571	410	106	1,103	1,058	1,088	1,521	1,362	495
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	16%	17%	16%	17%	17%	50%	50%	15%	23%	32%	27%	71%	11%	9%	7%	36%	64%	27%	44%	8%	19%	24%	41%	35%	45%	52%	3%	39%	46%	11%	3%	30%	30%	31%	41%	40%	15%

(Head to head, combines leaners) If you had to decide between the two today, would you lean more toward:
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden, the Democrat	42%	42%	39%	42%	38%	44%	47%	36%	48%	43%	40%	39%	48%	39%	63%	45%	39%	52%	37%	51%	32%	61%	47%	51%	46%	31%	100%	0%	0%	100%	0%	34%	31%	88%	5%	39%	86%	3%	32%
Donald Trump, the Republican	48%	49%	49%	49%	50%	47%	45%	55%	42%	46%	48%	53%	45%	54%	23%	42%	45%	39%	53%	42%	61%	27%	38%	37%	45%	60%	0%	100%	0%	0%	100%	43%	25%	7%	92%	48%	8%	94%	49%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	10%	9%	12%	9%	13%	8%	7%	9%	11%	11%	12%	9%	7%	7%	14%	12%	16%	9%	10%	7%	7%	11%	14%	12%	9%	8%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	23%	44%	5%	3%	14%	6%	3%	20%
Number of respondents	4,097	626	604	616	614	1,023	614	2,103	1,957	726	926	1,254	1,032	2,830	484	367	293	1,784	2,284	1,325	1,496	392	738	959	1,806	1,332	1,782	1,922	393	1,445	1,574	411	667	1,211	1,104	1,345	1,687	1,440	694
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	48%	51%	16%	23%	31%	25%	68%	12%	10%	8%	34%	64%	25%	42%	8%	21%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	33%	40%	10%	17%	28%	27%	33%	39%	36%	18%

(Combines Senate races in Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) If this year’s general election for U.S. Senate were held today, which candidate would you be more likely to vote for?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
... the Democrat	45%	45%	-	-	40%	46%	49%	38%	52%	50%	44%	41%	50%	43%	65%	48%	43%	53%	41%	52%	38%	60%	49%	52%	48%	36%	87%	10%	33%	90%	7%	46%	46%	88%	8%	44%	85%	8%	40%
... the Republican	40%	41%	-	-	38%	41%	40%	47%	33%	29%	38%	46%	40%	45%	13%	29%	38%	35%	43%	37%	50%	25%	28%	30%	37%	53%	5%	76%	14%	4%	81%	32%	17%	3%	84%	38%	6%	82%	29%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	15%	14%	-	-	23%	13%	10%	15%	15%	21%	18%	13%	10%	12%	22%	23%	19%	12%	16%	10%	12%	15%	24%	18%	15%	12%	8%	14%	53%	6%	12%	21%	38%	9%	8%	18%	9%	10%	31%
Number of respondents	2,877	626			614	1,023	614	1,512	1,337	467	595	903	804	2,051	229	304	212	1,248	1,611	963	1,083	237	497	817	1,195	865	1,291	1,332	254	1,044	1,111	293	429	880	804	939	1,212	1,041	447
Percent of total electorate	100%	25%			25%	25%	25%	48%	51%	16%	23%	31%	27%	70%	8%	12%	8%	35%	64%	26%	43%	7%	20%	31%	36%	33%	43%	48%	9%	33%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	39%	37%	17%

(If Arizona voter) If this year’s general election for U.S. Senate were held today, which candidate would you be more likely to vote for?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Ruben Gallego [gah-yeh-go], the Democrat	45%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	38%	52%	47%	42%	42%	51%	42%	51%	50%	56%	51%	42%	47%	39%	64%	47%	51%	44%	37%	87%	9%	47%	90%	6%	51%	52%	81%	9%	48%	88%	8%	41%
Kari [care-ee] Lake, the Republican	41%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	48%	34%	28%	44%	48%	37%	45%	31%	29%	38%	39%	42%	42%	48%	30%	33%	32%	43%	50%	6%	77%	6%	3%	83%	25%	16%	7%	80%	39%	5%	83%	28%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	14%	14%	-	-	-	-	-	15%	14%	25%	14%	10%	12%	12%	18%	22%	6%	10%	17%	11%	13%	6%	21%	17%	12%	13%	8%	14%	47%	6%	11%	24%	32%	12%	10%	13%	8%	8%	31%
Number of respondents	626	626						325	297	110	143	201	140	384	35	141	52	252	370	176	208	67	158	251	224	151	257	310	59	202	260	67	97	171	173	223	222	233	124
Percent of total electorate	100%	100%						48%	51%	16%	23%	29%	27%	63%	5%	21%	9%	36%	63%	25%	38%	10%	25%	40%	35%	25%	42%	49%	9%	33%	42%	10%	15%	28%	27%	35%	36%	38%	19%

(If Nevada voter) If this year’s general election for U.S. Senate were held today, which candidate would you be more likely to vote for?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Jacky Rosen, the Democrat	40%	-	-	-	40%	-	-	35%	46%	46%	39%	32%	47%	37%	63%	46%	29%	46%	38%	44%	33%	49%	44%	43%	45%	23%	84%	13%	15%	87%	9%	44%	37%	86%	10%	36%	79%	6%	34%
Sam Brown, the Republican	38%	-	-	-	38%	-	-	44%	31%	27%	35%	46%	41%	45%	9%	28%	44%	31%	40%	35%	51%	27%	31%	37%	27%	60%	4%	69%	13%	3%	75%	32%	9%	<.5%	78%	37%	6%	80%	29%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	23%	-	-	-	23%	-	-	22%	23%	27%	26%	22%	13%	18%	27%	26%	27%	23%	22%	21%	16%	25%	26%	20%	28%	17%	12%	18%	72%	10%	16%	24%	53%	14%	12%	27%	15%	14%	37%
Number of respondents	614				614			313	296	126	125	176	153	325	61	129	78	220	387	142	181	67	196	279	226	109	245	296	73	180	241	77	116	160	158	224	225	198	158
Percent of total electorate	100%				100%			51%	48%	18%	25%	29%	23%	52%	9%	22%	14%	29%	69%	18%	34%	10%	34%	44%	38%	18%	38%	50%	13%	27%	41%	12%	19%	25%	26%	37%	34%	32%	28%

(If Pennsylvania voter) If this year’s general election for U.S. Senate were held today, which candidate would you be more likely to vote for?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Bob Casey, the Democrat	46%	-	-	-	-	46%	-	38%	54%	48%	48%	45%	49%	43%	72%	36%	51%	58%	40%	57%	34%	69%	58%	62%	48%	35%	88%	8%	39%	90%	6%	53%	43%	90%	6%	45%	86%	6%	46%
David McCormick, the Republican	41%	-	-	-	-	41%	-	48%	35%	34%	37%	44%	43%	46%	12%	35%	26%	33%	46%	34%	53%	17%	20%	21%	39%	56%	6%	79%	12%	5%	82%	32%	24%	4%	89%	32%	6%	85%	30%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	13%	-	-	-	-	13%	-	14%	11%	18%	15%	11%	8%	11%	15%	29%	23%	10%	14%	8%	13%	14%	22%	18%	13%	10%	6%	13%	49%	5%	11%	15%	33%	5%	5%	23%	9%	9%	24%
Number of respondents	1,023					1,023		573	435	157	210	331	296	812	106	17	57	501	519	406	406	75	103	153	581	289	484	460	79	400	382	102	139	360	322	260	469	368	123
Percent of total electorate	100%					100%		48%	51%	15%	23%	31%	28%	79%	11%	3%	5%	38%	62%	31%	48%	6%	13%	19%	46%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	40%	10%	14%	35%	33%	24%	42%	38%	14%

(If Wisconsin voter) If this year’s general election for U.S. Senate were held today, which candidate would you be more likely to vote for?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Tammy Baldwin, the Democrat	49%	-	-	-	-	-	49%	42%	56%	61%	47%	43%	54%	48%	69%	58%	52%	57%	46%	56%	44%	63%	61%	64%	56%	40%	87%	11%	38%	93%	7%	37%	53%	94%	7%	47%	85%	11%	44%
Eric Hovde [huv-dee], the Republican	40%	-	-	-	-	-	40%	49%	33%	30%	37%	46%	40%	44%	0%	26%	32%	36%	42%	38%	47%	23%	14%	20%	39%	49%	5%	79%	28%	4%	84%	40%	20%	<1%	85%	42%	8%	81%	30%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	10%	-	-	-	-	-	10%	9%	12%	9%	16%	11%	6%	8%	31%	15%	16%	7%	12%	6%	9%	14%	26%	16%	5%	10%	7%	9%	34%	3%	9%	23%	27%	5%	7%	11%	7%	8%	26%
Number of respondents	614						614	301	309	74	117	195	215	530	27	17	25	275	335	239	288	28	40	134	164	316	305	266	43	262	228	47	77	189	151	232	296	242	42
Percent of total electorate	100%						100%	46%	53%	13%	20%	35%	29%	84%	5%	4%	5%	35%	64%	31%	53%	4%	9%	21%	27%	52%	47%	45%	7%	38%	38%	9%	15%	29%	25%	38%	45%	41%	8%

(Recoded to age) In what year were you born?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
18-29	16%	16%	19%	16%	18%	15%	13%	16%	16%	100%	0%	0%	0%	13%	17%	30%	27%	12%	19%	11%	14%	13%	29%	17%	19%	13%	17%	15%	18%	13%	12%	30%	25%	15%	10%	20%	12%	9%	42%
30-44	23%	23%	25%	24%	25%	23%	20%	23%	23%	0%	100%	0%	0%	21%	26%	26%	33%	29%	21%	27%	18%	36%	26%	27%	24%	19%	22%	23%	28%	20%	22%	30%	29%	20%	18%	28%	24%	20%	28%
45-64	31%	29%	31%	30%	29%	31%	35%	30%	32%	0%	0%	100%	0%	32%	31%	27%	24%	33%	30%	33%	32%	33%	26%	29%	28%	35%	28%	34%	27%	30%	36%	25%	23%	30%	37%	28%	30%	38%	20%
65+	25%	27%	21%	25%	23%	28%	29%	25%	26%	0%	0%	0%	100%	30%	21%	13%	10%	22%	27%	25%	33%	14%	15%	23%	24%	29%	29%	24%	19%	34%	26%	12%	15%	32%	30%	20%	31%	29%	8%
Refused	4%	6%	5%	5%	5%	3%	2%	5%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	4%	3%	6%	4%	4%	4%	3%	4%	4%	5%	4%	4%	4%	4%	8%	4%	4%	3%	7%	3%	5%	3%	3%	5%	2%
Number of respondents	4,097	626	604	616	614	1,023	614	2,103	1,957	726	926	1,254	1,032	2,830	484	367	293	1,784	2,284	1,325	1,496	392	738	959	1,806	1,332	1,782	1,922	393	1,445	1,574	411	667	1,211	1,104	1,345	1,687	1,440	694
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	48%	51%	16%	23%	31%	25%	68%	12%	10%	8%	34%	64%	25%	42%	8%	21%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	33%	40%	10%	17%	28%	27%	33%	39%	36%	18%

What is the highest educational level that you have completed?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Grade school	3%	4%	2%	3%	4%	2%	1%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	4%	9%	3%	0%	4%	0%	3%	0%	8%	4%	2%	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%	4%	3%	3%	2%	2%	3%	4%
High school	29%	24%	30%	31%	29%	32%	30%	30%	29%	43%	25%	25%	31%	28%	31%	38%	30%	0%	45%	0%	45%	0%	47%	28%	26%	34%	26%	32%	31%	24%	32%	32%	32%	26%	32%	29%	22%	29%	47%
Vocational or trade school	5%	4%	6%	4%	5%	5%	7%	5%	5%	4%	5%	6%	5%	5%	5%	6%	4%	0%	8%	0%	8%	0%	7%	5%	4%	7%	4%	6%	5%	4%	7%	5%	5%	5%	5%	6%	4%	7%	5%
Some college, no degree	17%	21%	17%	19%	21%	13%	14%	16%	18%	18%	14%	18%	19%	17%	19%	16%	19%	0%	27%	0%	27%	0%	26%	17%	18%	17%	15%	20%	16%	14%	19%	19%	17%	16%	19%	17%	15%	20%	17%
Associate’s degree	10%	9%	9%	10%	9%	10%	11%	9%	10%	8%	11%	11%	9%	10%	9%	8%	6%	0%	15%	0%	17%	0%	11%	9%	9%	11%	9%	11%	9%	9%	10%	12%	10%	8%	11%	10%	9%	11%	9%
Bachelor's degree	21%	23%	21%	20%	19%	22%	23%	22%	21%	20%	27%	23%	15%	23%	15%	14%	21%	62%	0%	64%	0%	57%	0%	22%	23%	18%	24%	19%	21%	25%	19%	21%	20%	23%	20%	22%	27%	20%	12%
Graduate or professional degree	13%	13%	14%	13%	10%	15%	13%	13%	13%	5%	15%	15%	14%	13%	15%	6%	15%	38%	0%	36%	0%	43%	0%	14%	16%	9%	18%	9%	11%	21%	9%	9%	10%	17%	10%	13%	20%	10%	4%
[VOL] Refused	1%	<1%	1%	2%	2%	<.5%	1%	1%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	<1%	1%	<.5%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%
Number of respondents	4,097	626	604	616	614	1,023	614	2,103	1,957	726	926	1,254	1,032	2,830	484	367	293	1,784	2,284	1,325	1,496	392	738	959	1,806	1,332	1,782	1,922	393	1,445	1,574	411	667	1,211	1,104	1,345	1,687	1,440	694
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	48%	51%	16%	23%	31%	25%	68%	12%	10%	8%	34%	64%	25%	42%	8%	21%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	33%	40%	10%	17%	28%	27%	33%	39%	36%	18%

Would you consider yourself:
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
White	66%	61%	52%	73%	51%	77%	83%	68%	65%	55%	61%	68%	79%	98%	0%	0%	0%	72%	64%	99%	98%	0%	0%	55%	63%	78%	62%	74%	49%	66%	77%	61%	47%	56%	84%	66%	63%	83%	44%
Hispanic or Latino	10%	21%	7%	4%	21%	3%	3%	8%	11%	18%	11%	8%	5%	0%	0%	99%	0%	6%	12%	0%	0%	23%	37%	14%	10%	6%	10%	9%	12%	9%	8%	14%	14%	13%	6%	9%	10%	5%	19%
Black or African American	12%	5%	29%	12%	9%	11%	5%	10%	14%	13%	14%	12%	10%	0%	100%	0%	0%	11%	13%	0%	0%	44%	40%	18%	13%	6%	18%	6%	17%	17%	4%	13%	19%	23%	2%	11%	18%	2%	17%
Asian	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%	1%	4%	3%	<1%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	23%	3%	1%	0%	0%	13%	3%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	1%	3%	2%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	4%
American Indian or Alaska Native	1%	3%	<1%	<1%	3%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	17%	<1%	2%	0%	0%	3%	5%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	<1%	1%	3%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	<1%	3%
Middle Eastern or North African	<1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	9%	<1%	<1%	0%	0%	3%	2%	<1%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	1%	<.5%	<1%	1%	1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%
Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	11%	<1%	<1%	0%	0%	3%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	2%	<.5%	<1%	1%	1%	<.5%	<1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	2%
[VOL] Some other race (specify)	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	4%	2%	2%	<.5%	1%	18%	2%	3%	<1%	2%	5%	5%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	5%	2%	3%	2%	5%	2%	3%	3%	2%	3%	4%
[VOL] More than one race	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	1%	<1%	2%	2%	3%	3%	1%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	22%	1%	2%	0%	0%	6%	5%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	1%	2%	4%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	<1%	4%
[VOL] Refused	3%	2%	4%	4%	3%	3%	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	4%	3%	2%	3%	7%	2%	3%	2%	5%	1%	2%	3%	1%	3%	4%
Number of respondents	4,097	626	604	616	614	1,023	614	2,103	1,957	726	926	1,254	1,032	2,830	484	367	293	1,784	2,284	1,325	1,496	392	738	959	1,806	1,332	1,782	1,922	393	1,445	1,574	411	667	1,211	1,104	1,345	1,687	1,440	694
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	48%	51%	16%	23%	31%	25%	68%	12%	10%	8%	34%	64%	25%	42%	8%	21%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	33%	40%	10%	17%	28%	27%	33%	39%	36%	18%

Note: Responses to questions after this point are reported only for respondents who completed the entire questionnaire.
Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or a member of another party?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Democrat	29%	27%	30%	27%	25%	35%	30%	22%	35%	27%	24%	29%	36%	24%	58%	36%	26%	34%	26%	31%	20%	45%	41%	35%	32%	21%	61%	4%	14%	67%	3%	19%	21%	100%	0%	0%	61%	2%	18%
Republican	28%	29%	28%	26%	26%	34%	25%	30%	27%	15%	22%	33%	35%	35%	3%	17%	19%	23%	31%	27%	40%	13%	12%	21%	25%	37%	3%	54%	8%	3%	62%	10%	7%	0%	100%	0%	3%	63%	14%
Independent	34%	37%	31%	36%	39%	25%	39%	39%	30%	44%	42%	31%	27%	34%	30%	36%	43%	34%	34%	34%	33%	34%	36%	36%	34%	34%	31%	34%	51%	27%	29%	56%	51%	0%	0%	100%	31%	29%	50%
Another party	4%	4%	3%	4%	5%	3%	3%	4%	3%	6%	7%	3%	<.5%	4%	3%	3%	6%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	3%	4%	4%	2%	4%	9%	2%	3%	8%	7%	0%	0%	0%	2%	3%	8%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	5%	3%	8%	7%	5%	3%	3%	4%	5%	7%	5%	5%	3%	4%	7%	8%	6%	4%	5%	4%	3%	4%	8%	6%	5%	4%	2%	4%	19%	2%	3%	7%	13%	0%	0%	0%	3%	3%	11%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

Who did you vote for in the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, or did you not vote?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Donald Trump	37%	40%	35%	34%	34%	39%	41%	43%	32%	19%	32%	46%	43%	46%	6%	21%	24%	32%	40%	38%	51%	15%	16%	27%	33%	49%	2%	73%	14%	2%	79%	24%	15%	2%	84%	31%	0%	100%	0%
Joe Biden	40%	38%	39%	40%	34%	43%	47%	35%	45%	29%	41%	40%	47%	37%	63%	39%	37%	54%	32%	51%	29%	67%	40%	46%	44%	31%	82%	6%	26%	89%	4%	32%	33%	85%	5%	36%	100%	0%	0%
I did not vote	18%	18%	21%	20%	28%	14%	8%	17%	19%	48%	22%	12%	5%	12%	27%	35%	34%	9%	23%	7%	16%	12%	40%	22%	19%	15%	13%	18%	40%	8%	15%	37%	36%	11%	9%	27%	0%	0%	100%
[VOL] Someone else	2%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	6%	<.5%	<1%	5%	5%	<.5%	<.5%	3%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	5%	2%	3%	3%	2%	2%	4%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	1%	14%	1%	1%	2%	11%	1%	2%	3%	0%	0%	0%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

(Excluding “I did not vote”) Who did you vote for in the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, or did you not vote?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Donald Trump	46%	49%	44%	43%	48%	45%	44%	52%	39%	36%	40%	51%	46%	53%	9%	32%	37%	35%	53%	41%	61%	17%	27%	35%	40%	59%	2%	89%	23%	2%	93%	38%	23%	3%	92%	43%	0%	100%	-
Joe Biden	49%	46%	49%	51%	48%	50%	51%	42%	56%	56%	52%	45%	50%	42%	87%	60%	57%	59%	42%	55%	35%	76%	67%	59%	55%	36%	95%	8%	44%	97%	5%	50%	52%	96%	5%	48%	100%	0%	-
[VOL] Someone else	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	4%	4%	1%	<1%	2%	<1%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	10%	<.5%	<1%	8%	8%	<1%	<1%	4%	0%	0%	-
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	3%	4%	4%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%	2%	4%	3%	4%	7%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	4%	5%	4%	3%	3%	2%	2%	23%	1%	1%	4%	17%	1%	2%	5%	0%	0%	-
Number of respondents	2,840	418	365	438	383	739	497	1,476	1,333	329	620	973	823	2,156	276	183	157	1,439	1,387	1,109	1,040	288	323	648	1,254	938	1,359	1,294	187	1,166	1,117	222	335	930	842	882	1,471	1,220
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	16%	16%	15%	18%	19%	49%	50%	10%	22%	34%	30%	74%	11%	8%	6%	38%	61%	28%	45%	9%	15%	23%	41%	36%	45%	48%	7%	38%	42%	8%	12%	31%	31%	31%	49%	46%

(If not supporting Biden) Would you say there’s some chance you will support Joe Biden or not really any chance?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Some chance	4%	3%	6%	5%	5%	5%	3%	4%	5%	9%	4%	3%	2%	3%	9%	8%	5%	5%	4%	3%	3%	9%	8%	4%	5%	4%	0%	4%	22%	0%	3%	8%	15%	3%	2%	6%	4%	2%	8%
Not really any chance	52%	53%	51%	52%	56%	49%	49%	59%	45%	47%	54%	57%	47%	57%	24%	46%	52%	41%	57%	45%	64%	29%	43%	42%	48%	63%	0%	94%	66%	0%	96%	59%	45%	7%	92%	54%	9%	95%	59%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	4%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	3%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	1%	1%	1%	3%	0%	1%	12%	0%	<1%	1%	9%	<1%	1%	2%	<1%	1%	2%
[PREVIOUSLY] Joe Biden	42%	42%	39%	42%	38%	44%	47%	35%	48%	43%	41%	39%	48%	39%	64%	44%	39%	52%	37%	50%	32%	60%	48%	52%	46%	31%	100%	0%	0%	100%	0%	32%	32%	89%	4%	38%	86%	2%	30%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

(If not supporting Trump) Would you say there’s some chance you will support Donald Trump or not really any chance?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Some chance	4%	3%	6%	4%	5%	3%	3%	4%	4%	8%	5%	2%	2%	3%	5%	9%	8%	4%	4%	3%	2%	8%	7%	4%	5%	3%	5%	0%	18%	4%	0%	7%	12%	3%	1%	6%	3%	2%	6%
Not really any chance	46%	47%	42%	45%	43%	47%	50%	38%	53%	44%	45%	44%	50%	42%	69%	47%	43%	56%	41%	53%	36%	64%	52%	57%	49%	34%	93%	0%	70%	95%	0%	50%	55%	89%	5%	44%	88%	3%	40%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	1%	4%	1%	4%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%	3%	2%	2%	2%	0%	12%	<1%	0%	<1%	10%	2%	<.5%	2%	<1%	<.5%	5%
[PREVIOUSLY] Donald Trump	48%	49%	49%	49%	50%	47%	45%	56%	41%	45%	47%	52%	45%	54%	22%	42%	45%	38%	54%	42%	61%	27%	38%	36%	44%	61%	0%	100%	0%	0%	100%	43%	23%	6%	93%	47%	7%	94%	48%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

(If candidate selected in presidential race, including third-party candidates) What is the MAIN reason you are planning to vote for [CANDIDATE SELECTED]?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
[VOL] Positive view of candidate's policies	25%	23%	26%	30%	21%	25%	23%	24%	26%	22%	23%	25%	28%	25%	29%	23%	22%	22%	26%	21%	26%	25%	25%	23%	24%	27%	24%	26%	19%	24%	27%	22%	18%	28%	26%	21%	23%	26%	26%
[VOL] Negative view of opponent's policies	5%	7%	3%	5%	7%	4%	5%	6%	5%	4%	5%	6%	4%	5%	5%	7%	5%	5%	5%	6%	5%	4%	6%	7%	4%	5%	4%	6%	5%	4%	6%	5%	7%	5%	6%	5%	4%	6%	4%
[VOL] Positive view of candidate's character/competence	16%	16%	18%	18%	14%	15%	17%	16%	17%	14%	11%	14%	24%	16%	14%	19%	16%	13%	18%	14%	17%	10%	18%	15%	17%	17%	18%	14%	23%	18%	15%	20%	10%	18%	17%	15%	18%	15%	15%
[VOL] Negative view of opponent's character/competence	24%	24%	22%	18%	27%	24%	27%	24%	24%	23%	29%	23%	19%	25%	24%	16%	24%	29%	21%	29%	22%	27%	19%	29%	25%	19%	34%	14%	39%	33%	11%	39%	32%	26%	12%	32%	35%	14%	20%
[VOL] Voting to support a political party	5%	2%	7%	6%	5%	3%	6%	4%	6%	6%	4%	5%	5%	5%	6%	3%	4%	4%	5%	4%	6%	6%	4%	3%	6%	5%	6%	4%	5%	6%	4%	1%	10%	7%	5%	3%	5%	5%	5%
[VOL] The economy (including jobs and the stock market)	11%	13%	12%	11%	11%	11%	8%	13%	9%	10%	12%	13%	8%	11%	4%	14%	12%	11%	11%	11%	12%	11%	9%	8%	10%	14%	2%	19%	<1%	2%	22%	1%	1%	3%	18%	11%	3%	20%	11%
[VOL] Inflation/the cost of living	2%	1%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	4%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	<1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	<.5%	1%	1%	2%	2%	<.5%	3%	<1%	<.5%	3%	<1%	0%	<.5%	3%	2%	0%	3%	3%
[VOL] Abortion	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	3%	1%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	0%	2%	<1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	<1%
[VOL] Immigration	3%	4%	2%	3%	3%	3%	2%	4%	2%	1%	2%	4%	4%	3%	<1%	2%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	1%	2%	3%	3%	<.5%	5%	0%	<.5%	6%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	6%	2%	<.5%	6%	3%
[VOL] The state of democracy/corruption	2%	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	3%	2%	1%	<1%	1%	3%	<1%	3%	<1%	4%	<.5%	2%	2%	<1%	3%	<1%	0%	3%	<1%	0%	0%	3%	<1%	1%	3%	<1%	<.5%
[VOL] Other (specify)	4%	3%	5%	2%	4%	5%	4%	4%	4%	8%	6%	3%	2%	3%	7%	6%	6%	5%	3%	5%	2%	7%	6%	5%	4%	4%	4%	4%	7%	3%	3%	8%	14%	4%	3%	5%	4%	3%	5%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	3%	4%	4%	3%	3%	1%	2%	4%	5%	4%	3%	<1%	1%	8%	7%	4%	1%	4%	1%	2%	2%	8%	5%	3%	2%	4%	2%	<1%	4%	2%	2%	7%	4%	1%	3%	3%	1%	8%
Number of respondents	2,971	451	392	450	439	756	483	1,570	1,370	472	646	976	788	2,205	294	231	175	1,396	1,564	1,091	1,108	269	428	677	1,310	984	1,411	1,458	102	1,254	1,296	328	93	954	887	945	1,333	1,157	399
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	16%	17%	16%	17%	17%	49%	50%	15%	22%	32%	27%	71%	11%	9%	7%	35%	64%	26%	45%	8%	18%	24%	41%	35%	44%	52%	4%	39%	46%	11%	4%	30%	31%	32%	41%	41%	16%

(If supporting Kennedy in presidential race) Are you mostly voting FOR Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or AGAINST the other candidates in the race?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
For Robert F. Kennedy Jr.	50%	48%	54%	53%	53%	39%	51%	51%	47%	56%	46%	47%	51%	48%	40%	50%	63%	44%	52%	37%	55%	58%	48%	45%	49%	53%	43%	51%	56%	-	-	50%	-	47%	35%	53%	42%	50%	56%
Against the other candidates	44%	46%	41%	47%	35%	53%	44%	44%	46%	43%	42%	45%	49%	47%	54%	45%	18%	53%	40%	60%	39%	39%	42%	51%	42%	42%	54%	40%	40%	-	-	44%	-	46%	55%	42%	51%	44%	39%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	6%	6%	5%	0%	12%	8%	5%	5%	7%	1%	12%	8%	0%	5%	6%	5%	19%	3%	7%	3%	6%	3%	10%	4%	9%	5%	3%	9%	5%	-	-	6%	-	7%	10%	5%	7%	6%	5%
Number of respondents	328	47	48	48	60	83	42	171	152	102	93	89	38	221	37	42	23	130	197	101	119	26	76	70	143	115	104	145	79			328		66	36	184	111	81	107
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	14%	16%	20%	18%	16%	50%	50%	31%	30%	27%	11%	64%	12%	15%	9%	30%	70%	22%	41%	7%	28%	24%	40%	36%	32%	43%	25%			100%		19%	10%	56%	32%	24%	37%

In general, how satisfied are you with your choice of candidates in this fall’s presidential election?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very satisfied	26%	29%	24%	24%	22%	29%	24%	25%	26%	10%	16%	27%	43%	28%	21%	20%	19%	21%	28%	21%	32%	22%	19%	24%	24%	28%	20%	34%	7%	24%	39%	11%	4%	26%	44%	14%	20%	40%	12%
Somewhat satisfied	33%	31%	35%	33%	37%	29%	33%	35%	32%	37%	33%	33%	31%	33%	34%	37%	29%	32%	34%	33%	33%	32%	35%	34%	31%	34%	36%	34%	15%	39%	35%	28%	20%	37%	30%	34%	35%	32%	33%
Not too satisfied	19%	18%	20%	18%	17%	17%	22%	17%	20%	26%	21%	18%	13%	19%	16%	20%	22%	21%	18%	22%	17%	17%	20%	17%	20%	18%	22%	15%	19%	21%	14%	25%	21%	19%	13%	23%	20%	14%	21%
Not at all satisfied	21%	20%	19%	22%	22%	24%	19%	21%	20%	24%	29%	21%	11%	19%	27%	21%	29%	25%	19%	23%	17%	28%	24%	22%	23%	18%	20%	15%	53%	15%	11%	36%	50%	16%	12%	29%	24%	13%	29%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	3%	3%	1%	2%	1%	2%	6%	1%	2%	0%	5%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	4%
NET Satisfied	59%	60%	59%	58%	60%	58%	58%	60%	58%	48%	49%	60%	73%	61%	55%	56%	47%	53%	61%	54%	65%	54%	54%	58%	56%	63%	57%	68%	22%	63%	74%	39%	24%	63%	74%	47%	55%	72%	46%
NET Not satisfied	39%	38%	39%	39%	39%	41%	40%	39%	40%	51%	50%	38%	24%	38%	43%	40%	51%	45%	36%	45%	34%	45%	43%	39%	43%	35%	42%	30%	73%	36%	25%	61%	71%	35%	25%	52%	44%	27%	50%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

How often do you pay attention to what's going on in government and politics?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Always	35%	37%	32%	31%	34%	36%	38%	39%	30%	13%	24%	40%	49%	37%	27%	21%	34%	42%	31%	43%	34%	39%	22%	34%	35%	35%	34%	37%	24%	39%	41%	20%	20%	34%	46%	29%	37%	43%	14%
Most of the time	32%	32%	29%	36%	26%	34%	34%	31%	33%	28%	34%	32%	34%	34%	29%	26%	30%	33%	32%	34%	34%	30%	27%	31%	32%	33%	35%	31%	25%	36%	31%	32%	26%	34%	31%	33%	35%	32%	25%
About half of the time	14%	15%	14%	15%	16%	14%	11%	13%	14%	24%	18%	11%	7%	13%	14%	22%	12%	12%	15%	12%	14%	13%	19%	15%	14%	13%	14%	13%	16%	11%	12%	24%	19%	13%	11%	16%	12%	12%	20%
Some of the time	15%	11%	20%	12%	20%	14%	14%	12%	18%	27%	19%	12%	8%	13%	22%	24%	17%	11%	17%	9%	14%	16%	23%	15%	15%	15%	14%	14%	24%	12%	12%	20%	26%	16%	9%	18%	14%	10%	28%
Never	4%	4%	4%	6%	5%	2%	2%	4%	4%	7%	5%	4%	<1%	3%	7%	6%	6%	2%	5%	2%	3%	1%	9%	5%	3%	4%	2%	4%	8%	2%	3%	4%	8%	3%	2%	4%	2%	2%	13%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	1%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly approve	15%	16%	13%	16%	12%	17%	16%	14%	16%	2%	9%	16%	28%	15%	20%	11%	11%	20%	12%	20%	12%	21%	12%	19%	15%	12%	34%	<1%	<.5%	41%	<1%	1%	2%	38%	2%	8%	33%	1%	4%
Somewhat approve	21%	19%	20%	22%	21%	21%	25%	18%	25%	27%	24%	20%	17%	18%	33%	26%	26%	24%	20%	22%	16%	30%	28%	25%	24%	16%	44%	4%	14%	45%	3%	17%	22%	38%	3%	23%	39%	2%	21%
Somewhat disapprove	15%	16%	16%	14%	16%	15%	13%	13%	16%	30%	18%	12%	6%	13%	17%	22%	16%	14%	15%	13%	13%	16%	19%	15%	16%	14%	15%	12%	30%	9%	9%	36%	28%	13%	10%	20%	15%	9%	26%
Strongly disapprove	46%	46%	45%	45%	48%	45%	44%	52%	39%	35%	46%	50%	45%	51%	22%	38%	43%	39%	49%	42%	56%	29%	35%	37%	42%	55%	4%	83%	38%	2%	87%	41%	35%	7%	83%	45%	10%	88%	41%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	3%	6%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	4%	7%	3%	3%	3%	3%	7%	3%	5%	3%	3%	3%	3%	5%	5%	4%	3%	4%	3%	<1%	18%	2%	<1%	5%	13%	3%	1%	4%	3%	<.5%	8%
NET Approve	36%	35%	33%	38%	33%	37%	41%	32%	41%	29%	33%	35%	45%	33%	54%	37%	37%	44%	32%	42%	28%	51%	41%	44%	39%	27%	78%	4%	14%	86%	4%	18%	24%	77%	5%	31%	73%	3%	25%
NET Disapprove	60%	62%	61%	59%	64%	60%	56%	66%	55%	64%	64%	62%	52%	64%	39%	60%	59%	53%	64%	55%	69%	45%	54%	52%	58%	69%	19%	95%	68%	12%	96%	77%	63%	21%	94%	66%	25%	96%	67%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

(If Pennsylvania voter) Do you approve or disapprove of the way Josh Shapiro is handling his job as governor?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly approve	24%	-	-	-	-	24%	-	23%	26%	15%	21%	28%	30%	25%	25%	26%	13%	33%	20%	35%	20%	25%	21%	28%	30%	16%	49%	4%	12%	54%	4%	20%	8%	50%	5%	18%	46%	6%	15%
Somewhat approve	33%	-	-	-	-	33%	-	32%	33%	38%	35%	29%	32%	31%	40%	37%	29%	29%	34%	29%	33%	29%	41%	31%	30%	37%	33%	32%	34%	31%	31%	37%	39%	33%	36%	31%	34%	31%	29%
Somewhat disapprove	12%	-	-	-	-	12%	-	12%	11%	12%	15%	8%	12%	11%	10%	25%	25%	14%	10%	13%	9%	19%	14%	11%	10%	15%	4%	18%	17%	3%	17%	13%	18%	3%	15%	18%	3%	17%	25%
Strongly disapprove	13%	-	-	-	-	13%	-	16%	10%	7%	10%	17%	14%	14%	9%	0%	7%	8%	16%	9%	17%	<1%	10%	7%	14%	15%	<1%	25%	7%	<1%	29%	1%	6%	3%	26%	9%	2%	27%	8%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	18%	-	-	-	-	18%	-	17%	20%	28%	19%	19%	13%	18%	16%	12%	26%	16%	20%	14%	21%	26%	15%	23%	17%	18%	14%	21%	30%	12%	19%	29%	28%	12%	16%	24%	15%	19%	23%
Number of respondents	836					836		472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	12	43	437	398	365	321	60	72	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%					100%		47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	3%	5%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	43%	39%	14%

Tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of each of the following.
Donald Trump
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	26%	27%	26%	27%	27%	27%	22%	28%	24%	14%	21%	30%	32%	30%	8%	21%	20%	17%	31%	19%	37%	14%	17%	21%	23%	34%	<1%	53%	3%	<1%	62%	3%	4%	2%	65%	16%	2%	60%	16%
Somewhat favorable	19%	21%	20%	16%	22%	16%	19%	24%	15%	27%	22%	19%	13%	20%	11%	22%	24%	18%	20%	19%	20%	14%	20%	15%	19%	22%	3%	35%	11%	3%	32%	25%	17%	5%	24%	26%	5%	30%	26%
Somewhat unfavorable	10%	6%	12%	11%	11%	10%	10%	11%	9%	19%	11%	9%	4%	8%	16%	14%	15%	10%	10%	10%	6%	10%	17%	10%	10%	9%	8%	9%	24%	5%	4%	28%	22%	6%	5%	16%	7%	6%	21%
Very unfavorable	43%	44%	37%	44%	39%	45%	47%	35%	49%	38%	45%	40%	47%	41%	59%	40%	39%	53%	37%	52%	35%	60%	43%	51%	46%	33%	87%	3%	50%	90%	1%	42%	48%	84%	6%	41%	84%	4%	31%
[VOL] Have not heard of	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%	3%	1%	6%	3%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	2%	4%	3%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	12%	2%	<.5%	2%	8%	2%	<.5%	2%	2%	<.5%	6%
NET Favorable	45%	48%	47%	43%	48%	43%	41%	52%	39%	41%	43%	49%	45%	50%	19%	43%	44%	35%	51%	37%	57%	28%	36%	36%	42%	55%	4%	88%	14%	3%	94%	28%	21%	8%	89%	42%	7%	89%	42%
NET Unfavorable	53%	50%	49%	55%	49%	55%	57%	46%	59%	57%	56%	49%	52%	49%	75%	54%	54%	63%	47%	62%	41%	70%	60%	61%	57%	42%	95%	12%	74%	95%	5%	70%	71%	90%	11%	56%	91%	10%	52%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

Joe Biden
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	16%	16%	14%	17%	12%	19%	16%	14%	18%	4%	9%	17%	30%	15%	24%	14%	13%	20%	14%	19%	13%	22%	17%	19%	17%	13%	37%	<1%	<.5%	45%	<1%	2%	2%	43%	1%	8%	36%	1%	4%
Somewhat favorable	24%	23%	23%	23%	23%	22%	29%	20%	28%	31%	28%	21%	18%	20%	41%	30%	27%	27%	22%	24%	17%	37%	33%	30%	26%	16%	47%	5%	18%	46%	3%	28%	25%	42%	4%	26%	42%	2%	26%
Somewhat unfavorable	14%	14%	17%	13%	17%	11%	12%	14%	14%	30%	18%	10%	5%	13%	12%	20%	18%	15%	13%	16%	11%	14%	18%	13%	15%	14%	12%	13%	31%	7%	10%	29%	31%	9%	10%	21%	13%	10%	24%
Very unfavorable	45%	46%	43%	46%	46%	45%	41%	51%	39%	33%	44%	50%	45%	51%	17%	34%	41%	37%	49%	40%	57%	25%	31%	36%	41%	55%	4%	81%	40%	2%	85%	40%	35%	6%	84%	43%	8%	86%	42%
[VOL] Have not heard of	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	2%	1%	4%	1%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	<1%	11%	<.5%	<1%	1%	7%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	4%
NET Favorable	40%	39%	37%	40%	35%	41%	45%	34%	45%	35%	36%	38%	48%	35%	66%	44%	40%	47%	36%	43%	30%	59%	49%	49%	43%	29%	84%	6%	18%	91%	4%	30%	27%	85%	5%	34%	79%	4%	30%
NET Unfavorable	59%	60%	60%	59%	64%	57%	54%	65%	53%	63%	63%	61%	50%	64%	30%	55%	59%	52%	62%	56%	69%	39%	49%	49%	56%	69%	16%	94%	71%	9%	95%	69%	66%	14%	94%	65%	20%	96%	66%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	7%	7%	5%	5%	9%	8%	7%	7%	6%	9%	10%	7%	4%	6%	7%	10%	12%	6%	7%	5%	7%	9%	9%	6%	7%	7%	5%	9%	9%	3%	6%	30%	2%	6%	4%	9%	6%	7%	11%
Somewhat favorable	34%	36%	38%	33%	35%	35%	30%	36%	33%	42%	36%	35%	28%	34%	31%	41%	32%	30%	37%	31%	36%	28%	38%	32%	32%	39%	22%	45%	36%	17%	44%	62%	31%	22%	42%	39%	21%	46%	40%
Somewhat unfavorable	17%	17%	16%	19%	14%	20%	17%	18%	17%	16%	18%	18%	17%	17%	16%	15%	21%	20%	16%	20%	16%	19%	17%	15%	20%	15%	19%	16%	16%	20%	17%	3%	21%	17%	19%	18%	19%	18%	14%
Very unfavorable	21%	21%	17%	20%	19%	24%	23%	22%	20%	10%	16%	20%	33%	22%	22%	9%	21%	27%	18%	28%	19%	25%	15%	24%	20%	19%	36%	9%	11%	43%	10%	1%	13%	36%	13%	17%	37%	11%	7%
[VOL] Have not heard of	7%	5%	7%	10%	8%	3%	7%	5%	8%	10%	6%	7%	5%	6%	8%	9%	5%	5%	7%	4%	7%	5%	8%	8%	7%	5%	5%	7%	8%	5%	8%	<.5%	10%	6%	7%	6%	5%	5%	11%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	14%	14%	16%	14%	15%	10%	16%	12%	16%	14%	14%	14%	14%	14%	15%	16%	9%	12%	15%	12%	15%	13%	14%	15%	13%	14%	13%	14%	19%	12%	14%	3%	23%	13%	15%	12%	12%	14%	17%
NET Favorable	41%	43%	43%	38%	44%	43%	37%	43%	40%	51%	46%	42%	31%	40%	38%	51%	43%	36%	44%	36%	43%	38%	47%	38%	39%	46%	27%	53%	46%	20%	50%	92%	33%	28%	46%	48%	27%	52%	50%
NET Unfavorable	38%	38%	34%	39%	33%	44%	41%	40%	37%	26%	34%	37%	50%	40%	39%	25%	42%	47%	34%	48%	35%	44%	31%	39%	41%	35%	55%	25%	27%	63%	28%	5%	34%	53%	32%	35%	56%	29%	21%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

Joe Rogan [roh-gun], the podcast host
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	13%	15%	9%	11%	15%	14%	11%	17%	8%	14%	17%	13%	6%	14%	4%	14%	12%	11%	14%	10%	16%	12%	8%	11%	11%	15%	3%	22%	7%	2%	24%	13%	6%	2%	24%	12%	3%	23%	13%
Somewhat favorable	21%	22%	21%	22%	23%	19%	18%	25%	17%	31%	25%	21%	12%	21%	15%	25%	26%	20%	22%	21%	21%	18%	23%	20%	21%	22%	11%	30%	19%	9%	30%	26%	20%	11%	26%	25%	10%	28%	31%
Somewhat unfavorable	13%	14%	13%	13%	15%	13%	11%	13%	14%	21%	15%	12%	9%	12%	14%	17%	17%	15%	13%	15%	11%	13%	17%	16%	15%	9%	19%	8%	17%	19%	7%	14%	18%	17%	8%	14%	18%	8%	15%
Very unfavorable	18%	17%	19%	19%	17%	16%	18%	15%	20%	16%	19%	17%	19%	17%	23%	14%	20%	23%	15%	22%	14%	25%	17%	18%	19%	16%	30%	8%	15%	33%	7%	15%	16%	30%	7%	17%	31%	7%	11%
[VOL] Have not heard of	20%	18%	22%	21%	15%	22%	24%	15%	25%	9%	10%	21%	35%	20%	26%	16%	14%	18%	21%	18%	22%	17%	20%	20%	20%	21%	23%	17%	23%	22%	18%	19%	22%	25%	20%	15%	23%	19%	16%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	15%	14%	15%	14%	15%	15%	18%	15%	16%	9%	13%	18%	18%	15%	18%	14%	11%	14%	16%	13%	16%	15%	15%	15%	15%	16%	15%	14%	20%	15%	15%	13%	18%	14%	15%	16%	15%	15%	14%
NET Favorable	34%	37%	31%	33%	38%	33%	29%	42%	26%	45%	43%	33%	18%	35%	20%	39%	38%	31%	35%	31%	37%	30%	31%	31%	32%	38%	14%	53%	25%	11%	54%	39%	26%	14%	49%	37%	14%	50%	43%
NET Unfavorable	31%	31%	33%	32%	32%	30%	29%	28%	34%	37%	34%	28%	28%	30%	36%	31%	37%	37%	28%	38%	25%	38%	34%	35%	34%	25%	49%	16%	32%	51%	13%	29%	34%	47%	15%	32%	48%	15%	27%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

(If Pennsylvania voter) Bob Casey
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	17%	-	-	-	-	17%	-	14%	20%	5%	11%	19%	29%	18%	19%	24%	6%	21%	15%	22%	15%	21%	14%	18%	20%	14%	37%	<1%	9%	40%	<.5%	18%	6%	39%	2%	10%	37%	2%	6%
Somewhat favorable	32%	-	-	-	-	32%	-	30%	34%	39%	34%	34%	26%	32%	36%	22%	42%	36%	30%	36%	29%	38%	34%	39%	32%	28%	43%	21%	38%	42%	18%	42%	36%	42%	21%	33%	43%	18%	35%
Somewhat unfavorable	17%	-	-	-	-	17%	-	19%	15%	14%	25%	12%	17%	17%	17%	10%	23%	14%	18%	14%	19%	17%	18%	14%	15%	20%	6%	26%	20%	4%	27%	19%	21%	6%	26%	20%	6%	27%	21%
Very unfavorable	14%	-	-	-	-	14%	-	18%	11%	4%	7%	18%	19%	16%	<1%	0%	8%	13%	15%	13%	18%	6%	<.5%	5%	15%	18%	<1%	28%	6%	<1%	33%	4%	5%	<1%	33%	10%	<1%	32%	8%
[VOL] Have not heard of	8%	-	-	-	-	8%	-	9%	7%	17%	9%	5%	5%	6%	14%	30%	15%	5%	10%	4%	7%	9%	20%	14%	7%	6%	4%	11%	15%	3%	10%	11%	11%	3%	9%	10%	3%	10%	16%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	12%	-	-	-	-	12%	-	10%	13%	20%	14%	12%	4%	12%	14%	13%	7%	11%	12%	11%	12%	9%	13%	9%	11%	14%	10%	13%	13%	10%	12%	6%	21%	9%	9%	16%	11%	11%	14%
NET Favorable	49%	-	-	-	-	49%	-	44%	54%	44%	45%	52%	55%	49%	55%	47%	47%	57%	45%	58%	44%	59%	48%	58%	52%	42%	80%	21%	47%	82%	18%	61%	42%	81%	23%	43%	79%	20%	41%
NET Unfavorable	31%	-	-	-	-	31%	-	37%	26%	18%	32%	30%	36%	33%	18%	10%	31%	27%	33%	27%	36%	24%	18%	19%	30%	39%	7%	55%	26%	4%	60%	22%	27%	6%	59%	31%	7%	59%	29%
Number of respondents	836					836		472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	12	43	437	398	365	321	60	72	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%					100%		47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	3%	5%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	43%	39%	14%

(If Pennsylvania voter) David McCormick
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	12%	-	-	-	-	12%	-	12%	12%	4%	4%	14%	18%	13%	3%	17%	2%	9%	13%	9%	15%	4%	5%	2%	12%	16%	4%	21%	2%	4%	24%	7%	1%	4%	27%	5%	4%	25%	3%
Somewhat favorable	30%	-	-	-	-	30%	-	33%	27%	29%	33%	29%	30%	32%	24%	10%	27%	27%	31%	27%	34%	27%	21%	25%	26%	36%	18%	41%	23%	17%	43%	35%	18%	16%	42%	34%	19%	43%	25%
Somewhat unfavorable	13%	-	-	-	-	13%	-	15%	12%	16%	19%	10%	10%	12%	18%	15%	21%	17%	11%	16%	9%	20%	17%	15%	15%	10%	19%	7%	15%	18%	6%	21%	15%	18%	6%	16%	18%	6%	20%
Very unfavorable	11%	-	-	-	-	11%	-	11%	12%	10%	9%	10%	15%	12%	9%	2%	4%	17%	8%	19%	8%	6%	7%	13%	12%	9%	22%	2%	<1%	25%	2%	2%	8%	23%	2%	7%	21%	1%	10%
[VOL] Have not heard of	17%	-	-	-	-	17%	-	15%	18%	20%	15%	19%	14%	15%	22%	36%	28%	15%	18%	14%	15%	20%	29%	27%	18%	11%	18%	14%	28%	19%	13%	23%	20%	19%	12%	18%	19%	13%	22%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	17%	-	-	-	-	17%	-	15%	20%	21%	20%	18%	13%	17%	23%	20%	18%	16%	19%	14%	18%	23%	21%	18%	18%	17%	18%	14%	31%	17%	12%	13%	37%	19%	12%	19%	19%	13%	20%
NET Favorable	42%	-	-	-	-	42%	-	45%	39%	34%	37%	43%	48%	44%	27%	26%	29%	36%	44%	36%	50%	31%	26%	28%	39%	53%	22%	62%	25%	21%	67%	43%	20%	20%	69%	39%	23%	67%	28%
NET Unfavorable	24%	-	-	-	-	24%	-	25%	23%	26%	28%	20%	25%	24%	27%	17%	25%	34%	19%	36%	17%	26%	25%	28%	26%	19%	41%	10%	16%	43%	8%	22%	24%	42%	8%	24%	39%	7%	30%
Number of respondents	836					836		472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	12	43	437	398	365	321	60	72	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%					100%		47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	3%	5%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	43%	39%	14%

(If Pennsylvania voter) John Fetterman [FEH-ter-min]
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	17%	-	-	-	-	17%	-	13%	21%	12%	13%	19%	22%	17%	20%	8%	16%	21%	14%	22%	14%	20%	15%	23%	18%	12%	33%	3%	12%	35%	2%	13%	15%	34%	3%	14%	34%	3%	8%
Somewhat favorable	31%	-	-	-	-	31%	-	35%	27%	29%	30%	32%	30%	31%	33%	9%	36%	35%	28%	34%	29%	39%	25%	29%	32%	30%	40%	21%	33%	41%	23%	24%	30%	40%	22%	31%	38%	21%	31%
Somewhat unfavorable	19%	-	-	-	-	19%	-	21%	16%	25%	21%	19%	13%	19%	12%	38%	19%	21%	18%	23%	17%	11%	21%	15%	19%	20%	11%	27%	13%	11%	23%	32%	15%	11%	26%	21%	11%	26%	22%
Very unfavorable	22%	-	-	-	-	22%	-	23%	21%	19%	26%	17%	25%	23%	15%	0%	23%	15%	25%	14%	28%	16%	14%	15%	20%	28%	8%	36%	12%	8%	39%	18%	14%	9%	38%	19%	8%	38%	18%
[VOL] Have not heard of	6%	-	-	-	-	6%	-	4%	8%	9%	4%	6%	6%	4%	11%	46%	2%	3%	8%	2%	5%	5%	19%	12%	5%	3%	4%	6%	15%	3%	6%	9%	11%	3%	6%	7%	4%	4%	17%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	6%	-	-	-	-	6%	-	5%	7%	6%	6%	7%	5%	6%	9%	0%	4%	5%	7%	4%	7%	9%	5%	7%	5%	7%	3%	7%	15%	3%	6%	4%	15%	3%	5%	8%	4%	7%	5%
NET Favorable	48%	-	-	-	-	48%	-	48%	48%	41%	43%	51%	51%	48%	53%	16%	51%	56%	43%	56%	43%	59%	41%	51%	50%	42%	74%	24%	45%	75%	25%	37%	46%	74%	25%	45%	72%	24%	39%
NET Unfavorable	41%	-	-	-	-	41%	-	44%	37%	43%	47%	36%	38%	42%	27%	38%	43%	36%	43%	37%	45%	27%	36%	29%	40%	48%	20%	63%	25%	19%	62%	51%	29%	20%	64%	40%	20%	65%	40%
Number of respondents	836					836		472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	12	43	437	398	365	321	60	72	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%					100%		47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	3%	5%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	43%	39%	14%

What one issue is most important in deciding your vote this November?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
[VOL] The economy (including jobs and the stock market)	21%	22%	22%	20%	22%	22%	20%	24%	19%	18%	19%	26%	20%	22%	17%	25%	14%	22%	21%	23%	22%	18%	19%	21%	20%	23%	12%	30%	18%	11%	31%	23%	17%	12%	31%	22%	13%	31%	21%
[VOL] Inflation and the cost of living	7%	4%	6%	7%	8%	7%	7%	8%	6%	8%	9%	6%	3%	6%	6%	9%	11%	5%	7%	5%	6%	7%	9%	7%	6%	6%	4%	9%	9%	2%	8%	8%	10%	3%	7%	9%	4%	7%	12%
[VOL] Abortion	11%	14%	7%	11%	7%	13%	12%	5%	17%	10%	11%	10%	13%	12%	7%	9%	8%	14%	9%	16%	10%	10%	7%	11%	12%	8%	20%	3%	7%	22%	3%	9%	7%	20%	4%	9%	20%	3%	7%
[VOL] Immigration	12%	14%	11%	10%	10%	12%	13%	14%	10%	6%	6%	13%	18%	14%	3%	10%	5%	9%	13%	11%	16%	7%	5%	7%	10%	16%	2%	21%	8%	1%	23%	8%	7%	3%	25%	9%	3%	25%	5%
[VOL] Crime	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	0%	2%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0%	1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	1%
[VOL] Gun policies	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%
[VOL] Health care	2%	<1%	2%	3%	<1%	3%	3%	<1%	3%	2%	2%	3%	1%	1%	6%	3%	3%	1%	3%	1%	1%	1%	5%	2%	2%	2%	4%	<1%	<1%	3%	<.5%	2%	3%	3%	<.5%	2%	3%	<.5%	3%
[VOL] Education	<1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	2%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	1%	2%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	2%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	4%	<1%	<.5%	1%	3%	2%	0%	<1%	1%	<.5%	2%
[VOL] Foreign policy	5%	6%	4%	5%	4%	4%	7%	6%	4%	7%	5%	5%	5%	5%	3%	5%	8%	6%	4%	6%	5%	7%	4%	6%	5%	4%	4%	6%	5%	4%	6%	8%	3%	3%	5%	7%	5%	6%	5%
[VOL] Russia/the war in Ukraine	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%
[VOL] China	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%
[VOL] Climate change	1%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	1%	3%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	<1%	2%	2%	<.5%	<1%	2%	<.5%	1%
[VOL] The state of democracy/corruption	5%	5%	4%	5%	4%	6%	5%	6%	4%	1%	3%	5%	8%	6%	4%	<.5%	3%	9%	3%	10%	4%	4%	1%	6%	5%	4%	10%	1%	1%	12%	1%	1%	1%	10%	2%	4%	10%	1%	<1%
[VOL] Election integrity	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%
[VOL] Equality/inequality	1%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	3%	2%	<1%	<1%	1%	3%	1%	1%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	3%	<1%	<1%	3%	<.5%	<1%	2%	3%	0%	2%	2%	<.5%	2%
[VOL] Polarization/division	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%
[VOL] Racism/racial issues	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	1%	0%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%
[VOL] Dislike of opposing candidate (Trump or Biden)	4%	3%	3%	6%	3%	5%	5%	5%	4%	2%	5%	4%	4%	4%	5%	2%	2%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	3%	4%	4%	4%	6%	3%	2%	7%	3%	3%	1%	6%	3%	4%	6%	3%	2%
[VOL] Character/competence of candidate (Trump or Biden)	6%	4%	7%	8%	6%	5%	6%	6%	5%	4%	5%	6%	7%	6%	6%	4%	6%	6%	6%	6%	6%	5%	5%	4%	7%	7%	7%	5%	4%	7%	5%	4%	5%	6%	6%	5%	7%	6%	4%
[VOL] The Middle East/Israel/Palestinians	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	4%	2%	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	2%	4%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	4%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	<.5%	5%	2%	<.5%	2%	4%	3%	<.5%	1%	3%	<.5%	2%
[VOL] Taxes	1%	1%	2%	<1%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	3%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%	<.5%	2%	1%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	2%	<.5%	2%	2%	2%	<.5%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	3%
[VOL] Student loans	<1%	<.5%	2%	1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	3%	0%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	3%	<1%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<1%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	1%	<.5%	1%	1%	<.5%	<1%
[VOL] Other (specify)	8%	8%	11%	6%	11%	8%	6%	9%	8%	8%	11%	7%	9%	7%	13%	9%	7%	7%	9%	5%	8%	10%	11%	10%	8%	8%	8%	8%	12%	9%	6%	12%	10%	9%	6%	9%	8%	8%	9%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	9%	11%	11%	10%	11%	5%	7%	8%	11%	15%	11%	6%	7%	7%	14%	15%	16%	6%	11%	5%	8%	9%	17%	10%	9%	9%	9%	8%	18%	8%	6%	8%	20%	10%	6%	9%	8%	5%	19%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

Thinking about the nation's economy, how would you rate economic conditions today?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Excellent	3%	4%	3%	2%	2%	2%	4%	3%	2%	1%	1%	2%	6%	3%	2%	1%	5%	5%	2%	5%	2%	4%	2%	3%	3%	2%	6%	<.5%	1%	7%	<.5%	2%	<1%	6%	<1%	2%	6%	<.5%	2%
Good	18%	17%	17%	17%	15%	19%	25%	18%	19%	7%	14%	19%	28%	20%	20%	10%	16%	25%	15%	26%	16%	21%	13%	18%	20%	16%	38%	4%	5%	44%	4%	3%	9%	39%	5%	14%	37%	4%	8%
Only fair	27%	27%	26%	29%	26%	26%	28%	27%	27%	32%	31%	25%	24%	25%	37%	27%	30%	31%	25%	29%	23%	35%	30%	30%	29%	23%	36%	19%	31%	34%	18%	37%	31%	31%	20%	30%	33%	18%	30%
Poor	51%	52%	53%	51%	56%	52%	43%	51%	51%	59%	53%	53%	41%	51%	39%	61%	49%	39%	57%	39%	59%	39%	53%	48%	47%	57%	20%	77%	58%	14%	78%	58%	56%	23%	74%	53%	24%	77%	59%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<1%	<.5%	2%	<1%	<1%	1%	<.5%	<1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	3%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	2%
NET Excellent/good	21%	20%	20%	19%	17%	21%	29%	21%	21%	9%	15%	21%	34%	22%	22%	11%	21%	29%	16%	31%	17%	25%	15%	21%	23%	19%	44%	4%	6%	51%	4%	5%	10%	45%	6%	16%	43%	4%	10%
NET Fair/poor	78%	79%	78%	80%	82%	78%	71%	78%	78%	91%	84%	78%	65%	77%	76%	88%	78%	70%	83%	68%	82%	75%	83%	78%	77%	80%	56%	95%	89%	48%	95%	94%	87%	54%	93%	84%	57%	95%	88%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

Do you think abortion should be always legal, mostly legal, mostly illegal or always illegal?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Always legal	37%	38%	33%	36%	43%	37%	35%	29%	45%	46%	41%	34%	31%	35%	52%	37%	37%	45%	33%	43%	30%	51%	40%	47%	40%	27%	61%	16%	36%	63%	15%	37%	39%	62%	13%	36%	61%	12%	37%
Mostly legal	27%	26%	22%	30%	26%	29%	30%	30%	25%	27%	28%	28%	26%	29%	20%	26%	30%	26%	28%	27%	29%	24%	25%	25%	28%	28%	27%	28%	26%	25%	26%	36%	29%	25%	24%	33%	27%	25%	31%
Mostly illegal	19%	19%	20%	17%	16%	20%	19%	22%	16%	18%	15%	19%	21%	20%	11%	17%	15%	17%	20%	18%	21%	11%	16%	16%	17%	23%	5%	31%	15%	5%	32%	17%	14%	5%	36%	17%	5%	35%	16%
Always illegal	8%	9%	12%	7%	8%	7%	8%	7%	9%	4%	9%	8%	11%	8%	8%	12%	9%	6%	9%	6%	9%	6%	11%	6%	8%	10%	3%	13%	8%	4%	14%	4%	7%	4%	16%	5%	3%	14%	7%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	9%	8%	12%	10%	6%	8%	8%	12%	5%	4%	7%	11%	10%	9%	9%	8%	8%	6%	10%	5%	10%	8%	8%	6%	7%	12%	3%	12%	15%	3%	13%	6%	11%	5%	11%	9%	4%	14%	8%
NET Legal	64%	64%	56%	66%	70%	65%	65%	58%	70%	74%	69%	62%	57%	63%	72%	62%	67%	71%	61%	70%	60%	75%	65%	72%	68%	55%	88%	44%	61%	88%	41%	73%	68%	87%	37%	69%	88%	38%	69%
NET Illegal	27%	28%	32%	24%	24%	27%	27%	29%	25%	22%	24%	27%	32%	28%	19%	30%	24%	23%	29%	25%	30%	17%	27%	21%	25%	33%	9%	43%	23%	9%	46%	22%	21%	9%	51%	23%	8%	48%	24%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Joe Biden or Donald Trump to do a better job on each of the following:
(Split A) The economy
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden	36%	34%	34%	33%	32%	42%	41%	30%	41%	25%	38%	33%	45%	33%	60%	28%	37%	48%	30%	46%	26%	54%	38%	43%	39%	27%	81%	<1%	16%	89%	<.5%	19%	26%	78%	3%	31%	77%	<1%	19%
Donald Trump	58%	61%	58%	60%	61%	54%	56%	65%	52%	68%	54%	61%	51%	63%	28%	66%	57%	48%	64%	51%	69%	40%	53%	50%	55%	68%	14%	98%	53%	9%	99%	70%	52%	17%	95%	63%	18%	98%	68%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	6%	5%	8%	7%	7%	4%	4%	4%	7%	7%	8%	6%	3%	4%	13%	7%	6%	4%	6%	2%	5%	6%	9%	7%	6%	5%	5%	1%	32%	2%	<1%	10%	22%	5%	2%	7%	5%	1%	12%
Number of respondents	1,713	276	243	240	279	410	265	880	815	307	379	526	451	1,227	189	146	103	788	918	593	631	168	267	387	757	569	775	788	150	635	659	153	266	520	450	616	760	604	268
Percent of total electorate	100%	18%	17%	15%	18%	16%	16%	49%	50%	17%	22%	29%	27%	69%	12%	11%	6%	34%	65%	24%	44%	9%	19%	23%	41%	36%	42%	49%	9%	33%	41%	9%	17%	29%	27%	36%	40%	37%	18%

(Split A) The Israeli-Palestinian [pah-luh-stin-ian] conflict
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden	35%	33%	37%	30%	32%	42%	35%	28%	41%	28%	38%	32%	40%	33%	52%	34%	33%	45%	30%	46%	26%	45%	39%	43%	38%	26%	75%	5%	11%	83%	2%	22%	27%	72%	5%	32%	71%	3%	22%
Donald Trump	50%	53%	47%	50%	52%	47%	51%	58%	43%	52%	44%	55%	48%	55%	21%	50%	51%	42%	55%	44%	61%	37%	40%	41%	46%	61%	8%	90%	31%	5%	93%	53%	33%	11%	91%	50%	11%	92%	54%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	15%	14%	15%	19%	16%	11%	14%	14%	16%	20%	17%	13%	12%	12%	26%	17%	16%	13%	16%	10%	13%	18%	21%	16%	16%	13%	16%	6%	58%	12%	5%	25%	40%	17%	5%	19%	18%	5%	25%
Number of respondents	1,713	276	243	240	279	410	265	880	815	307	379	526	451	1,227	189	146	103	788	918	593	631	168	267	387	757	569	775	788	150	635	659	153	266	520	450	616	760	604	268
Percent of total electorate	100%	18%	17%	15%	18%	16%	16%	49%	50%	17%	22%	29%	27%	69%	12%	11%	6%	34%	65%	24%	44%	9%	19%	23%	41%	36%	42%	49%	9%	33%	41%	9%	17%	29%	27%	36%	40%	37%	18%

(Split A) Abortion
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden	49%	48%	47%	47%	48%	55%	52%	44%	54%	56%	55%	43%	48%	46%	72%	48%	50%	60%	44%	58%	39%	66%	55%	59%	54%	37%	92%	15%	34%	94%	9%	60%	53%	88%	12%	51%	89%	10%	42%
Donald Trump	38%	37%	41%	38%	39%	35%	39%	43%	33%	31%	31%	44%	42%	44%	11%	38%	29%	31%	42%	35%	48%	22%	27%	30%	33%	50%	3%	72%	20%	3%	79%	24%	18%	6%	77%	34%	4%	78%	35%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	13%	16%	12%	15%	13%	10%	9%	12%	13%	13%	14%	13%	10%	10%	17%	14%	21%	9%	14%	7%	12%	12%	19%	11%	12%	13%	4%	13%	46%	3%	12%	17%	30%	7%	10%	15%	7%	12%	22%
Number of respondents	1,713	276	243	240	279	410	265	880	815	307	379	526	451	1,227	189	146	103	788	918	593	631	168	267	387	757	569	775	788	150	635	659	153	266	520	450	616	760	604	268
Percent of total electorate	100%	18%	17%	15%	18%	16%	16%	49%	50%	17%	22%	29%	27%	69%	12%	11%	6%	34%	65%	24%	44%	9%	19%	23%	41%	36%	42%	49%	9%	33%	41%	9%	17%	29%	27%	36%	40%	37%	18%

(If Pennsylvania voter) Crime
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden	42%	-	-	-	-	42%	-	32%	50%	36%	45%	39%	47%	39%	61%	51%	35%	51%	36%	52%	31%	49%	55%	54%	46%	29%	88%	1%	26%	92%	<.5%	27%	39%	85%	6%	35%	82%	2%	33%
Donald Trump	51%	-	-	-	-	51%	-	62%	42%	58%	46%	53%	48%	55%	26%	49%	51%	42%	57%	43%	62%	34%	37%	35%	48%	64%	9%	94%	35%	7%	96%	62%	33%	13%	91%	50%	13%	94%	54%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	7%	-	-	-	-	7%	-	6%	8%	6%	9%	8%	5%	6%	13%	0%	14%	7%	7%	5%	7%	18%	8%	12%	6%	7%	3%	5%	40%	2%	4%	11%	28%	3%	3%	15%	5%	4%	14%
Number of respondents	836					836		472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	12	43	437	398	365	321	60	72	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%					100%		47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	3%	5%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	43%	39%	14%

(If Pennsylvania voter) How would you describe the problem of crime in Pennsylvania?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Major problem	51%	-	-	-	-	51%	-	47%	55%	35%	44%	54%	58%	47%	73%	44%	58%	38%	58%	36%	54%	49%	72%	63%	47%	49%	30%	67%	67%	26%	70%	58%	53%	32%	70%	48%	32%	71%	51%
Minor problem	41%	-	-	-	-	41%	-	45%	38%	57%	45%	37%	36%	45%	22%	46%	37%	52%	36%	54%	39%	44%	23%	31%	46%	41%	61%	27%	18%	64%	24%	38%	34%	61%	23%	43%	59%	24%	38%
Not a problem	4%	-	-	-	-	4%	-	4%	5%	4%	8%	3%	3%	5%	1%	10%	4%	6%	3%	6%	4%	5%	2%	5%	3%	6%	7%	3%	2%	7%	2%	3%	4%	6%	3%	4%	6%	2%	8%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	4%	-	-	-	-	4%	-	5%	2%	4%	2%	5%	3%	3%	3%	0%	2%	4%	3%	4%	3%	2%	3%	<1%	5%	4%	2%	3%	13%	2%	4%	<1%	9%	1%	3%	5%	3%	4%	4%
Number of respondents	836					836		472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	12	43	437	398	365	321	60	72	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%					100%		47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	3%	5%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	43%	39%	14%

(If Pennsylvania voter) How would you describe the problem of crime in your local area?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Major problem	19%	-	-	-	-	19%	-	11%	25%	15%	18%	21%	19%	14%	46%	10%	22%	15%	20%	15%	14%	17%	42%	54%	11%	10%	16%	20%	22%	15%	21%	19%	21%	18%	19%	21%	17%	20%	19%
Minor problem	48%	-	-	-	-	48%	-	49%	47%	46%	39%	47%	57%	52%	31%	49%	35%	50%	47%	52%	52%	44%	30%	33%	48%	56%	45%	51%	46%	44%	51%	53%	47%	44%	57%	42%	45%	55%	41%
Not a problem	33%	-	-	-	-	33%	-	38%	28%	40%	42%	32%	23%	33%	23%	41%	44%	34%	32%	34%	33%	39%	27%	13%	40%	34%	38%	29%	29%	41%	28%	27%	30%	38%	24%	37%	38%	25%	41%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<.5%	-	-	-	-	<.5%	-	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	3%	0%	<.5%	0%	2%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%
Number of respondents	836					836		472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	12	43	437	398	365	321	60	72	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%					100%		47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	3%	5%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	43%	39%	14%

(If Pennsylvania voter) How confident are you that your community will be relatively safe in the future?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very confident	34%	-	-	-	-	34%	-	38%	30%	34%	38%	32%	32%	36%	19%	41%	34%	42%	29%	44%	31%	33%	23%	19%	39%	35%	43%	25%	34%	45%	22%	29%	41%	41%	25%	37%	43%	25%	28%
Somewhat confident	46%	-	-	-	-	46%	-	47%	46%	52%	41%	47%	46%	47%	48%	28%	44%	45%	46%	44%	49%	54%	39%	45%	45%	48%	45%	47%	48%	46%	49%	49%	36%	47%	49%	40%	46%	48%	45%
Not too confident	13%	-	-	-	-	13%	-	10%	16%	10%	14%	13%	14%	12%	20%	21%	11%	10%	15%	9%	13%	11%	21%	22%	12%	10%	8%	18%	10%	5%	20%	16%	12%	10%	16%	14%	8%	18%	17%
Not at all confident	5%	-	-	-	-	5%	-	4%	6%	3%	4%	7%	6%	4%	11%	0%	11%	3%	7%	3%	5%	3%	13%	13%	3%	5%	3%	7%	7%	2%	7%	6%	7%	2%	8%	7%	3%	7%	9%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	-	-	-	-	2%	-	1%	2%	1%	3%	<.5%	2%	1%	3%	10%	0%	0%	3%	0%	2%	0%	4%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	0%	4%	<.5%	3%	<1%	<.5%	3%	<.5%
Number of respondents	836					836		472	349	125	178	275	239	686	77	12	43	437	398	365	321	60	72	118	478	240	417	367	52	349	303	84	100	310	263	217	404	304	97
Percent of total electorate	100%					100%		47%	51%	15%	23%	32%	28%	79%	11%	3%	5%	38%	62%	31%	49%	6%	13%	18%	47%	35%	44%	47%	8%	36%	39%	11%	14%	35%	34%	25%	43%	39%	14%

Who do you think is most responsible for the Supreme Court ending the constitutional right to an abortion: Joe Biden or Donald Trump?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden, a lot of responsibility	8%	7%	7%	8%	10%	7%	5%	8%	8%	6%	8%	7%	9%	7%	9%	9%	9%	4%	10%	3%	9%	4%	11%	7%	7%	9%	4%	12%	3%	4%	13%	6%	3%	5%	13%	6%	4%	12%	7%
Joe Biden, some responsibility	10%	9%	11%	11%	10%	9%	9%	8%	11%	17%	11%	8%	7%	8%	14%	13%	13%	6%	12%	5%	10%	7%	16%	10%	10%	9%	7%	12%	9%	5%	12%	10%	14%	7%	10%	12%	6%	10%	17%
Donald Trump, some responsibility	20%	19%	20%	15%	20%	22%	23%	22%	18%	29%	21%	19%	14%	21%	16%	20%	19%	23%	18%	24%	19%	19%	18%	19%	19%	21%	17%	22%	21%	16%	22%	26%	20%	16%	24%	20%	16%	23%	20%
Donald Trump, a lot of responsibility	36%	37%	30%	37%	31%	44%	37%	33%	38%	26%	30%	37%	45%	37%	41%	30%	28%	45%	31%	43%	33%	49%	28%	39%	38%	31%	63%	15%	20%	68%	15%	27%	26%	62%	19%	31%	63%	15%	20%
[VOL] Neither	12%	13%	11%	12%	12%	10%	15%	14%	11%	8%	12%	14%	13%	13%	7%	9%	15%	13%	12%	14%	13%	11%	9%	11%	12%	13%	3%	19%	18%	3%	19%	15%	13%	3%	17%	15%	5%	20%	11%
[VOL] Both	2%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	2%	<.5%	1%	3%	2%	4%	1%	2%	<1%	1%	2%	4%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	4%	<.5%	1%	3%	6%	2%	<1%	3%	2%	2%	2%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	13%	14%	19%	15%	14%	8%	9%	14%	12%	10%	15%	13%	12%	13%	10%	17%	11%	9%	15%	9%	15%	8%	14%	11%	13%	15%	4%	18%	24%	4%	18%	14%	18%	6%	18%	13%	4%	17%	23%
NET Biden	17%	16%	18%	19%	21%	15%	14%	16%	19%	23%	19%	15%	15%	15%	22%	23%	22%	9%	21%	9%	19%	11%	27%	18%	17%	18%	11%	24%	13%	9%	24%	16%	17%	12%	22%	17%	10%	22%	24%
NET Trump	56%	56%	50%	52%	51%	65%	59%	55%	56%	55%	51%	56%	59%	58%	56%	50%	47%	67%	50%	68%	52%	68%	46%	59%	57%	52%	80%	37%	41%	84%	37%	52%	46%	78%	42%	52%	79%	39%	40%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

Which comes closest to your view about the political and economic system in America, even if none are exactly right?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
The system does not need changes	2%	4%	1%	2%	2%	2%	4%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	5%	3%	<1%	3%	2%	4%	2%	3%	2%	3%	1%	2%	3%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	<.5%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	1%
The system needs minor changes	27%	27%	23%	27%	26%	26%	30%	31%	23%	20%	20%	27%	36%	30%	19%	19%	20%	33%	23%	38%	26%	20%	19%	27%	28%	25%	36%	20%	16%	41%	21%	19%	16%	35%	22%	26%	35%	22%	18%
The system needs major changes	55%	55%	58%	52%	54%	57%	52%	51%	58%	62%	55%	57%	47%	52%	61%	61%	60%	51%	57%	49%	54%	59%	62%	56%	54%	55%	51%	57%	56%	48%	56%	62%	59%	52%	56%	57%	52%	57%	57%
The system needs to be torn down entirely	14%	11%	16%	15%	17%	13%	13%	14%	15%	16%	21%	13%	8%	13%	17%	14%	16%	10%	16%	8%	17%	18%	15%	14%	13%	15%	9%	17%	21%	7%	17%	18%	19%	9%	17%	14%	9%	15%	21%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	3%	2%	4%	<1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	4%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	5%	1%	2%	<.5%	4%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

If Donald Trump won the election, do you think nothing would change, there would be minor changes to how things work, there would be major changes to how things work, or he would tear down the system completely?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Nothing would change	4%	6%	4%	3%	4%	5%	3%	4%	4%	5%	8%	3%	2%	3%	4%	8%	4%	5%	4%	5%	2%	3%	6%	5%	4%	4%	6%	2%	7%	5%	1%	8%	7%	5%	2%	5%	5%	2%	7%
Minor changes to how things work	23%	19%	22%	22%	28%	22%	23%	28%	18%	36%	27%	21%	11%	23%	17%	27%	24%	27%	21%	27%	20%	26%	21%	21%	23%	23%	16%	27%	32%	13%	24%	39%	30%	15%	20%	30%	16%	25%	31%
Major changes to how things work	45%	48%	46%	45%	42%	45%	45%	45%	46%	43%	47%	46%	47%	49%	31%	41%	45%	40%	48%	43%	53%	36%	39%	39%	44%	51%	28%	64%	29%	27%	68%	31%	36%	28%	68%	42%	30%	66%	41%
He would tear down the system entirely	25%	23%	23%	27%	24%	25%	26%	20%	29%	12%	17%	27%	35%	22%	42%	20%	23%	26%	24%	23%	21%	33%	29%	30%	26%	19%	48%	5%	20%	52%	5%	18%	19%	49%	7%	21%	47%	5%	14%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	4%	4%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	4%	3%	2%	3%	5%	3%	6%	4%	4%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	5%	4%	3%	3%	2%	2%	12%	2%	2%	4%	8%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	7%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

If Joe Biden won the election, do you think nothing would change, there would be minor changes to how things work, there would be major changes to how things work, or he would tear down the system completely?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Nothing would change	32%	30%	33%	31%	32%	33%	35%	35%	30%	37%	39%	33%	23%	34%	20%	35%	35%	31%	33%	32%	35%	29%	29%	27%	31%	38%	18%	43%	39%	14%	42%	47%	37%	18%	41%	36%	21%	42%	37%
Minor changes to how things work	39%	39%	35%	41%	39%	40%	40%	35%	43%	48%	41%	35%	37%	38%	48%	39%	36%	46%	35%	47%	33%	47%	40%	46%	42%	30%	66%	17%	35%	68%	14%	38%	42%	61%	17%	41%	62%	15%	37%
Major changes to how things work	11%	11%	14%	11%	9%	13%	11%	12%	11%	7%	8%	13%	15%	10%	18%	12%	12%	10%	12%	9%	11%	14%	15%	11%	12%	11%	13%	11%	6%	14%	12%	8%	6%	16%	11%	8%	13%	12%	7%
He would tear down the system entirely	13%	15%	13%	13%	16%	11%	11%	14%	12%	6%	10%	14%	19%	14%	7%	10%	14%	9%	15%	9%	17%	8%	10%	12%	12%	16%	<1%	25%	8%	<1%	28%	6%	7%	1%	28%	12%	1%	28%	10%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	4%	5%	5%	5%	4%	2%	4%	4%	4%	2%	2%	5%	5%	3%	7%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	5%	4%	4%	4%	3%	4%	12%	3%	4%	1%	9%	4%	4%	3%	2%	4%	8%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

(If Trump major/minor change or tear down the system) Do you think the changes that Donald Trump would make would be good for the country or bad for the country, or neither good nor bad?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very good for the country	30%	33%	31%	29%	29%	29%	29%	33%	27%	17%	25%	36%	36%	35%	7%	25%	22%	23%	34%	25%	42%	16%	18%	23%	27%	39%	1%	60%	7%	<1%	69%	7%	7%	3%	70%	22%	3%	67%	19%
Somewhat good for the country	13%	12%	14%	13%	15%	14%	13%	16%	11%	18%	15%	14%	8%	13%	14%	15%	16%	13%	14%	14%	12%	10%	17%	12%	13%	14%	4%	22%	10%	3%	21%	19%	13%	5%	15%	18%	5%	19%	19%
Somewhat bad for the country	6%	6%	8%	7%	4%	6%	6%	6%	7%	13%	7%	5%	3%	5%	11%	8%	6%	7%	6%	6%	5%	11%	8%	7%	7%	5%	11%	1%	10%	11%	<1%	10%	8%	9%	<1%	8%	10%	<1%	9%
Very bad for the country	29%	28%	24%	33%	25%	34%	33%	24%	34%	19%	26%	28%	40%	30%	39%	18%	27%	39%	24%	39%	24%	43%	23%	35%	33%	21%	65%	<1%	17%	71%	<.5%	17%	21%	64%	4%	24%	64%	1%	13%
Neither good nor bad	12%	11%	13%	11%	19%	8%	12%	13%	12%	23%	16%	10%	5%	10%	17%	20%	19%	10%	14%	9%	11%	14%	20%	13%	12%	12%	10%	10%	31%	6%	5%	33%	31%	9%	6%	19%	10%	7%	25%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	1%	<1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	6%	<1%	<1%	2%	4%	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%
[PREVIOUSLY] Nothing would change	4%	6%	4%	3%	4%	5%	3%	4%	4%	5%	8%	3%	2%	3%	4%	8%	4%	5%	4%	5%	2%	3%	6%	5%	4%	4%	6%	2%	7%	5%	1%	8%	7%	5%	2%	5%	5%	2%	7%
[PREVIOUSLY] Don’t know/Refused	3%	4%	4%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	4%	3%	2%	3%	5%	3%	6%	4%	4%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	5%	4%	3%	3%	2%	2%	12%	2%	2%	4%	8%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	7%
NET Good	43%	45%	45%	42%	44%	42%	42%	49%	38%	36%	39%	50%	44%	48%	21%	40%	38%	35%	48%	38%	54%	26%	35%	35%	40%	53%	5%	83%	17%	4%	90%	27%	21%	9%	85%	40%	8%	86%	38%
NET Bad	35%	33%	32%	39%	29%	40%	39%	30%	41%	32%	33%	33%	43%	35%	51%	26%	33%	47%	30%	44%	29%	54%	32%	42%	40%	26%	76%	2%	27%	82%	<1%	26%	30%	73%	5%	32%	74%	2%	22%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

(If Biden major/minor change or tear down the system) Do you think the changes that Joe Biden would make would be good for the country or bad for the country, or neither good nor bad?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very good for the country	11%	14%	10%	10%	9%	12%	10%	9%	12%	4%	4%	12%	20%	10%	15%	10%	10%	13%	9%	13%	8%	12%	12%	13%	12%	8%	25%	<1%	<1%	30%	<1%	2%	1%	30%	<1%	4%	24%	<1%	3%
Somewhat good for the country	13%	10%	13%	17%	10%	16%	15%	12%	15%	10%	15%	14%	15%	12%	25%	9%	12%	18%	11%	17%	9%	22%	14%	17%	15%	10%	29%	1%	3%	32%	1%	7%	9%	27%	2%	13%	28%	1%	7%
Somewhat bad for the country	4%	4%	4%	6%	4%	5%	3%	5%	4%	8%	5%	3%	2%	4%	3%	5%	4%	4%	4%	5%	4%	2%	5%	3%	5%	4%	1%	6%	9%	<1%	5%	10%	7%	2%	4%	5%	2%	5%	7%
Very bad for the country	19%	21%	18%	18%	19%	19%	19%	22%	17%	9%	15%	22%	24%	23%	7%	10%	16%	15%	21%	16%	26%	10%	10%	15%	18%	23%	<.5%	37%	10%	<.5%	41%	11%	8%	2%	40%	18%	1%	42%	13%
Neither good nor bad	15%	16%	16%	12%	21%	13%	14%	13%	17%	29%	18%	11%	10%	12%	22%	25%	19%	14%	16%	12%	12%	20%	23%	19%	16%	12%	22%	8%	23%	19%	6%	20%	27%	17%	7%	20%	20%	5%	25%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	3%	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	<1%	<.5%	1%	1%	<.5%	<1%
[PREVIOUSLY] Nothing would change	32%	30%	33%	31%	32%	33%	35%	35%	30%	37%	39%	33%	23%	34%	20%	35%	35%	31%	33%	32%	35%	29%	29%	27%	31%	38%	18%	43%	39%	14%	42%	47%	37%	18%	41%	36%	21%	42%	37%
[PREVIOUSLY] Don’t know/Refused	4%	5%	5%	5%	4%	2%	4%	4%	4%	2%	2%	5%	5%	3%	7%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	5%	4%	4%	4%	3%	4%	12%	3%	4%	1%	9%	4%	4%	3%	2%	4%	8%
NET Good	24%	23%	23%	27%	20%	28%	25%	21%	27%	14%	19%	25%	34%	22%	41%	19%	22%	31%	20%	30%	18%	35%	26%	30%	26%	17%	54%	2%	4%	62%	2%	9%	10%	57%	3%	17%	52%	2%	9%
NET Bad	23%	25%	22%	24%	22%	24%	22%	26%	20%	17%	21%	25%	27%	27%	10%	15%	20%	20%	25%	22%	30%	12%	15%	19%	22%	28%	2%	43%	19%	1%	46%	21%	15%	3%	44%	23%	3%	47%	20%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

Which comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Trained experts are generally too biased to be reliable	36%	34%	37%	38%	39%	35%	33%	39%	33%	32%	36%	39%	36%	36%	34%	37%	40%	29%	40%	27%	41%	32%	39%	35%	35%	39%	20%	49%	42%	17%	51%	38%	40%	21%	51%	38%	21%	52%	39%
Trained experts are generally reliable sources of information	51%	52%	50%	49%	45%	56%	55%	50%	53%	61%	55%	49%	46%	52%	53%	47%	46%	62%	46%	63%	46%	61%	45%	53%	53%	48%	72%	36%	40%	75%	34%	51%	46%	70%	34%	52%	71%	33%	45%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	13%	14%	14%	12%	16%	9%	11%	10%	15%	7%	9%	12%	18%	12%	13%	16%	14%	9%	14%	10%	13%	7%	16%	12%	12%	14%	8%	15%	18%	9%	16%	11%	15%	9%	16%	11%	9%	15%	15%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

I’m going to describe two kinds of presidential candidates. Regardless of who you support, tell me which kind of candidate you’d prefer as president:
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
A candidate who promises to bring politics in Washington back to normal	51%	51%	47%	49%	44%	55%	61%	53%	49%	27%	39%	55%	71%	56%	44%	32%	38%	56%	48%	59%	55%	45%	35%	47%	51%	53%	62%	46%	28%	68%	48%	34%	34%	60%	51%	48%	62%	52%	28%
A candidate who promises to fundamentally change America	40%	39%	44%	41%	48%	37%	32%	39%	41%	68%	52%	35%	18%	35%	48%	61%	53%	35%	43%	31%	37%	47%	57%	43%	40%	38%	31%	45%	53%	25%	43%	60%	53%	33%	39%	43%	32%	37%	65%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	9%	10%	9%	11%	8%	8%	7%	8%	9%	5%	9%	10%	11%	9%	8%	7%	8%	10%	8%	10%	8%	8%	7%	10%	9%	8%	7%	9%	19%	7%	10%	6%	13%	7%	10%	8%	7%	11%	7%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

(Split B) How much attention would you say you are paying to news about the legal cases against Donald Trump?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
A lot of attention	29%	32%	26%	32%	27%	33%	27%	33%	26%	10%	22%	30%	47%	31%	23%	24%	32%	31%	28%	30%	31%	33%	23%	28%	30%	30%	34%	28%	17%	38%	31%	19%	16%	35%	33%	24%	36%	31%	15%
Some attention	35%	33%	37%	33%	33%	32%	40%	33%	36%	39%	36%	34%	32%	36%	33%	32%	32%	37%	34%	38%	35%	34%	33%	32%	38%	33%	34%	37%	27%	36%	37%	27%	31%	36%	39%	31%	37%	36%	30%
Only a little attention	24%	24%	18%	25%	25%	23%	26%	23%	25%	34%	27%	24%	13%	23%	25%	30%	22%	23%	24%	24%	22%	21%	27%	29%	21%	23%	23%	22%	33%	20%	21%	30%	34%	19%	18%	32%	19%	23%	32%
No attention at all	12%	11%	17%	10%	15%	11%	7%	11%	12%	16%	14%	11%	7%	10%	16%	13%	14%	8%	14%	7%	12%	12%	17%	11%	11%	13%	8%	13%	20%	6%	11%	23%	17%	9%	10%	13%	7%	10%	21%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<1%	<.5%	2%	0%	0%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<1%	1%	<.5%	2%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	3%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	2%
Number of respondents	1,667	237	227	280	229	426	268	875	773	278	377	549	408	1,197	177	134	122	777	881	593	600	161	268	397	739	531	749	773	145	619	639	176	233	515	470	534	711	616	272
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	16%	18%	15%	17%	18%	48%	51%	15%	24%	33%	24%	68%	12%	9%	9%	35%	64%	25%	43%	8%	21%	25%	41%	34%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	11%	15%	29%	29%	33%	40%	37%	19%

(Split B) Thinking about the trial of Donald Trump in New York related to hush money payments made to the porn star Stormy Daniels, do you think that it is likely or unlikely that he will be convicted?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very likely	15%	19%	10%	13%	15%	16%	16%	15%	15%	8%	16%	13%	21%	15%	14%	15%	14%	15%	15%	14%	15%	16%	14%	19%	15%	11%	23%	8%	13%	23%	8%	16%	13%	23%	8%	14%	22%	8%	13%
Somewhat likely	20%	21%	17%	22%	20%	18%	23%	20%	21%	22%	20%	17%	24%	21%	17%	17%	23%	24%	18%	25%	19%	20%	19%	20%	24%	16%	28%	14%	17%	28%	13%	20%	22%	27%	14%	21%	29%	14%	17%
Somewhat unlikely	28%	23%	30%	28%	28%	28%	31%	28%	28%	41%	25%	30%	21%	28%	29%	32%	26%	28%	28%	29%	28%	27%	29%	26%	26%	33%	24%	34%	18%	24%	32%	34%	25%	25%	31%	31%	24%	31%	32%
Very unlikely	25%	27%	31%	22%	23%	29%	17%	27%	22%	19%	29%	26%	20%	23%	30%	27%	28%	21%	27%	18%	26%	30%	28%	25%	23%	26%	16%	32%	27%	15%	35%	20%	22%	17%	35%	22%	17%	33%	25%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	12%	10%	13%	15%	14%	10%	13%	10%	14%	10%	10%	13%	14%	13%	10%	9%	9%	12%	12%	14%	12%	7%	10%	10%	13%	14%	9%	12%	25%	10%	12%	10%	19%	8%	13%	13%	9%	14%	13%
Number of respondents	1,667	237	227	280	229	426	268	875	773	278	377	549	408	1,197	177	134	122	777	881	593	600	161	268	397	739	531	749	773	145	619	639	176	233	515	470	534	711	616	272
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	16%	18%	15%	17%	18%	48%	51%	15%	24%	33%	24%	68%	12%	9%	9%	35%	64%	25%	43%	8%	21%	25%	41%	34%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	11%	15%	29%	29%	33%	40%	37%	19%

(Split B) Thinking about Donald Trump’s trial in New York related to hush money payments, do you think he will be able to get a fair and impartial trial?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	45%	45%	42%	42%	48%	44%	49%	41%	49%	50%	43%	41%	49%	41%	65%	49%	50%	49%	43%	47%	37%	58%	56%	54%	45%	37%	75%	19%	43%	77%	16%	42%	49%	76%	19%	43%	75%	13%	44%
No	49%	48%	52%	52%	45%	52%	48%	54%	45%	43%	52%	53%	45%	54%	29%	43%	46%	47%	51%	49%	57%	37%	38%	41%	49%	56%	21%	76%	41%	18%	79%	51%	39%	18%	78%	51%	21%	83%	44%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	6%	7%	7%	6%	8%	4%	4%	5%	6%	7%	5%	5%	6%	5%	6%	8%	4%	4%	6%	4%	6%	5%	6%	5%	6%	7%	4%	5%	16%	5%	5%	6%	12%	6%	3%	6%	5%	4%	12%
Number of respondents	1,667	237	227	280	229	426	268	875	773	278	377	549	408	1,197	177	134	122	777	881	593	600	161	268	397	739	531	749	773	145	619	639	176	233	515	470	534	711	616	272
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	16%	18%	15%	17%	18%	48%	51%	15%	24%	33%	24%	68%	12%	9%	9%	35%	64%	25%	43%	8%	21%	25%	41%	34%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	11%	15%	29%	29%	33%	40%	37%	19%

In the dispute between Israel and the Palestinians [pah-luh-stin-ians], which side do you sympathize with more: Israel or the Palestinians [pah-luh-stin-ians]?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Israel	41%	45%	44%	37%	36%	44%	42%	47%	37%	23%	30%	50%	53%	48%	24%	30%	26%	39%	43%	44%	49%	24%	28%	35%	39%	49%	24%	60%	23%	25%	65%	34%	21%	24%	69%	38%	24%	69%	25%
Palestinians	22%	21%	19%	22%	27%	22%	22%	19%	25%	44%	28%	13%	15%	19%	31%	30%	30%	26%	20%	24%	16%	34%	29%	26%	25%	16%	35%	10%	25%	34%	8%	29%	30%	36%	7%	22%	34%	7%	29%
[VOL] Both equally (Includes neither)	18%	16%	18%	22%	19%	16%	18%	20%	16%	13%	21%	19%	17%	17%	20%	16%	23%	20%	17%	18%	16%	22%	19%	21%	20%	15%	21%	15%	20%	23%	14%	15%	21%	19%	12%	23%	22%	13%	19%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	18%	19%	19%	20%	18%	18%	18%	14%	22%	20%	21%	18%	15%	16%	25%	23%	21%	15%	20%	14%	18%	19%	24%	19%	16%	21%	19%	15%	32%	19%	13%	22%	28%	21%	13%	18%	20%	12%	27%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

What single news source do you turn to most often?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
[VOL] Fox News	11%	12%	9%	12%	9%	15%	12%	12%	11%	7%	9%	13%	15%	14%	5%	6%	12%	9%	13%	12%	15%	3%	8%	9%	10%	15%	2%	22%	2%	1%	25%	5%	4%	2%	27%	9%	2%	25%	8%
[VOL] CNN	8%	6%	8%	9%	11%	8%	7%	7%	9%	7%	7%	9%	10%	7%	18%	7%	7%	9%	8%	8%	6%	13%	11%	8%	9%	7%	13%	4%	4%	14%	4%	7%	7%	15%	3%	7%	14%	3%	7%
[VOL] MSNBC	4%	5%	3%	4%	5%	3%	5%	3%	5%	1%	1%	3%	9%	4%	6%	2%	2%	4%	4%	5%	4%	4%	3%	5%	4%	3%	9%	<.5%	3%	10%	<.5%	2%	2%	10%	<1%	3%	9%	<1%	1%
[VOL] Public Radio/NPR/PBS	3%	2%	5%	3%	1%	4%	5%	3%	3%	3%	5%	3%	2%	4%	2%	<.5%	2%	6%	2%	7%	3%	4%	<.5%	3%	4%	3%	7%	<1%	2%	7%	<1%	3%	3%	5%	2%	3%	7%	<1%	1%
[VOL] Talk radio/conservative personality	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	0%	2%	<1%	0%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	1%	0%	2%	<1%
[VOL] National television networks, like CBS, NBC or ABC	10%	10%	9%	10%	6%	11%	13%	8%	12%	5%	4%	11%	17%	10%	12%	8%	7%	9%	11%	9%	11%	10%	9%	9%	10%	11%	14%	7%	7%	15%	7%	11%	7%	15%	8%	8%	14%	8%	7%
[VOL] Local broadcast news (includes non-talk, non-public local radio)	7%	5%	8%	7%	5%	8%	10%	6%	8%	5%	6%	9%	8%	7%	10%	11%	2%	5%	8%	5%	8%	5%	10%	9%	6%	7%	8%	6%	9%	7%	6%	7%	10%	8%	7%	6%	8%	6%	7%
[VOL] National print or online news organizations, like The New York Times or The Wall Street Journal	5%	5%	6%	4%	4%	7%	6%	6%	4%	5%	7%	4%	5%	6%	4%	3%	4%	9%	3%	11%	3%	5%	3%	6%	6%	4%	9%	2%	5%	9%	2%	5%	4%	7%	2%	7%	8%	2%	5%
[VOL] Local print or online news organizations	<1%	1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	2%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
[VOL] Social media	17%	19%	21%	15%	22%	13%	15%	17%	18%	40%	24%	11%	6%	15%	17%	26%	28%	14%	19%	13%	17%	18%	25%	19%	18%	16%	13%	20%	24%	10%	18%	28%	25%	12%	16%	21%	13%	15%	30%
[VOL] Friends and family	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%
[VOL] International news sources (such as the BBC, Al Jazeera and The Guardian)	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	3%	1%	3%	1%	3%	<1%	2%	2%	<1%	3%	<1%	2%	3%	<1%	1%	3%	2%	<.5%	2%	3%	<1%	2%
[VOL] Aggregation sites (such as Bing, Google, Yahoo News or Apple News)	4%	3%	3%	6%	6%	3%	4%	4%	4%	4%	7%	5%	1%	4%	3%	5%	5%	5%	4%	5%	4%	6%	4%	5%	5%	4%	6%	3%	3%	5%	2%	6%	5%	5%	2%	5%	5%	2%	7%
[VOL] Conservative news sites	2%	2%	<1%	<.5%	2%	4%	2%	2%	2%	<.5%	3%	2%	1%	2%	<.5%	1%	<1%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	<.5%	1%	2%	2%	<.5%	4%	<1%	<.5%	4%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	4%	2%	<.5%	5%	<.5%
[VOL] Newsmax	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%	4%	3%	3%	3%	<.5%	2%	3%	5%	4%	2%	0%	<1%	2%	4%	2%	5%	1%	1%	2%	2%	4%	<1%	6%	<1%	<1%	6%	1%	1%	<1%	7%	2%	<1%	7%	<1%
[VOL] Liberal news sites (Such as Mother Jones and Occupy Democrats)	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	0%	1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	0%
[VOL] Doesn’t consume news	3%	3%	3%	1%	4%	2%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	2%	2%	2%	4%	6%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	4%	2%	2%	3%	2%	3%	6%	2%	3%	4%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	4%
[VOL] Other (includes no preference and the internet)	11%	12%	11%	13%	14%	9%	9%	13%	9%	8%	11%	13%	11%	10%	10%	16%	16%	10%	11%	9%	11%	13%	13%	10%	13%	11%	9%	12%	17%	9%	13%	11%	12%	9%	12%	13%	10%	13%	10%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	5%	6%	8%	6%	5%	5%	3%	6%	5%	7%	5%	6%	4%	5%	6%	7%	5%	5%	6%	5%	5%	6%	6%	5%	6%	5%	3%	6%	12%	4%	6%	6%	9%	3%	5%	7%	4%	6%	8%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

How often, if ever, do you use social media, such as Facebook, Instagram, TikTok or others?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Often	48%	47%	53%	44%	51%	48%	46%	42%	54%	72%	61%	47%	25%	46%	53%	56%	56%	50%	48%	49%	44%	54%	56%	48%	50%	47%	48%	47%	53%	46%	46%	64%	49%	48%	44%	51%	48%	44%	60%
Sometimes	18%	19%	18%	22%	16%	18%	17%	17%	19%	17%	16%	20%	19%	18%	18%	21%	20%	18%	18%	18%	18%	18%	20%	20%	18%	18%	19%	18%	16%	20%	19%	13%	18%	18%	20%	18%	19%	18%	17%
Rarely	13%	13%	11%	15%	12%	14%	16%	15%	12%	7%	13%	15%	16%	14%	14%	9%	12%	15%	13%	14%	14%	15%	11%	13%	14%	12%	14%	13%	13%	14%	13%	10%	16%	13%	12%	14%	14%	13%	11%
Never	20%	20%	18%	18%	19%	19%	22%	25%	14%	4%	10%	17%	40%	22%	14%	13%	11%	17%	21%	18%	24%	12%	13%	19%	17%	23%	19%	21%	17%	21%	22%	12%	16%	20%	23%	17%	19%	24%	12%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

(If social media user) How often, if ever, do you use TikTok?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Often	17%	17%	24%	17%	18%	13%	12%	13%	21%	42%	23%	11%	3%	14%	20%	29%	26%	14%	18%	12%	15%	21%	27%	16%	19%	15%	18%	15%	22%	15%	14%	26%	23%	18%	13%	18%	17%	11%	30%
Sometimes	9%	9%	9%	8%	10%	8%	8%	7%	11%	15%	8%	10%	4%	6%	14%	16%	14%	7%	9%	7%	6%	10%	17%	10%	8%	8%	9%	9%	8%	8%	8%	12%	10%	10%	7%	9%	9%	6%	13%
Rarely	11%	9%	13%	10%	12%	10%	11%	9%	12%	12%	13%	12%	6%	10%	15%	10%	12%	11%	10%	10%	10%	16%	12%	11%	11%	10%	12%	10%	12%	12%	10%	9%	12%	13%	8%	11%	12%	9%	11%
Never	44%	45%	36%	46%	39%	49%	48%	46%	42%	27%	46%	49%	46%	48%	36%	30%	35%	50%	41%	54%	45%	40%	31%	43%	45%	43%	42%	46%	40%	44%	46%	41%	39%	39%	49%	45%	43%	51%	33%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[PREVIOUSLY] Never use social media	20%	20%	18%	18%	19%	19%	22%	25%	14%	4%	10%	17%	40%	22%	14%	13%	11%	17%	21%	18%	24%	12%	13%	19%	17%	23%	19%	21%	17%	21%	22%	12%	16%	20%	23%	17%	19%	24%	12%
[PREVIOUSLY] Don't know/Refused	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

How many hours per day do you spend playing video games?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
None at all	61%	58%	64%	61%	60%	62%	63%	59%	63%	39%	55%	68%	72%	62%	59%	66%	51%	63%	60%	62%	62%	66%	56%	56%	60%	66%	59%	64%	55%	62%	67%	45%	55%	63%	69%	54%	61%	69%	46%
More than none but less than 1 hour	15%	17%	13%	15%	14%	16%	16%	17%	14%	19%	19%	14%	12%	16%	12%	10%	26%	17%	14%	18%	14%	13%	15%	17%	16%	13%	16%	14%	17%	14%	14%	21%	17%	14%	13%	18%	15%	14%	18%
More than 1 hour but less than 2	12%	14%	12%	11%	11%	10%	12%	11%	12%	16%	15%	9%	9%	12%	15%	10%	9%	12%	11%	12%	11%	12%	12%	12%	12%	11%	12%	11%	13%	12%	10%	18%	12%	12%	10%	13%	13%	9%	14%
More than 2 hours but less than 3	5%	5%	5%	5%	4%	6%	3%	5%	4%	10%	4%	3%	3%	4%	6%	6%	5%	4%	5%	4%	4%	5%	6%	6%	4%	4%	5%	3%	6%	5%	4%	5%	6%	5%	3%	6%	5%	3%	6%
More than 3 hours but less than 4	2%	3%	2%	1%	5%	2%	2%	3%	2%	4%	3%	2%	1%	2%	3%	4%	4%	1%	3%	1%	3%	1%	4%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	5%	2%	2%	2%	4%	3%	1%	3%	2%	1%	6%
More than 4 hours but less than 5	1%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	2%	3%	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	3%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	1%	1%	3%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	3%	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	1%	<1%	3%
5 hours or more	3%	2%	2%	5%	4%	2%	3%	3%	3%	8%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	1%	4%	1%	4%	1%	4%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	5%	3%	3%	2%	4%	2%	2%	7%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

Have you yourself ever invested in, traded or used a cryptocurrency such as Bitcoin or Ether [ee-ther]?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	15%	13%	22%	16%	16%	14%	11%	22%	9%	23%	24%	14%	3%	13%	19%	17%	24%	20%	13%	18%	11%	27%	16%	16%	18%	12%	13%	18%	14%	12%	16%	20%	18%	10%	13%	21%	14%	15%	20%
No	84%	86%	77%	83%	83%	85%	88%	77%	90%	76%	75%	85%	96%	86%	80%	82%	74%	79%	86%	81%	88%	72%	83%	83%	81%	87%	87%	81%	84%	88%	83%	78%	80%	90%	86%	78%	86%	84%	79%
[VOL] Have not heard of this	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	2%	<.5%	1%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

Have you gotten any doses of a Covid-19 vaccine, including boosters?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes, multiple times	55%	55%	54%	53%	47%	60%	60%	52%	58%	47%	46%	55%	69%	56%	54%	52%	55%	66%	49%	67%	50%	66%	49%	58%	58%	49%	81%	34%	46%	85%	34%	44%	53%	79%	36%	53%	81%	34%	41%
Yes, just once	16%	15%	18%	15%	19%	15%	15%	18%	14%	21%	17%	15%	14%	15%	20%	20%	14%	14%	17%	14%	16%	14%	20%	16%	17%	15%	12%	19%	20%	10%	18%	26%	17%	12%	18%	19%	12%	19%	20%
No	28%	28%	26%	31%	33%	23%	24%	29%	26%	31%	35%	29%	16%	27%	25%	26%	30%	18%	32%	18%	33%	17%	30%	26%	23%	34%	6%	45%	31%	5%	46%	29%	28%	8%	45%	27%	6%	45%	38%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	<1%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	<1%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	3%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	2%	1%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

Are you, or is any member of your household, a member of a labor union?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes, you are a member	7%	5%	5%	12%	6%	8%	6%	9%	4%	4%	9%	7%	6%	7%	6%	5%	5%	5%	8%	5%	9%	7%	5%	7%	6%	8%	6%	7%	7%	7%	8%	5%	5%	7%	6%	7%	7%	7%	6%
Yes, another member of your household is a member	5%	5%	3%	7%	5%	7%	5%	4%	7%	8%	5%	5%	4%	5%	3%	7%	7%	6%	5%	6%	5%	6%	6%	5%	5%	7%	5%	5%	6%	5%	5%	5%	7%	6%	4%	7%	6%	5%	6%
Yes, you and another member of your household are members	2%	<1%	<.5%	3%	3%	3%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	<1%
No	84%	87%	89%	77%	85%	80%	88%	83%	85%	84%	82%	84%	87%	84%	87%	83%	83%	84%	84%	85%	83%	81%	85%	84%	86%	82%	85%	84%	80%	84%	84%	86%	83%	85%	86%	83%	84%	85%	84%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	2%	3%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	<.5%	<1%	2%	3%	2%	<1%	1%	1%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	<1%	2%	4%	<1%	1%	2%	1%	<1%	4%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

And just a few more questions for demographic purposes... Do you consider yourself politically liberal, moderate or conservative?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very liberal	10%	9%	10%	7%	10%	13%	11%	8%	12%	14%	13%	6%	10%	10%	9%	11%	12%	15%	8%	15%	7%	14%	9%	13%	12%	6%	20%	1%	8%	23%	1%	4%	10%	23%	1%	7%	21%	1%	7%
Somewhat liberal	12%	10%	10%	12%	11%	14%	15%	10%	15%	15%	13%	12%	9%	12%	13%	16%	11%	14%	11%	14%	10%	13%	13%	14%	12%	10%	21%	4%	13%	21%	3%	14%	15%	23%	3%	11%	20%	3%	14%
Moderate	35%	36%	35%	37%	35%	35%	33%	37%	34%	36%	36%	36%	34%	35%	43%	32%	38%	38%	34%	37%	34%	44%	36%	34%	36%	36%	42%	29%	36%	41%	25%	51%	37%	38%	19%	47%	44%	26%	34%
Somewhat conservative	20%	21%	21%	22%	20%	19%	18%	22%	18%	16%	19%	23%	19%	21%	19%	21%	16%	17%	22%	17%	22%	16%	20%	18%	19%	23%	10%	30%	17%	9%	30%	21%	18%	9%	30%	21%	10%	30%	21%
Very conservative	16%	19%	16%	14%	16%	15%	19%	19%	14%	10%	10%	17%	24%	19%	5%	11%	13%	13%	18%	14%	22%	9%	9%	13%	15%	20%	3%	30%	7%	3%	34%	5%	7%	2%	43%	8%	3%	37%	7%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	6%	6%	9%	8%	7%	4%	4%	5%	7%	9%	7%	6%	5%	4%	11%	9%	10%	4%	7%	3%	5%	5%	12%	8%	5%	6%	4%	6%	19%	4%	6%	5%	13%	4%	4%	5%	3%	4%	17%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

Which of the following general income categories is your total household income before taxes?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Under $25,000	9%	9%	8%	8%	11%	8%	11%	7%	12%	12%	9%	8%	10%	8%	15%	10%	13%	4%	12%	3%	10%	5%	16%	12%	8%	9%	11%	8%	11%	9%	8%	9%	13%	10%	7%	10%	8%	8%	13%
At least $25,000 but under $50,000	17%	14%	15%	20%	20%	18%	16%	14%	20%	21%	13%	13%	23%	16%	21%	24%	12%	8%	22%	8%	21%	10%	24%	19%	16%	17%	17%	18%	15%	16%	17%	19%	16%	19%	17%	16%	17%	16%	22%
At least $50,000 but under $100,000	29%	28%	31%	30%	24%	27%	34%	31%	27%	32%	29%	28%	30%	30%	28%	26%	28%	28%	30%	28%	31%	30%	27%	27%	29%	32%	29%	29%	28%	30%	29%	33%	27%	32%	27%	30%	30%	28%	28%
At least $100,000 but under $200,000	25%	29%	25%	24%	23%	25%	23%	28%	22%	19%	31%	30%	17%	27%	18%	21%	25%	34%	20%	34%	23%	33%	16%	23%	26%	24%	25%	25%	21%	26%	26%	27%	19%	23%	27%	25%	27%	27%	18%
$200,000 or more	10%	9%	11%	7%	12%	11%	8%	12%	8%	7%	12%	14%	5%	11%	8%	4%	11%	18%	5%	19%	6%	16%	4%	10%	11%	8%	10%	10%	9%	11%	10%	7%	8%	7%	11%	12%	10%	11%	7%
[VOL] Refused	10%	11%	10%	10%	10%	11%	8%	8%	11%	8%	6%	6%	15%	8%	10%	15%	11%	8%	10%	8%	8%	7%	13%	9%	10%	10%	9%	10%	17%	8%	10%	5%	17%	9%	11%	8%	8%	10%	12%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

Do you consider yourself Catholic, Protestant, Mormon, Jewish, Muslim, some other religion, or do you have no religious affiliation?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Catholic	18%	17%	10%	19%	19%	21%	26%	19%	18%	18%	14%	20%	22%	19%	4%	40%	11%	17%	19%	18%	19%	14%	20%	18%	20%	17%	19%	18%	15%	20%	20%	17%	13%	19%	21%	18%	18%	20%	15%
Protestant (Christian)	28%	29%	34%	27%	19%	31%	28%	27%	29%	19%	24%	29%	38%	29%	35%	19%	19%	29%	28%	30%	29%	29%	24%	24%	26%	33%	21%	35%	26%	22%	36%	25%	23%	21%	40%	26%	22%	38%	20%
Mormon (LDS)	2%	5%	<1%	<.5%	3%	<1%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	2%	1%	3%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	3%	<1%	1%	3%	1%	<.5%	<1%	3%	2%	<1%	3%	1%
Jewish	2%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	3%	1%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%	4%	2%	<1%	2%	1%	3%	3%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	<1%
Muslim	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	3%	<.5%	4%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	<.5%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	2%
[VOL] Christian (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Episcopalian, Methodist, Adventist, Presbyterian)	12%	8%	25%	11%	7%	8%	12%	11%	13%	9%	11%	15%	11%	11%	22%	7%	11%	9%	13%	8%	13%	13%	14%	8%	10%	17%	9%	14%	11%	9%	14%	12%	13%	11%	14%	11%	10%	15%	11%
[VOL] Greek/Russian Orthodox	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%
Some other religion (specify)	3%	4%	2%	4%	4%	2%	3%	3%	3%	5%	3%	3%	2%	3%	1%	2%	12%	4%	3%	2%	3%	8%	3%	4%	3%	2%	4%	2%	3%	3%	2%	3%	6%	4%	1%	3%	4%	2%	4%
No religious affiliation	31%	33%	24%	32%	43%	30%	27%	33%	30%	43%	42%	26%	22%	31%	30%	28%	38%	33%	31%	34%	30%	29%	33%	36%	34%	25%	40%	23%	35%	39%	21%	38%	38%	38%	16%	36%	38%	18%	43%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	1%	3%	4%	3%	3%	1%	2%	2%	3%	1%	3%	3%	2%	4%	1%	3%	3%	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	3%	3%	2%	2%	3%	4%	3%	3%	1%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

(If Protestant, Christian, Mormon, Greek/Russian Orthodox or some other religion) Do you consider yourself an evangelical or born-again Christian?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	23%	22%	40%	19%	15%	23%	18%	21%	25%	16%	20%	26%	27%	22%	33%	20%	18%	20%	24%	19%	24%	25%	25%	18%	21%	28%	15%	30%	20%	15%	31%	22%	20%	17%	35%	19%	16%	33%	18%
No	22%	24%	21%	25%	18%	19%	27%	23%	22%	20%	21%	23%	23%	24%	26%	9%	24%	24%	22%	24%	23%	24%	18%	22%	20%	26%	21%	23%	25%	21%	22%	20%	25%	20%	21%	24%	23%	24%	21%
[PREVIOUSLY] Catholic, Jewish, Muslim, no religious affiliation or refused	53%	52%	35%	55%	64%	56%	54%	54%	51%	62%	57%	49%	47%	53%	37%	69%	55%	54%	52%	56%	51%	47%	55%	58%	57%	44%	62%	45%	53%	62%	44%	56%	52%	62%	40%	55%	60%	41%	60%
[VOL] Refused	2%	2%	4%	1%	3%	1%	<1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	4%	1%	3%	2%	2%	1%	2%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	3%	1%	3%	2%	1%	3%	2%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

(If independent, another party or not sure) And as of today, do you lean more to:
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
The Democratic Party	35%	40%	30%	34%	30%	36%	40%	28%	44%	40%	34%	28%	40%	34%	44%	37%	31%	41%	32%	39%	31%	47%	35%	43%	36%	28%	79%	7%	23%	86%	3%	31%	32%	-	-	39%	72%	4%	28%
The Republican Party	41%	39%	39%	43%	42%	42%	42%	50%	31%	39%	38%	47%	42%	46%	27%	34%	38%	35%	44%	40%	50%	26%	36%	28%	41%	51%	7%	77%	13%	5%	83%	41%	22%	-	-	42%	13%	81%	36%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	24%	20%	30%	24%	27%	22%	19%	22%	25%	22%	28%	25%	18%	19%	29%	29%	31%	24%	24%	20%	19%	28%	29%	29%	23%	21%	14%	16%	64%	10%	13%	28%	47%	-	-	19%	15%	15%	36%
Number of respondents	1,425	228	212	246	242	263	234	835	563	320	392	400	267	982	141	127	118	654	762	480	498	139	242	334	627	464	532	657	236	377	460	227	361			1,150	515	438	357
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	16%	18%	19%	12%	18%	54%	44%	22%	29%	28%	18%	65%	11%	11%	9%	34%	65%	24%	41%	8%	22%	25%	41%	34%	35%	47%	18%	24%	33%	16%	27%			80%	33%	30%	29%

Combined: Party identification and leaners
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
The Democratic Party	44%	45%	43%	43%	40%	47%	48%	36%	52%	50%	42%	40%	48%	38%	75%	53%	43%	51%	40%	47%	32%	65%	57%	54%	48%	33%	89%	7%	32%	93%	4%	41%	43%	100%	0%	39%	87%	3%	37%
The Republican Party	46%	46%	45%	46%	47%	47%	43%	54%	39%	38%	43%	51%	47%	54%	14%	33%	40%	38%	50%	44%	60%	24%	29%	33%	42%	58%	6%	86%	18%	5%	91%	39%	23%	0%	100%	42%	8%	91%	38%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	10%	9%	13%	11%	13%	7%	9%	11%	9%	12%	15%	10%	5%	8%	12%	13%	17%	10%	10%	8%	8%	12%	14%	13%	10%	9%	5%	7%	50%	3%	5%	20%	34%	0%	0%	19%	5%	5%	25%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

Would you be open to commenting on the issues in this survey and be interested in being contacted by a reporter?
	Registered Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Neighborhood Type			2024 Vote (Head to Head)			2024 Vote (Includes Third Parties)				Party ID			2020 Vote
	Registered Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural/ Small Town	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Biden	Trump	Kennedy	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	29%	29%	31%	30%	29%	30%	24%	34%	24%	26%	33%	31%	24%	29%	27%	23%	35%	36%	26%	35%	26%	37%	24%	32%	31%	24%	31%	29%	21%	32%	27%	33%	23%	29%	25%	31%	32%	27%	26%
No	71%	71%	69%	70%	71%	70%	76%	66%	76%	74%	67%	69%	76%	71%	73%	77%	65%	64%	74%	65%	74%	63%	76%	68%	69%	76%	69%	71%	79%	68%	73%	67%	77%	71%	75%	69%	68%	73%	74%
Number of respondents	3,380	513	470	520	508	836	533	1,755	1,588	585	756	1,075	859	2,424	366	280	225	1,565	1,799	1,186	1,231	329	535	784	1,496	1,100	1,524	1,561	295	1,254	1,298	329	499	1,035	920	1,150	1,471	1,220	540
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	49%	51%	16%	23%	31%	26%	69%	12%	10%	7%	34%	65%	25%	43%	9%	20%	24%	41%	35%	42%	48%	10%	34%	40%	10%	16%	29%	28%	34%	40%	37%	18%

Party ID is self-identified party, without leaners; independents include only self-identified independents. Party registration is the respondent’s party as listed on the voter file.

Gender is self-reported if the respondent completed the full questionnaire; otherwise, it is based on the interviewer’s determination. If neither is available, it is as reported on the voter file.

Neighborhood type is a New York Times classification based on each voter’s address. Voters within a metropolitan area’s central city are classified as living in a city. Voters living in a metropolitan area but outside the central city are considered suburban if they live in a census-designated urban area. All other voters — those living in nonmetropolitan areas and those living in non-urbanized parts of metropolitan areas outside the central city — are classified as living in small towns or rural areas.

Methodology

How These Polls Were Conducted

Here are the key things to know about this set of polls from The New York Times, The Philadelphia Inquirer and Siena College:

• We spoke with 4,097 registered voters from April 28 to May 9, 2024.

• Our polls are conducted by telephone, using live interviewers, in both English and Spanish. Nearly 95 percent of respondents were contacted on a cellphone for this poll.

• Voters are selected for the survey from a list of registered voters. The list contains information on the demographic characteristics of every registered voter, allowing us to make sure we reach the right number of voters of each party, race and region. For this set of polls, we placed nearly 500,000 calls to about 410,000 voters.

• To further ensure that the results reflect the entire voting population, not just those willing to take a poll, we give more weight to respondents from demographic groups underrepresented among survey respondents, like people without a college degree. You can see more information about the characteristics of our respondents and the weighted sample at the bottom of the page, under “Composition of the Sample.”

• When the states are joined together, the margin of sampling error among registered voters is plus or minus 1.8 percentage points. Each state poll has a margin of error ranging from plus or minus 3.6 points in Pennsylvania to plus or minus 4.6 points in Georgia. In theory, this means that the results should reflect the views of the overall population most of the time, though many other challenges create additional sources of error. When computing the difference between two values — such as a candidate’s lead in a race — the margin of error is twice as large.

If you want to read more about how and why we conduct our polls, you can see answers to frequently asked questions and submit your own questions here.

Methodology

The New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College poll in Pennsylvania and the Times/Siena polls in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan and Nevada were conducted in English and Spanish on cellular and landline telephones from April 28 to May 9, 2024. In all, 4,097 registered voters were interviewed. When all states are joined together, the margin of sampling error is plus or minus 1.8 percentage points for all registered voters and plus or minus 1.9 percentage points for the likely electorate.

The margin of sampling error for each state poll is plus or minus 3.6 percentage points in Pennsylvania, plus or minus 4.2 points in Arizona, plus or minus 4.5 points in Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin, and plus or minus 4.6 percentage points in Georgia.

The Pennsylvania poll was funded by a grant from the Lenfest Institute for Journalism. The poll, which was designed and conducted independently from the institute, includes a deep look at voters in the Philadelphia suburbs using a statistical technique called an oversample. The results are weighted so that in the end, the poll properly reflects the attributes of the entire state and is not biased toward those voters.

Sample

The survey is a response-rate-adjusted stratified sample of registered voters on the L2 voter file. The sample was selected by The New York Times in multiple steps to account for the oversample of the Philadelphia suburbs, differential telephone coverage, nonresponse and significant variation in the productivity of telephone numbers by state.

The L2 voter file for each state was stratified by statehouse district, party, race, gender, marital status, household size, turnout history, age and homeownership. The proportion of registrants with a telephone number and the mean expected response rate, based on prior Times/Siena polls, were calculated for each stratum. The initial selection weight was equal to the reciprocal of a stratum’s mean telephone coverage and modeled response rate. For respondents with multiple telephone numbers on the L2 file, the number with the highest modeled response rate was selected.

Fielding

The samples for each state were stratified by party, race and region and fielded by the Siena College Research Institute, with additional field work by ReconMR, the Public Opinion Research Lab at the University of North Florida, the Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College, and the Center for Public Opinion and Policy Research at Winthrop University in South Carolina. Interviewers asked for the person named on the voter file and ended the interview if the intended respondent was not available. Overall, 94 percent of respondents were reached on a cellular telephone.

The instrument was translated into Spanish by ReconMR, and Spanish-speaking interviewers were assigned to the modeled Hispanic sample. Bilingual interviewers began the interview in English and were instructed to follow the lead of the respondent in determining whether to conduct the survey in English or Spanish. Monolingual Spanish-speaking respondents who were initially contacted by English-speaking interviewers were recontacted by Spanish-speaking interviewers. Overall, 19 percent of interviews among self-reported Hispanics were conducted in Spanish, including 21 percent in Nevada and 17 percent in Arizona.

An interview was determined to be complete for the purposes of inclusion in the ballot test questions if the respondent did not drop out of the survey by the end of the two self-reported variables used in weighting — age and education — and answered at least one of the age, education, race or presidential election ballot test questions.

Weighting — registered voters

The survey was weighted by The Times using the R survey package in multiple steps.

First, the samples were adjusted for unequal probability of selection by stratum.

Second, the five state samples and the samples of the the Philadelphia suburbs and the rest of Pennsylvania were weighted separately to match voter-file-based parameters for the characteristics of registered voters by state.

The following targets were used:

• Party (party registration if available, else classification based on a model of vote choice in prior Times/Siena polls) by modeled L2 race (except Wisconsin)

• Age by gender (self-reported age, or voter file age if the respondent refuses)

• Race or ethnicity (L2 model)

• Education (four categories of self-reported education, weighted to match NYT-based targets derived from Times/Siena polls, census data and the L2 voter file)

• White/nonwhite by education (L2 model of race by self-reported education, weighted to match NYT-based targets derived from Times/Siena polls, census data and the L2 voter file)

• Marital status (L2 model)

• Homeownership (L2 model)

• State regions (NYT classifications by county or city)

• Turnout history (NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• Vote method in the 2020 elections (NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• History of voting in the 2020 presidential primary (Pennsylvania and Wisconsin only, NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• Census block group density (Arizona only, based on American Community Survey five-year census block-group data)

• Census tract educational attainment

In Pennsylvania, the samples from the Philadelphia suburbs and the rest of the state were combined and adjusted to account for the oversample of the Philadelphia suburbs.

Finally, the six state samples were balanced to each represent one-sixth of the sum of the weights.

The sample of respondents who completed all questions in the survey was weighted identically, as well as to the result for the general election horse race question (including leaners) on the full sample.

Weighting — likely electorate

The survey was weighted by The Times using the R survey package in multiple steps.

First, the samples were adjusted for unequal probability of selection by stratum.

Second, the first-stage weight was adjusted to account for the probability that a registrant would vote in the 2024 election, based on a model of turnout in the 2020 election.

Third, the five state samples and the samples of the Philadelphia suburbs and the rest of Pennsylvania were weighted separately to match targets for the composition of the likely electorate. The targets for the composition of the likely electorate were derived by aggregating the individual-level turnout estimates described in the previous step for registrants on the L2 voter file. The categories used in weighting were the same as those previously mentioned for registered voters.

In Pennsylvania, the samples from the Philadelphia suburbs and the rest of the state were combined and adjusted to account for the oversample of the Philadelphia suburbs.

Fourth, the initial likely electorate weight was adjusted to incorporate self-reported vote intention. The final probability that a registrant would vote in the 2024 election was four-fifths based on their ex ante modeled turnout score and one-fifth based on their self-reported intention, based on prior Times/Siena polls, including a penalty to account for the tendency of survey respondents to turn out at higher rates than nonrespondents. The final likely electorate weight was equal to the modeled electorate rake weight, multiplied by the final turnout probability and divided by the ex ante modeled turnout probability.

Finally, the six state samples were balanced to each represent one-sixth of the sum of the weights.

The margin of error accounts for the survey’s design effect, a measure of the loss of statistical power due to survey design and weighting. The design effect for the full sample is 1.33 for registered voters and 1.5 for the likely electorate. The design effect for the sample of completed interviews is 1.38 for registered voters and 1.53 for the likely electorate.

Historically, The Times/Siena Poll’s error at the 95th percentile has been plus or minus 5.1 percentage points in surveys taken over the final three weeks before an election. Real-world error includes sources of error beyond sampling error, such as nonresponse bias, coverage error, late shifts among undecided voters and error in estimating the composition of the electorate.

Composition of the Sample

Group	Unweighted All R.V.s	Weighted All R.V.s	Weighted Likely Electorate	N
Gender
Men	51%	48%	48%	2103
Women	48	51	51	1957
Age
18 to 29	18%	16%	13%	726
30 to 44	23	23	21	926
45 to 64	31	31	33	1254
65 and older	25	25	28	1032
Education
High school	20%	32%	29%	829
Some college	36	32	32	1455
College	24	21	23	973
Post-graduate	20	13	15	811
Home Ownership (L2 Model)
Likely renter	25%	25%	21%	1014
Likely homeowner	44	45	51	1796
Unknown	31	29	28	1287
Marital Status (L2 Model)
Married	31%	32%	38%	1282
Nontraditional	9	8	9	370
Unknown	60	60	54	2445
Party (Self-Reported)
Democrat	30%	28%	29%	1211
Republican	27	27	30	1104
Independent	33	33	31	1345
Party (Based on L2 Data)
Democrat	34%	32%	35%	1377
Republican	32	31	36	1295
Other	35	37	29	1425
Race (L2 Model)
White	67%	64%	67%	2732
Hispanic	9	10	9	376
Black	10	10	8	391
Asian	2	2	2	74
Other	3	4	4	141
Race (L2 Model)
White	67%	64%	67%	2732
Nonwhite	24	26	23	988
Turnout History (Based on L2 Data)
Voted in last midterm and in a primary	49%	46%	56%	1995
Voted in last two midterms	21	22	24	852
Voted in last general, no midterm	10	11	9	400
Did not vote in last general or midterm	10	12	5	427
New registrant	10	9	6	423

Composition of the Sample

Our Coverage of the 2024 Election