skip to main content
10.1145/3503047.3503050acmotherconferencesArticle/Chapter ViewAbstractPublication PagesaissConference Proceedingsconference-collections
research-article

Comparison of the proportional hazard model and the accelerated failure model in the mixed cure model

Published: 19 January 2022 Publication History

Abstract

Traditional survival analysis models such as the Cox model and the accelerated failure time model (AFT) assume that all individuals will eventually experience specified endpoint events, such as recurrence or death. However, in recent years, with the Advancement of science and technology and the improvement of medical standards, in many clinical trials, there are some individuals who will not experience terminal events after treatment, that is, they will not relapse or die. The researchers believe that these individuals have been cured and call them long-term survivors. In this case, using the traditional Cox model and the AFT model will cause large errors and affect the judgment. Therefore, we consider applying a mixed healing model to the data. In the previous period, we have compared the model of proportional risk function and proportional risk mixed healing model and accelerated failure function model with accelerated failure mixed healing model. In this paper, we want to compare the predicted effects of the PHMC model and the AFTMC model. Methods: We use Monte Carlo simulations to generate data that satisfy and do not satisfy proportional assumptions. Using the consistency probability, the average square error of regression coefficient and 95% confidence interval to cover the original parameter as the evaluation index, the discriminant precision and fitting effect of the same data are compared. Result: For the survival data based on the assumption of proportional risk, the fitting effect of PHMC model is more accurate than that of AFTMC model. For the survival data based on the assumption that the proportional risk is not satisfied, the fitting effect of AFTMC model is better than that of PHMC model. Conclusion: The PHMC model is recommended for survival data based on the assumption of proportional risk assumptions. The AFTMC model is recommended for survival data based on the assumption that the proportional risk is not met.

References

[1]
Supported by Beijing Natural Science Foundation(No.Z210003)
[2]
Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC12026607)
[3]
Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC12031016)
[4]
Supported by Key R&D Program of the Scientific Research Department(2020YFA0712203)
[5]
Supported by Key R&D Program of the Scientific Research Department(2020YFA0712201)
[6]
REFERENCES
[7]
Kazuo Yamaguchi. Accelerated Failure-Time Regression Models with a Regression Model of Surviving Fraction: An Application to the Analysis of âPermanent Employmentâ in Japan[J]. Publications of the American Statistical Association, 1992, 87(418):284-292.
[8]
Othus M, Barlogie B, Leblanc M L, Cure Models as a Useful Statistical Tool for Analyzing Survival[J]. Clinical Cancer Research, 2012, 18(14):3731-3736.
[9]
Boag J W. Maximum Likelihood Estimates of the Proportion of Patients Cured by Cancer Therapy[J]. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 1949, 11(1):15-53.
[10]
Farewell V T. The Use of Mixture Models for the Analysis of Survival Data with Long-Term Survivors[J]. Biometrics, 1982, 38(4):1041-6.
[11]
Sy J, Taylor J. Estimation in a Cox proportional hazards cure model.[J]. Biometrics, 2000, 56(1):227-36.
[12]
Li C, Taylor J M G. A semi-parametric accelerated failure time cure model.[J]. Statistics in Medicine, 2002, 21(21):3235.
[13]
Xu L, Zhang J. Multiple imputation method for the semiparametric accelerated failure time mixture cure model[M]. Elsevier Science Publishers B. V. 2010.
[14]
Cai C, Zou Y, Peng Y, smcure: An R-package for Estimating Semiparametric Mixture Cure Models[J]. Computer Methods & Programs in Biomedicine, 2012, 108(3):1255-1260.
[15]
Klein J P, Moeschberger M L. Survival Analysis: Techniques for Censored and Truncated Data, Second Edition[J]. 2003.
[16]
Gonen M, Heller G. Concordance probability and discriminatory power in proportional hazards regression[J]. Biometrika, 2005,(4):965-970.
[17]
Zhang Y, Shao Y. Concordance measure and discriminatory accuracy in transformation cure models.[J]. Biostatistics, 2017.
[18]
Mood A M. Introduction to the theory of statistics.[J]. Technometrics, 1951, 7(3):456-456.

Index Terms

  1. Comparison of the proportional hazard model and the accelerated failure model in the mixed cure model
            Index terms have been assigned to the content through auto-classification.

            Recommendations

            Comments

            Information & Contributors

            Information

            Published In

            cover image ACM Other conferences
            AISS '21: Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Advanced Information Science and System
            November 2021
            526 pages
            ISBN:9781450385862
            DOI:10.1145/3503047
            Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

            Publisher

            Association for Computing Machinery

            New York, NY, United States

            Publication History

            Published: 19 January 2022

            Permissions

            Request permissions for this article.

            Check for updates

            Author Tags

            1. Accelerated failure time model
            2. Mixture cure model
            3. Survival analysis
            4. proportional risk model

            Qualifiers

            • Research-article
            • Research
            • Refereed limited

            Conference

            AISS 2021

            Acceptance Rates

            Overall Acceptance Rate 41 of 95 submissions, 43%

            Contributors

            Other Metrics

            Bibliometrics & Citations

            Bibliometrics

            Article Metrics

            • 0
              Total Citations
            • 38
              Total Downloads
            • Downloads (Last 12 months)4
            • Downloads (Last 6 weeks)2
            Reflects downloads up to 09 Jan 2025

            Other Metrics

            Citations

            View Options

            Login options

            View options

            PDF

            View or Download as a PDF file.

            PDF

            eReader

            View online with eReader.

            eReader

            HTML Format

            View this article in HTML Format.

            HTML Format

            Media

            Figures

            Other

            Tables

            Share

            Share

            Share this Publication link

            Share on social media