Dr. Ari Zelmanow’s Post

The Illusion of Information Adequacy: Why We Might Be More Wrong Than We Think Have you ever found yourself in a disagreement, completely certain that you're right? A recent study might explain why you could be mistaken. Researchers uncovered what they call the “illusion of information adequacy.” This happens when we believe we have enough information to make a decision, but in reality, we don’t. Even with only partial data, we tend to feel confident in our choices. The study revealed that when people were presented with only half the information on a topic, they were more confident in their decision than those who had the full story. It’s a striking reminder that what we don’t know can lead us to false certainty. So next time you’re convinced you’re right in a disagreement, ask yourself: *Could there be more to the story?* Understanding this illusion can help us make better, more informed decisions and improve how we navigate conflicts. 👉 Read more insightful topics on(https://brightmindai.com) to boost your understanding.

𝗣𝗿𝗼-𝘁𝗶𝗽 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗰𝗵𝗲𝗿𝘀 that I learned from my time as a paramedic 🚑 Don’t treat the number, treat the patient. A heart rate of 40 in some circumstances could mean death ☠️ In others, it could be a sign of life. 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗺𝗲𝗮𝗻𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗰𝗵𝗲𝗿𝘀: Don't over-rely on quant data (the number). Instead, understand the context and why (the patient). The picture comes into focus when you have the what and the why... Not just the what. ~fin~ ===== 👋 I'm Ari... I write a short email to 717+ people every Saturday on how to leverage Customer Forensics™ to make better growth bets by: 🔎 Collecting and interrogating evidence like a detective 🎤 Reporting insights like a primetime news anchor ⚖️ Building business cases like a trial attorney Want me to send it to you? Link in the comments below 👇

Get in for Analysis Paralysis Disrupter, and break through it. Not to ignore logical concerns, but to call in your deepest self trust.

Why has research become impotent? Here's one reason 👇 I have come to realize that research teams are focused less on adding value... And more on providing validation. Rather than being asked to test hypotheses... They are being asked to defend them. They have become the defenders of cherry-picked data that supports a narrative... Rather than the interrogators of data, helping to inform a narrative. So I ask... What the hell are we doing here? ~fin~ ===== 👋 I'm Ari... I write a short email to 700+ people every Saturday on how to leverage Customer Forensics™ to make better growth bets by: 🔎 Collecting and interrogating evidence like a detective 🎤 Reporting insights like a primetime news anchor ⚖️ Building business cases like a trial attorney Want me to send it to you? Link in the comments below 👇

This is a great follow-up to Part I! Confounding and extraneous variables can really complicate analysis if not properly addressed. Thanks for breaking down these additional types, it definitely helps with clarity. Looking forward to applying these concepts!

Post-Publication Research Verification https://lnkd.in/eeVWw75z Tired of reading that cannot be verified post-publication? The so-called "good until published" work of so many "big name" researchers. This research is not perfect, no one's is, but it is highly statistically significant, Afterall, we seek to move the earnings forecasting research to a younger audience that may not be as familiar with the names of Elton, Gruber, L.D. Brown, Brealey, and Malkiel as they should be. We are lucky if young Quants have read Markowitz, Portfolio Selection (1959), Sharpe Portfolio Theory and Capital Markets (1970), and Latane, Tuttle, and Jones, Security Analysis and Portfolio Management (1975).

Have you been in the Predictive Index world for a while? Let's take a trip down memory lane. Before we had the Reference Profiles you all know and love today, we had "Reference Patterns." The shift happened in 2017 to adjust some names that were too long for casual conversations or not representative enough of the profiles. One of the more significant changes was renaming the "Scientific Professional" to the "Strategist," reflecting a strategic, conceptual thinker rather than someone rooted in scientific pursuits. Knowing Strategists, one could argue they would have advocated for a snappier name from the get-go. But luckily, we caught up to their strategic way of thinking. 😉 For those who have been around for a while, what "Reference Patterns" do you recall? New to PI? Learn your Reference Profile here: https://bit.ly/3UTGlF8

My research topic is variable association. So I tried to explain this in the following blog post and also tried to explain it's real world applications.

In this episode of The Human Side of Money with Brendan Frazier, Emily Koochel, PhD, AFC®,CFT-I™, Manager of Financial Wellness & Education at eMoney, shared her expertise on combining psychology and technology to improve client outcomes. 👇🏽 Listen to the podcast here. #eMoneyAdvisor #financialplanning #financialpsychology #technology

Have you ever wondered how Brand Country of Origin as a strategic analytical tool can extract revenue-generating insights? I am pleased to share our recent paper published in the Journal of International Marketing. Along with Dr. Martin Heinberg, Dr. Sourindra Banerjee and Professor Constantine S. Katsikeas, I explored how Distinctive Choice of Brand Country of Origin (DBCOO) and Country of Origin Diversity (COO diversity) can be used as analytical tools to extract insights from consumer purchase history. Building on Signaling theory, we theorize and empirically test that DBCOO and COO diversity in a consumer’s purchase history can signal and help predict Consumer Purchase Value (CPV), thereby identifying high-value consumers for firms. Moreover, we explore high-involvement product categories and purchase frequency as boundary conditions to develop a comprehensive framework of COO signals as strategic analytical tools. I am grateful to all my Co-Authors, the Editor in Chief, the Assistant Editor and All the Reviewers for their utmost support, guidance and cooperation throughout the process. #countryoforigin #marketingstrategy #analyticaltool #signalingtheory #consumerpurchasevalue