The Washington Times’ Post

📊 Breaking: Latest Financial Times/University of Michigan Ross School of Business Poll Reveals Shifting Economic Sentiment Key insights from this comprehensive voter survey: First-time lead: Donald Trump (44%) edges out Kamala Harris (43%) on economic trust Middle-class representation: Harris leads at 49% vs 37% Financial well-being indicators show stark contrast: 45% believe they'd be better off under Trump administration (+5 points from previous month) Critical voter concerns: Over 3/4 of respondents highlight rising prices as primary financial stressor What's particularly fascinating is how economic perception continues to dominate voter priorities despite strong GDP growth and low unemployment rates. With swing states showing unprecedented tight margins, these economic sentiment metrics could prove decisive on November 5th. #EconomicPolicy #PoliticalPolling #VoterSentiment #Election2024 #DataAnalytics #MarketTrends #EconomicIndicators

The #Countdown to Election Day is on! Owners and senior leaders of the approximately 33 million small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) across every U.S. state have unique perspectives on politics because, in many cases, their work lives are heavily intertwined with their personal lives. They tend to be independent-minded and pragmatic and are close to the “ground-level truth” of the economy. Because SMB owners and senior leaders tend to vote based on a special combination of what they believe will be best for themselves, family, friends, and community, as well as their businesses and customers, we wished to understand their unique perspective on recent election-related events. To take their pulse, the Data Catalyst Institute (DCI) conducted a three-day survey of our exclusive panel of senior decision-makers at U.S. small and medium-sized businesses. This report from THE PULSE contains quantitative and qualitative information about which presidential candidates SMB owners plan to support and what issues they care about. Read it here.

Key data from the latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey: 1. Trump +2 Nationally, Trump +1 in Battleground states 2. Congressional Preference GOP +4 3. Better off financially: 42% if Trump elected – 24% if Harris elected 4. Better to bring positive change to the country: 40% Trump – 42% Harris 5. Price of goods and services: 45% continuing to rise faster than usual, 32% Rising at slower pace, 16% have leveled off, 6% starting to go down. https://lnkd.in/ehsF7HaN

My thoughts are that the next two weeks will focus heavily on the US jobs report and the Fed’s decision on interest rates. With election season here, even these usually dry updates could force Kamala Harris & Donald Trump to tweak their messaging on what voters care about most: the economy! Stay tuned!

The Way We Were: Romancing the Trump Throne. Stephen Collinson CNN: "Biden is up against nostalgia for Trump’s first term. Memories of Trump’s Oval Office chaos are fading." CNN: https://lnkd.in/ejgAhsT2 "Inflation is lower than its peak but still higher than when Trump was in office. And with voters weary of high prices, it’s one of the former president’s most fruitful lines of attack. Biden’s approval rating on the economy is 34% in the CNN poll — and on inflation, it’s even worse at 29%. And voters say economic concerns are more important to their choice in this election than they were in the previous two." MARTY: Biden fading to black... #biden #trump #inflation #economy #trumptrial

The polls have tightened considerably since Kamala Harris replaced Joe Biden on the Democratic ticket, with Donald Trump no longer favored to win the US election. But there's a long time until November and anything can happen. Amid widespread speculation about the impact that Trump's return would have on the US economy, these are five of the key takeaways from our new guide to Trumponomics. It includes in-depth analysis and forecasts to separate the reality from the campaign rhetoric and highlight the implications for US growth, inflation, and policy rates. Read the full report: https://lnkd.in/eNRbknnS #uselection #useconomy #trumponomics

The 40% of the population in 2621 counties always lowest in health care workforce obviously have never had political clout. They had about 40 - 41% of the uninsured and the unemployed for no real difference. The problem has been weaker employers, plans, and workforce by design. Employer based health insurance does not work for them. Public plans fail also. When you have half enough primary care, mental health, women's health, and basic surgical and even lower levels of geriatrics, you need payments 110 to 120% Medicare, not below 100%

📈 Kamala Harris' Odds Surge in Prediction Markets for Presidential Nomination In a striking turnaround, recent data from prediction markets indicates a substantial upswing in Kamala Harris' chances for a presidential nomination. Here's what's happening: 💡 **Main Insight**: Across various prediction platforms, Kamala Harris has observed a sharp increase in her nomination odds, reflecting a growing confidence among bettors about her potential candidacy. 📊 **Statistical Spike**: Just last month, Harris' odds stood significantly lower, cementing this rise as a remarkable shift in public and predictor sentiment. ### What's Driving the Change? - **Political Shifts**: Recent developments in party dynamics and Harris' active engagement in key issues may be influencing perceptions. - **Public Opinion**: As the election draws nearer, shifts in public opinion based on policy and debate performances could be swaying the odds. ### Engage With Us! 🤔 What do you think has most influenced the change in odds for Harris? Have you used prediction markets before? Share your insights or experiences below! 👀 Keep an eye on this political barometer as we approach more critical junctures leading up to the election. #KamalaHarris #Election2024 #PredictionMarkets #PoliticalAnalysis #DataDrivenPolitics Read More: