The Risk Advisory Group’s Post

🇿🇦 The 2024 South African elections have delivered a political earthquake. With no clear majority, South Africa now enters uncharted waters of coalition and power-sharing negotiations. Parties have a 14-day window to forge agreements before the new Parliament's swearing-in.  This raises concerns about policy challenges ahead amid increased fragmentation. The future trajectory of policy and governance hinges on the deftness of these negotiations. The road ahead will test South Africa's resilience amid demands for recounts and allegations of irregularities, and flexibility and foresight will be vital virtues as the country’s democracy recalibrates. 🔗 Stay tuned as we keep our eye on the evolving political situation in South Africa. 💡 Our team specialises in helping leaders to proactively anticipate and mitigate risks in Africa, offering invaluable insights into how geopolitics, policy, business, society, and media shape their operating environment. Get in touch at [email protected] #SAElections #AfricaPracticeInsights #SAelectionswatch Cc Kimera Yoko Chetty

South Africa's political landscape has shifted as a coalition government has formed following the ANC losing its majority for the first time in 30 years. This change presents new risks for organizational resilience, such as economic uncertainty, potential civil unrest, and supply chain disruptions. https://buff.ly/3VnAVRa #SouthAfrica #SAElections #OrganizationalResilience

OPINION: Collaborative governance - time to reset and reimagine the country of our dreams Now that the historic elections are over many South Africans are grappling with questions such as what can South Africans expect in the coming days? Is a national coalition government on the cards? If so, who will the ANC govern with and is this the best option for them and the country? If not, who would be the best coalition partners to take South Africa forward? What should parties focus on to take the country forward? How likely is this coalition government to succeed or will they go the same route as the local government coalitions? Is a national coalition government here to stay or will the ANC or another party get an outright majority in 2029? writes Dr Harlan Cloete, research fellow in the UFS Department of Public Administration and Management. Read more: https://ufsweb.co/45q6Wg7 #CoalitionGovernment #GNU #GovernmentOfNationalUnity

🇸🇳 Senegal is on the brink of its presidential election, slated for this Sunday 24 March, amidst a backdrop of controversies that have challenged its democratic reputation. Despite historically peaceful transitions, President Macky Sall's ambiguous stance on a third term, the arrest of political opponents, and the postponement of February's election have raised concerns. However, Senegal's institutions have affirmed the new election date, showcasing accountability. Africa Practice Associate Director, Helina Ayele Tirfie speaks about the nuances of Senegal's national dialogue and subsequent electoral developments, highlighting a delicate balance between stability and change. 💬 What positive steps do you think Senegal can take to strengthen its democracy and ensure a fair and transparent election process? Share your thoughts below and join the conversation! Cc Andy Demetriou, Massaer Cisse, Njoya Tikum, Mady Camara, Moubarack LO, Ousmane Cisse, Ph.D, Nic Cheeseman, Susan Thomas Russell #SenegalElection #SenegalDemocracy #StabilityandChange #Accountability #AfricanPolitics #DemocraticProcess #PoliticalDialogue #ElectionIntegrity #Senegal2024 #AfricaPracticeInsights

🌍 South Africa's political arena is buzzing with anticipation as the country prepares for its most critical election since the historic vote in 1994. The emergence of new parties and coalitions signals a seismic shift in the nation's politics. Explore the analysis by William Gumede on The Africa Report to uncover the potential outcomes, challenges, and implications for South Africa's future governance and economic policies. https://buff.ly/49cXPAG #ElectionInsights SouthAfricaElections2024 #PoliticalShift

Will South Africa's ANC drop below 50% in the May elections? The party seems set to lose its parliamentary majority for the first time since the fall of apartheid 30 years ago. The ramifications for business, investors and allies could be significant. Join Clementine Wallop, Director, Sub-Saharan Africa and Mike Davies, Senior Advisor for South Africa for a webinar on the impact of the elections for foreign investors. #SouthAfrica #Elections #Geopolitics #Africa

📬APSS Press Release: Jan 04, 2024 The year 2024 will be the Year of Elections around the world.* No less than 50 countries will hold ballot contests. *In Africa, 15 countries*, from Senegal in February to South Africa in December, will hold elections that will determine the destinies of 300 million people. We in the Africa Private Sector Summit (APSS) urge all African leaders and aspiring leaders to make democracy a true opportunity for prosperity for the continent’s 1.3 billion people. This is why we are advocating the adoption of a Charter on Private Sector Bill of Rights (PSBoR) that facilitates the emergence of an enabling environment for trade and investment in Africa. https://lnkd.in/epqjQNue

South Africa is alive with possibility! Politicians are meeting this week to try and find a path forward for the country. There are many coalition scenarios that could play out. I wrote this explainer to help understand what the options are: https://lnkd.in/g-MWjTHN

Which coalition government would make the most sense for South Africa? Can we expect any shifts in fiscal policy? Could a coalition administration pose any risks to domestic policies? As their guest economist, I'll discuss this in-depth with Radio Khwezi today at 4 p.m. #2024GeneralElections #CoalitionGovernment #EconomicPolicy

🌟 Excited to share insights on South Africa's political landscape ahead of the upcoming elections! Here are the key takeaways: 1️⃣ ANC's dominance faces challenges: Despite being in power since 1994, the ruling African National Congress (ANC) is set to experience a decline in support, signalling potential shifts in the political arena. 2️⃣ Coalition governments on the rise: With the ANC's influence waning and opposition parties unable to seize a significant foothold, coalition governments are expected to become more prevalent, potentially impacting governance and service delivery. 3️⃣ Persistent challenges loom: South Africa grapples with enduring issues such as electricity shortages and corruption within State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs), posing hurdles to sustained progress. 4️⃣ Private sector resilience shines: Amidst political uncertainty, the private sector demonstrates resilience, with collaborative efforts offering pathways to mitigate operational disruptions and foster growth. 🚀 As South Africa navigates this transformative period, it's crucial for stakeholders to stay informed and adaptable. Let's continue driving positive change together! #SouthAfrica #Elections #PoliticalRisk #BusinessResilience 🌍💼