Breaking my LinkedIn hiatus to post about the Lowy Institute's Launch of the 2024 Asia Power Index which I had the privilege to join yesterday.
One thing to note is how unique (and to a point, refreshing) it is to hear expert perspectives on the Philippines and the greater ASEAN region from an outside lens.
One interesting theme constantly repeated throughout the forum was how the index results show an enduring US-China bipolarity. This, the speakers believe, is more preferable to an unpredictable multipolar region, with the Middle East as one example, albeit with caution.
I have two minds on this point: on one hand, the analysis is sound, with the most compelling proof being a region that has not succumbed to an all-out war considering the number of territorial disputes China has with other SEA members. On the other hand, it humbly grounds claims of other middle-power countries vying for a share of influence in the region.
Other intriguing insights that my circle here on LinkedIn might find in handy are:
1) the creation of a NATO-like organisation might be something that the ASEAN states might should consider (although I believe the ADMM should have been this instrument)
2) the pursuit of India as a pole in itself, quite remarkably distanced from the US and China and how it shows in the Power Index
3) Indonesia as a rising regional power that warrants attention, though for now we don't know how exactly
You can find the index here: https://lnkd.in/g8dm5mqJ