We can thank the Sahara for dampening the hyperactive storm season temporarily. From ABC's 16 WAPT, "The main reason behind the quiet tropics in the Atlantic Basin is a thick plume of Saharan dust. Dry air like Saharan dust makes it very difficult for a tropical system to form and intensify." The Saharan Dust will impede storm formation in the Atlantic Basin for 7 to 10 days, but the peak of this year's nascent storm season is expected mid-September. Access the article here: https://bit.ly/4faCCLc
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In recent years, Medicanes (short for “Mediterranean hurricanes”) have affected the Mediterranean basin causing several damages and even some casualties. In our latest study, recently published in Nature – Scientific Reports (https://lnkd.in/dpcN_CKW), we have detected a drop in sea surface temperatures (SSTs) occurred before the formation of each Mediterranean hurricane from 1969 to 2023. This characteristic has not been observed in intense extra-tropical systems, and it may provide not only a useful fingerprint for distinguishing Medicanes from common seasonal storms, but also an important indication for the early warning of potential Mediterranean hurricanes. Stay tuned. Mario Marcello Miglietta, Alok Kushabaha, Gaetano Sabato, Elisa Casella, Giovanni Besio #Mediterraneanhurricanes, #medicanes, #seasurfacetemperature, #earlywarning https://lnkd.in/dpcN_CKW
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Nothing to worry about but something to be aware of happening in the tropics: A well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, Puerto Rico, the Bahamas and the southwestern Atlantic and northeastern Caribbean. A tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week over the eastern Gulf of Mexico near Florida, according to the NOAA: National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration's National Hurricane Center. Know more now by following weather reports on WINK NEWS.
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I feel very fortunate to have colleagues and experts in our organization like you Nikos Mazarakis . Thank you very much for sharing this very informative and experience-based article. Technology certainly doesn't make sense without such expertise. Feeding our modern tools with such good knowledge and experience, and making them available to our customers, sets us apart in a unique way. Our on board route optimization tool "s-Planner" is the only on board application in the shipping market that graphically displays the danger area around a tropical cyclone based on official meteorological advisories. Pls have a look at the attached article via the link below if you are interested in how we combine our expertise with the technology! #shipping #weatherrouting #routing #weather
Prof. of Marine Meteorology / Sales / Shipping / Optimization / Decarbonization / Digitization / Charter Parties Consultant
Due to the unusually warm ocean waters this year, the hurricane season has been notably more intense. I have written an article for mariners that delves into the nature of tropical cyclones and provides guidance on how to avoid them. https://lnkd.in/gXsvj_ur #shipping #weather #hurricanes
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It may feel like a "slow" start to the North America hurricane season (the first named storm typically forms in mid to late June), but we've got upcoming Tropical Storm Alberto followed by another tropical system forming in the same location, and AG2 Trader customers can read all about it in our Trader Blog. As meteorologist Edward Vallee says, "The exact path, while a good starting point, can be misleading as it pertains to tropical system impacts. At Atmospheric G2, our meteorologists provide valuable insights beyond the cookie cutter discussions found throughout the meteorological world today - details and context matter!" If forecast details and context matter in your business, reach out to us today: https://lnkd.in/eWtkvWrc Our meteorologists can be your meteorologists. #AG2trader #energy #energytrading #weather #forecast #commoditytrading #weatherforecasting #weatherdata #weatherforecasts #europe #northamerica #hurricane #hurricaneseason
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Meteorologist. 21 years of experience, weather forecast, severe weather, hurricanes expert. Weather Anchor. Astronomy.
Look where Nigel is and even in the tropical phase at 41 degrees north over cold waters, what produces a tropical hurricane at that latitude? Well, a contribution of heat is the balance of the atmosphere in action, bringing heat from the tropics to near the poles, if this balance did not exist the poles would be even colder. By the way, the North Pole melts faster because it receives more heat than the South Pole, which is further away from the continents and receives much less heat from the tropics. Almost no hurricanes arrive near the South Pole.
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A paper, published in Atmosphere MDPI, explores the link between warm oceans and typhoon intensification. The research, mentioned in Forbes, emphasises how warmer waters can fuel tropical cyclones, possibly contributing to Idalia's rapid intensification and severe impact on Florida, USA. The study details how warm ocean features, like eddies, can amplify heat transfer from the ocean surface and moisture convergence in the storm's core, leading to stronger updrafts and increased intensity. Read more about this research: https://brnw.ch/21wChER or view the news story: https://brnw.ch/21wChEQ #TropicalCyclone #Hurricane #OpenAccess
Here’s How Rapid Intensification May Have Made Hurricane Idalia More Dangerous
forbes.com
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It won’t come as any surprise when April is declared the 11th hottest month in a row at ~1.62 above pre-industrial, yielding a last-12-month figure of +1.6. Continued breaking of Sea Surface Temperature records are cause for even more concern though. El Nino is waning. As the inset shows it was very much weaker than the 2015-16 event and is forecast to enter the neutral phase in the next few months (the orange line is to the end of March). It looks like global Sea Surface Temperature didn’t get the memo though. Until now, the trend has been very close to the 2015-16 trend, just hotter. In the last month however, when a drop is expected as El Nino cools, the global anomaly has remained stubbornly high, even climbing again above 5 sigma. Surely a drop is expected in the next few months, but with the anomaly mainly coming from northern ocean basins, now heading towards summer, maybe not. May and June will be interesting, especially as hurricane season approaches. #oceans #SST #elnino #climatechange #hurricane #globalwarming
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The Colorado State University Tropical Meteorology Project predicts the 2024 hurricane season will produce 23 named storms, including 11 hurricanes, five of which are category three or greater. Don’t be caught without a plan in place. Explore our preparedness services at bit.ly/ACT-Preparedness.
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CLIMATE CHANGE FACETS: BEWARE OF THIS UPCOMING HURRICANE SEASON. In addition to the important CELESTE's post below see more details in NOAA's recent worrisome publication: https://lnkd.in/djKXmU37 With our up-trending #climatecrisis some adepts are already suggesting that we will need to segment the current Hurricane Scale into higher Categories to the current 5 levels to more precisely measure the #NewNormal A hypothetical Category 7 hurricane would tally winds between 215 and 245 mph (346 - 394 kph). How devastating would be that? #climatechange #globalwarming #hurricane #hurricaneseason #noaa
🌀 🌀 We are expecting a a very, very active Atlantic #hurricane season this yea, fuelled by high #ocean heat content and the anticipated development of La Niña. NOAA: National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration forecasts 8 to 13 hurricanes (average is 7), including 4 to 7 major hurricanes (average is 3) of at least category 3 strength. Unfortunately, it takes just one landfalling hurricane to set back years of socio-economic development. For example Hurricane Maria in 2017 cost #Dominica 800% of its GDP. Early warnings by the World Meteorological Organization community and improved #disaster risk management have dramatically reduced fatalities, but small island states in the Caribbean still bear a disproportionately high economic and human toll. Therefore, at next week's international conference on Small Island Developing States #SIDS in Antigua and Barbuda 🇦🇬 , WMO will press the case for more coordinated and targeted investment in #EarlyWarningsForAll. 📷 #NOAA #GOES-16 satellite image of Hurricane #Idalia and #Franklin Aug. 2023. ➡ https://bit.ly/3KiFJlX
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🌀 Is an above average Atlantic hurricane season brewing for 2024? 🌀 The latest analysis examines several key factors that could line up for an active tropics season this year, including abnormally warm sea surface temperatures across the main development region, higher moisture content indicated by precipitation anomaly forecasts, and the likelihood of a moderate to strong La Niña event. What are the implications on your fleet operations throughout this season? Read the full analysis from our meteorology team, FleetWeather. https://lnkd.in/epFZuA94 Stay ahead of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season with FleetWeather's marine forecasting and optimum ship routing solutions, available alongside fleet monitoring, regulatory compliance, performance analytics and voyage optimisation on the Podium5 Voyage Informatics Platform. www.podium5.com https://lnkd.in/ewxf2gD3 #hurricaneseason2024 #atlantichurricanes #tropicalweather #shipping #marinetransport #voyageoptimization #fleetoperations #shipsandshipping #fleetweather #podium5 #polestarglobal
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