ROTH Chief Economist and Macro Strategist Michael Darda joined Bloomberg Surveillance to discuss why the rising unemployment rate should be setting off an “alarm bell” for the Fed. https://lnkd.in/eMDUCjJc
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THE FORCES PUSHING THE FED TO CUT RATES SOON -How small increases in unemployment could hit a tipping point -Has the Federal Reserve held rates too high for too long? -The opportunities a weakening economy creates . . . #nycrealestate #newyork #newyorkcity #manhattanrealestate #multifamily #newyorkrealestate #nycbuildingadvisors #realestatebrokernyc #stewartgroup #marcusmillichap #commercialrealestate #research
THE FORCES PUSHING THE FED TO CUT RATES SOON
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Not finding the multi-family properties you desire with a solid return? Reach out to me at 410-498-5408.
Sharing some good news! 🌟 Did you know that a rise in unemployment can lead to lower interest rates? 📉 As inflation drops, the Federal Reserve might lower rates, making it a great time for deals! Stay tuned for more updates! #realestate #realestateupdate #realestatenews #realestateinvesting #marketupdate #interestrates #unemployment #update #news #updatenews
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The latest HaMMR has dropped: "Anxiously Awaiting Confidence.” • Key Takeaway: Disinflation picked up steam in May with multiple signs pointing to further cooling of price pressures ahead. • Macro Implications: Fed’s staunch dependency on lagging data raises risk they will be too late to cut (again) as drags on economy continue to build. • Housing Implications: An overly data-dependent Fed has the potential to keep rate volatility elevated, stalling a recovery in home sales. Check it out for more detail 👇
How high must unemployment rise before the Fed finds its confidence? Learn more from Parker Ross and Leonidas Mourelatos in HaMMR Digest. https://bit.ly/4036elV
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Concerns shift back to growth.... A target rate adjustment (lower) to the US federal funds rate appears certain in Sept as the FED "talking heads" offer some rare evidence of unanimity. The focus is shifting to the labor market as the unemployment rate ticks higher. The key question here is whether the unemployment rate is just normalizing or is this the start of a more serious contraction. For what its worth, I think its the former. #irishbusiness
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As a disclaimer, this is one person’s opinion, however the unemployment rate plays a large role in the Fed’s monetary policy and decision making. The lower the unemployment rate is, the longer rates will remain higher, but not that the unemployment rate is on the rise and hit 5%, many economists feel the same and expect aggressive rate cuts in 2024. Is this really going to happen? Let me know your thoughts in the comments. #fed #ratecuts #mortgagerates #rates #interestrates #monetarypolicy
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Bonds like bad news and got it.... Unemployment rate 4.1% (expectations 4.0%) 206 headline number included 70K gov, 88K healthcare, -17K financial services 111,000 less jobs created with backward revisions Is this "unexpected weakness" or just weakness for the Fed? The backward downward revisions highlight the softening trend in labor Tabrasa #jobsreport #mortgageadvisor #interestrates #financialliteracy
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VP - Americas Consulting at ICIS | Shaping the world by connecting markets to optimize global resources.
The higher U-3 Unemployment figures the government reports is not the total figure. There is a U-6 measurement that is more comprehensive and notably higher, and even that may not be all inclusive. That said, they are all still good at this time which helps keep our economy strong. The Federal Reserve flagged on Wednesday the threat of rising unemployment, opening the prospect of the first rate cut since it started its campaign to get inflation back to its 2% target. https://lnkd.in/gMdsMG67 #ICIS #economy #interestrates #FederalReserve #TheFed #unemployment #chemicals #chems #JamesRay
US Fed opens prospect of first rate cut, flags unemployment risk
icis.com
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🔔 US Economic Data 🔔 ✅ US Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.3% (F: 0.3%,P: 0.4%) ✅ US Non-Farm Employment Change 206K (F: 191K,P: 272K) ✅ US Unemployment Rate 4.1% (F: 4.0%,P: 4.0%) USDINR 83.49 DXY 104.84 #USD #USDINR #Economicdata #US #Dollar #NFPR #Unemployment #AverageHourlyEarnings #Interestrates #Forexmarket #DXY
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🔔 US Economic Data 🔔 ✅ US Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.4% (F: 0.3%,P: 0.2%) ✅ US Non-Farm Employment Change 272K (F: 182K,P: 175K) ✅ US Unemployment Rate 4.0% (F: 3.9%,P: 3.9%) USDINR 83.42 DXY 104.04 #USD #USDINR #Economicdata #US #Dollar #AverageHourlyEarnings #NFPR #Unemploymentrate #Interestrates #Forexmarket #DXY
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🔔 US Economic Data 🔔 ✅ US Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.3% (F: 0.3%,P: 0.1%) ✅ US Non-Farm Employment Change 303K (F: 212K,P: 275K) ✅ US Unemployment Rate 3.8% (F: 3.9%,P: 3.9%) USDINR 83.32 DXY 104.57 #USD #USDINR #Economicdata #US #Dollar #DXY #NFPR #UnemploymentRate #Interestrates
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