Hurricane Otis intensified shockingly fast — from tropical storm to category 5 in just 12 hours, defying forecasts. While hurricane forecasts have significantly improved over the years, climate change is now accelerating storms in ways that strain preparedness efforts. "Increasingly, intensification is not only occurring in the Pacific & Atlantic of our region, but also in the Indian Ocean. That is a challenge, both for climate services & the humanitarian response," says Juan Bazo, a climate scientist with Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre. Read an interview with Bazo to learn more about the impacts of climate change on hurricane forecasting and preparedness. He discusses solutions that National Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies can implement to better prepare communities in this era of unpredictable and intensifying storms: https://lnkd.in/ewpyewfC
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Storm Surges Off the Scale Our extreme weather has gotten so out of hand that the current scale for measuring it is insufficient. Climate scientists are now recommending that we extend the hurricane scale to a 6th level — category 6 — to account for climate change's impact on the damage incurred by storms of 193 miles per hour or more. Read more here: https://lnkd.in/eRHU5tQh
Hurricane Scale Should Be Extended to Include a Category 6, According to Some Climate Scientists
people.com
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Climate change plays a significant role in intensifying hurricanes like Debby. Hurricane Debby recently made landfall in Florida’s Big Bend region as a Category 1 storm, bringing with it the potential for record-setting rains, catastrophic flooding, and life-threatening storm surge. https://lnkd.in/dCmz_uuB This area is still recovering from Hurricane Idalia, which struck the same region last year and was the strongest hurricane to make landfall there in over 125 years. Climate change plays a significant role in intensifying hurricanes. As global warming continues, storms are becoming wetter, windier, and more intense. The warming ocean surface provides additional energy, fueling storm intensity and stronger winds. Additionally, a warmer atmosphere can hold more moisture, leading to increased rainfall during storms. In fact, during the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season, climate change boosted hourly rainfall rates in hurricane-force storms by 8%-11%, according to an April 2022 study in the journal Nature Communications.. https://lnkd.in/dj6rmm6T Scientists at NOAA project that with 2°C of warming, hurricane wind speeds could increase by up to 10%, and the proportion of storms reaching Category 4 or 5 intensity may rise by about 10% this century. https://lnkd.in/du76H9bv It’s a critical reminder of the impact of climate change on extreme weather events. Picture credit eameatribune #hurricanedebby #climatecrisis #climatechange #florida #hurricane
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Counting cyclone losses, Bangladeshis call for more climate action https://ow.ly/3pMy50ScGV5 With a record-breaking 2024 Atlantic hurricane forecast, here’s how scientists are helping Caribbean communities adapt to a warming world https://ow.ly/PzwT50ScGV6
With a record-breaking 2024 Atlantic hurricane forecast, here’s how scientists are helping Caribbean communities adapt to a warming world
theconversation.com
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😨 The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is already setting a precedent with storms that are significantly stronger than what we've historically seen at this point in the year. The Caribbean, a region known for its vibrant culture and breathtaking landscapes, is facing an increased threat from these powerful storms. Hurricane Beryl 🌪️, a category 5 storm, has already left a trail of devastation across the southeast Caribbean islands, highlighting the urgent need for climate resilience and adaptation strategies. The NOAA: National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration had predicted an 85% chance of an above-normal season, with a range of 17 to 25 named storms, including up to 13 hurricanes. This heightened activity is attributed to several factors, including near-record warm ocean temperatures and the development of La Niña conditions, which reduce wind shear and favour storm formation. #Climatechange is exacerbating the intensity of these storms. Warmer ocean temperatures 🌡️ contribute to more intense rainfall ⛈️and higher storm surges, increasing the risk of coastal flooding 🌊. Additionally, the frequency of storms may decrease or remain unchanged, but those that do form are more likely to become intense. Land erosion is a significant concern, with hurricanes accelerating the disappearance of wetlands. The loss of natural barriers such as mangroves and coral reefs 🪸, which traditionally protect shorelines, further compounds the issue, leaving coastal areas vulnerable to the erosive forces of storm surges and high winds. At Bind-X, we recognize the critical state of our climate and the imperative to act collectively to mitigate our #environmentalimpact. The current hurricane season serves as a stark reminder of the consequences of climate inaction. It's not just about protecting our planet 🌎; it's about safeguarding our communities, economies, and the very fabric of societies that are interwoven with these delicate ecosystems. We must embrace sustainable 🌱 practices to lower #carbonfootprint, and support policies that prioritise the health of our environment. By doing so, we can help reduce the severity of future storms and preserve our planet for generations to come. The time for action is now ⌛—let's unite 🤝 in our efforts to combat climate change and foster a resilient future for all. #ClimateAction #Sustainability #EnvironmentalProtection #BindXInitiative #Climatechange *Image from https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
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🚨 Things that should really worry us: ⚠ A cyclone of this intensity in June -> it is going to be a very active and intense Atlantic hurricane season this year. ⚠ Sea Surface Temperatures in the Atlantic are as high as 5°C above the normal average in the past month. “The time scale of the oceans is not as fast as the atmosphere,” Celeste Saulo, secretary general of the World Meteorological Organization, said earlier this year. “Once a change is established, I would say it’s almost irreversible in time scales that go from centennial to millennial.” #ClimateChange #ClimateAction #ClimateJustice https://lnkd.in/dkPhr9fe
Hurricane Beryl supercharged by ‘crazy’ ocean temperatures, experts say
theguardian.com
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Founding Member & Secretary at Janaswartha; Independent Filmmaker; Commercial Video Maker; Creative Writer; Professional Actor; Anchor
Climate change isn't increasing the number of hurricanes, it is intensifying the most powerful ones, making heavy rainfall and storm surges more severe. #HurricaneSeason #ClimateChange #NOAA #LaNiña #ExtremeWeather #CoastalSafety #GlobalWarming #StormPreparedness #RapidIntensification #SeaLevelRise
🌊 🌡️ 🌧️ Brace yourself for the Atlantic hurricane season ahead - The North Atlantic could see up to seven hurricanes of at least category three strength, which is DOUBLE the usual number. In a recent BBC article, Berkeley Lab scientist Michael Wehner explains that we're witnessing these unprecedented cyclones because of ocean warming from climate change. Learn more: https://bbc.in/4dPEecv Mark Poynting
Hurricane season in Atlantic to be 'extraordinary'
bbc.com
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The first hurricane of 2024, Hurricane Beyrl, is now in the books. Beryl reminded us that hurricanes are a powerful force of nature – a force that causes much fear and anxiety. 🤔 The stronger and more destructive the hurricane, the deeper it becomes ingrained in our collective consciousness. Katrina, Andrew, Sandy, Harvey – hurricane names that will forever be associated with destruction and death. Sadly, as with most destructive weather events, these events quickly become fodder for climate extremists to tie our fear of these events to “climate change” or more specifically, “man-made climate change.” Beryl is no exception, “Is Hurricane Beryl the sign of another dangerous storm season? Climate change is fueling the frequency and intensity of storms” cried the headline in The Week. Surprisingly, the actual data rarely matches the headline, a fact that seldom gets coverage in the mainstream media. Even government agencies, according to meteorologist and oceanographer Bob Cohen, often lead with alarming statements about increased weather severity, but the data show a different story. The truth is that the number of hurricanes (remaining offshore and making land) impacting the continental United States hasn’t significantly increased over the past century. https://lnkd.in/dyAjUJy5
Hurricanes and Climate Hysteria: Op-Ed - Florida Daily
https://www.floridadaily.com
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Climate change plays a significant role in intensifying hurricanes like Debby. Hurricane Debby recently made landfall in Florida’s Big Bend region as a Category 1 storm, bringing with it the potential for record-setting rains, catastrophic flooding, and life-threatening storm surge. https://lnkd.in/dijiQgaD This area is still recovering from Hurricane Idalia, which struck the same region last year and was the strongest hurricane to make landfall there in over 125 years. Climate change plays a significant role in intensifying hurricanes. As global warming continues, storms are becoming wetter, windier, and more intense. The warming ocean surface provides additional energy, fueling storm intensity and stronger winds. Additionally, a warmer atmosphere can hold more moisture, leading to increased rainfall during storms. In fact, during the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season, climate change boosted hourly rainfall rates in hurricane-force storms by 8%-11%, according to an April 2022 study in the journal Nature Communications.. https://lnkd.in/d-ZYhBV3 Scientists at NOAA project that with 2°C of warming, hurricane wind speeds could increase by up to 10%, and the proportion of storms reaching Category 4 or 5 intensity may rise by about 10% this century. https://lnkd.in/g6c5nF5t It’s a critical reminder of the impact of climate change on extreme weather events. Picture credit eameatribune #hurricanedebby #climatecrisis #climatechange #florida #hurribane
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#Hurricane #simulations: #VR, #AR and #AI can generate #climate #disaster #scenarios, #visualizations and #impact analyses. In 2016, my Swedish startup simulated #hurricane winds up to 175mph and 10-foot flooding in 2016, as well as #searise using Unreal 4.0. Policymakers could view stimulated and real-time disasters using 2D panels and/or 3D headsets and use VR/AR to rebuild their #communities since the #AEC industry uses digital twins. My 2019 article about #hurricanes https://lnkd.in/gAPYbnEu
As Hurricane Beryl continues to wreak havoc ahead of anyone's schedule, the unprecedented nature of the changes we are seeing is obvious. We live in a stochastic world that's unpredictable and that does not conform to the things we've ever seen before. Traditional historical catastrophe models (the CAT models used by insurers and others around the world) have relied heavily on past data to predict cyclone paths and their potential impacts. Those models are failing us now -- we need more dynamic and forward-looking approaches to better understand climate risk. At riskthinking.AI, we're using our expertise in stochastic data to pioneer a new way of understanding and predicting cyclone paths and their potential impacts. Our recent analysis of cyclone paths to better understand Hurricane Beryl exemplifies the need for this shift and demonstrates the power of stochastic modeling in an unpredictable environment. Using data from the International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) and combining that data with High-Resolution Global Climate Models, we've been able to simulate 60,000 years of hurricane activity for every basin on Earth. We use that data to develop a historic baseline that we can use to compare against the future risk profiles for the extreme events in the region we’ve seen in the simulations. In addition to better understanding what’s happening today and the near-term probabilities we face, we also need to look into the future 10, 20, 30 years from now to understand how risk profiles change based on how storm frequencies can change and how their tracks can change to know when new risks apply to a location and anticipate entirely new storm paths that have not occurred yet. This is what our simulations let us do. We can assess the potential path these storms may take in their evolution, where they will make landfall, when, how big can the storm get (i.e. eye radius), how fast it will move, what category will it be at landfall, and evaluate if there is a chance of rapid intensification. We can probabilistically answer these questions and in doing so help the world better prepare for difficult days like these so they don’t come as so much of a surprise. Our thoughts go out to everyone in the region. #HurricaneBeryl #ClimateRisk #FinancialRisk
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People-centric leader with a proven track record in leading resilience portfolios at the state and national level
Sharing a great article I found from my WSP in the U.S. colleagues about crazy climate facts. A couple of the most surprising to me: 1. This ratio of severe weather damage to hurricane damage was at least 10 to 1. 2. Wildfires scorched 17 times as much land in Canada as in the U.S. 3. Hurricane Hilary is the only named system to hold records in four U.S. states for the largest storm-total rainfall from a single tropical cyclone or its remnants.
Ten ‘you must be kidding’ weather and climate facts of 2023 » Yale Climate Connections
http://yaleclimateconnections.org
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