Great coverage by CRE Daily. Rent control does not work, plain and simple.
It surprises me that this idea is even entertained at this point in the cycle, given that the majority of real estate operators are already facing numerous challenges.
While the concept of capping rent may sound appealing to those unfamiliar with the industry, it's just not that simple.
Investors often avoid rent-controlled properties, and why is that?
1️⃣ Rent control limits the potential returns on investment.
▪ Don't get me wrong, the upfront modeling of an opportunity should never exceed ~3%.
▪ But, for obvious reasons, investors want to exceed expectations. This is the reality of capitalism.
2️⃣ Rent control can severely impact property owners in worst-case scenarios, leading to substantial losses or even foreclosure. Let’s consider a hypothetical scenario...
▪ Imagine a 200-unit property that is fully occupied generating ~$3.12m in NOI (Net Operating Income), valuing it at ~$57m with a 5.5% cap rate.
▪ A crisis occurs, reducing occupancy to 50%.
▪ The annual debt service is ~$2.12m and while the property was generating solid cash flow at full occupancy, the owner can no longer cover the debt payments at 50% occupancy.
▪ To avoid losing the property, the owner significantly lowers rents on the vacant 100 units to get back to full occupancy as fast as possible.
▪ The property becomes cash flow positive again with an NOI of ~$2.52m, valuing it at ~$46m with the same 5.5% cap rate.
▪ This results in a ~$11m decrease in value (almost 20%) and, due to rent control, it will take several years for the property to return to its original rent levels.
▪ Now there's a high likelihood the property may deteriorate over time with minimal maintenance or improvements, as the owner has little incentive to invest further in a property with restricted income potential.
❗In my opinion, if the government aims to curtail rent increases, the most effective approach is to heavily subsidize new development.
New construction has plummeted in recent years due to high building and financing costs. The fundamental issue has always been, and will continue to be, supply.
What are your thoughts on rent control?
#CRE #economics #development #investments #rentcontrol
President Biden is urging Congress to implement a national rent control measure that would cap rent increases at 5% per year for approximately 20 million rental units. This policy targets landlords with over 50 units, who would lose federal tax breaks if they exceed the cap.
Biden also announced plans to repurpose federal lands for affordable housing. The Bureau of Land Management will consider selling 20 acres in Nevada at below-market rates to create affordable housing, and the US Postal Service plans to repurpose unused properties for housing. Additionally, $325M in grants will be distributed to seven cities to revitalize neighborhoods.
Biden's proposal faces steep odds in Congress, especially with the upcoming November elections and a GOP-controlled House. Nevertheless, the proposal aims to address voter concerns over high housing costs, a significant component of inflation.
Keep reading 🔗 https://lnkd.in/eQtvCT5X
#rents #policy #biden #multifamily #housingcrisis
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Entrepreneur - Strategic Thinker - Experienced Practitioner
1moThe Biden Administration has proposed a major increase in federal funding for affordable housing that would move the nation closer to achieving those goals. For the plan to work and increase supply, homeownership, and affordability, it should substantially expand the construction and finance of entry-level/for-sale homes at a more accessible cost (-20,30, 40% below the area estimated medium home value). The equity that is available to homeowners, is something that drives first-time buyers to enter the market and start building generational wealth. Increasing rates of homeownership in minority communities can be a force for social healing -closing the racial and ethnic disparities in housing markets while transforming challenged neighborhoods into thriving communities.