Open Privilege’s Post

🚨 Things that should really worry us: ⚠ A cyclone of this intensity in June -> it is going to be a very active and intense Atlantic hurricane season this year. ⚠ Sea Surface Temperatures in the Atlantic are as high as 5°C above the normal average in the past month. “The time scale of the oceans is not as fast as the atmosphere,” Celeste Saulo, secretary general of the World Meteorological Organization, said earlier this year. “Once a change is established, I would say it’s almost irreversible in time scales that go from centennial to millennial.” #ClimateChange #ClimateAction #ClimateJustice https://lnkd.in/dkPhr9fe

How Climate Change Is Affecting Hurricane Intensity and Frequency Climate change is profoundly impacting hurricane intensity and frequency, transforming the landscape of storm behavior and posing significant risks to coastal communities worldwide. The primary driver of this phenomenon is the increase in sea surface te... [...] #ClimateChange #Hurricane #WEather Read more... https://lnkd.in/d27e8CVt

#Hurricanes #NOAA "The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration warned Thursday that the United States could face one of its worst hurricane seasons in two decades as the agency issued its most aggressive outlook ever. Government meteorologists predicted 17 to 25 tropical storms and said eight to 13 of them are likely to become hurricanes, including four to seven “major” hurricanes. The forecast underscores how record-hot ocean temperatures have increased the risk of destructive weather. “This season is looking to be an extraordinary one,” NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad said. Tropical activity could outpace even a record flurry of storms in 2005, perhaps starting earlier and persisting even longer. That May, warm waters across the tropical Atlantic Ocean prompted warnings of an active hurricane season, but the season exceeded all expectations with a record-smashing 28 storms and seven major hurricanes, including Hurricane Katrina. Now, tropical Atlantic waters are “dramatically” hotter than they were 19 years ago, NOAA’s lead hurricane season forecaster Matthew Rosencrans said — already as warm as they would be in a typical August. And cyclones are intensifying about three times faster than they did decades ago as they approach the coast, according to new research. The trends are largely the consequence of an atmospheric blanket of human-emitted greenhouse gases warming the planet. Evidence of the increasing hurricane risk has mounted with each monster storm that analyses show were juiced by global warming. Adding to storm risks this year is a natural planetary shift known to make conditions more ripe for tropical Atlantic activity, from a fading El Niño climate pattern to La Niña by the heart of hurricane season. A similar shift occurred over the record-setting 2005 hurricane season. ... Given how warm the Atlantic is this spring — with global ocean surface waters having run a fever of record-setting average heat for more than a year — simple physics suggests it will remain warmer than normal for many months to come. It takes water much longer than land to warm and cool. Across the tropical Atlantic zone in which storms develop, average surface temperatures are running 1 to 2 degrees Celsius (1.8 to 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) above normal, Rosencrans said. Warmer water means more energy for tropical storms to feed off and unleash. And the expectation of a budding La Niña pattern by late summer or early fall means atmospheric patterns will probably be conducive for storms to organize into tightly spinning systems with defined eyes and violent surrounding winds in what are known as eyewalls. When La Niña is in place, marked by cooler-than-normal waters across the central and eastern Pacific Ocean, atmospheric circulation patterns tend to reduce what is known as wind shear. When wind shear is low, it means there is relatively little difference in wind speeds and directions at varying altitudes, which helps tropical storms spin ..."

How Climate Change Is Affecting Hurricane Intensity and Frequency Climate change is profoundly impacting hurricane intensity and frequency, transforming the landscape of storm behavior and posing significant risks to coastal communities worldwide. The primary driver of this phenomenon is… #ClimateChange #Hurricane #WEather >>> Read more

June 1 marks the first day of the Atlantic #HurricaneSeason. This year NOAA: National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration predicts 4-7 major hurricanes. This is a big concern for all of us with teams and operations on the Atlantic and Gulf Coast. Let's remember two things: (1) Don't forget to revisit your personal and professional crisis management plans - preparation saves lives! (2) Climate change does not equal weather, but the science is pretty clear that our changing climate leads to more extreme weather events, including more severe storms, flooding, or droughts #CrisisManagement #Operations #ClimateChange

"Hurricanes are becoming so strong due to the climate crisis that the classification of them should be expanded to include a “category 6” storm, furthering the scale from the standard 1 to 5, according to a new study. Over the past decade, five storms would have been classed at this new category 6 strength, researchers said, which would include all hurricanes with sustained winds of 192mph or more. Such mega-hurricanes are becoming more likely due to global heating, studies have found, due to the warming of the oceans and atmosphere." https://lnkd.in/euv8GBKK

Stories of Hurricane Beryl impacting the Caribbean and Gulf region highlights the importance of building climate resilience. In the World Economic Forum’s Global Risks Report 2024, Aon CEO Greg Case explained: “Amid increasing volatility and complexity, there is a significant opportunity for organizations to become more resilient to climate and catastrophe.” Read more: https://aon.io/45LrIqV #Climate #Hurricane #HurricaneBeryl

As hurricane season unfolds in the Atlantic, these powerful storms are already making their presence felt. Hurricanes are predicted to become increasingly destructive and costly, impacting both human lives and ecosystems, such as coral reefs. Here, we explore the efforts of researchers who are monitoring coral health to safeguard these vital ecosystems from the devastating impacts of hurricanes. Find out more: https://brnw.ch/21wLqJh #hurricane #openscience #ecologicalrestoration

Is there a climate for a change in hurricane measurement? – researchers #climatechange #hurricanemeasurement #hurricanes #emergingrisks https://lnkd.in/ewra4hDx

"Hurricane Helene has fed on record levels of upper ocean heat content in the Gulf, favoring very rapid intensification, Mann said. 'Helene is a poster-child for the ways that human-caused climate change is amplifying the coastal threat from intensified hurricanes combined with rising sea levels,' he added." It's encouraging to see more news and weather outlets reporting on the science linking #extremeweather to human-caused #climatechange. Now we just need more people to pay attention to that reporting. https://lnkd.in/eceUn2aC