On this episode of Linecraft, Jacob Fortinsky was joined by Judah Fortgang, an expert in sports analytics and a professional bettor. With a background in political philosophy and a passion for sports, Judah has carved out a unique niche in the world of sports betting. He currently works in R&D and betting at Pro Football Focus (PFF), where he leverages his analytical skills and deep understanding of football to identify edges in the betting markets. Throughout our conversation, Judah shared his approach to gaining an edge in sports betting by challenging conventional wisdom and looking beyond surface-level trends. By combining rigorous analysis with a willingness to question established norms, Judah has developed a winning strategy that can help bettors at all stages step up their game and get more wins. Here's a glimpse of what gets covered in the episode: - [05:00] The transition from political philosophy to sports analytics - [11:36] Weighing the impact of different positions and player grades - [16:15] Handicapping strategy and building models from first principles - [27:03] Mastering the art of the same game parlay - [32:14] Market taking vs market making: Pros, cons, and the future of exchanges - [39:47] Reflecting on trends and the evolution of football analytics - [44:12] Advice for aspiring analysts: Focus on questions over model complexity - [50:55] Bold predictions for the upcoming NFL season Catch the full episode with Judah Fortgang here: novig.co/linecraft
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After digesting the Detroit Lions loss I wrote about the issues with analytics in sports. Take a min to read and share this article. You can also watch and see Sideline Sports talk all about it on Sideline Sports right in the article. https://lnkd.in/gfX4DMdH
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Cracking the Code: College | Achieve 70% Success Rate! Week 7 19-11=1=60.7=$7,900 profit 74-48=60 .9%=$22,300 profit The ESBC NFL and Sports Betting Podcast is a show dedicated to discussing the National Football League (NFL) and sports betting. This podcast provides a platform for sports enthusiasts and bettors to gain insights, analysis, and predictions related to NFL games and betting opportunities. It covers various aspects of the NFL, including game previews, player evaluations, team strategies, and more. Key features of the ESBC NFL and Sports Betting Podcast: NFL Game Previews: The podcast offers in-depth previews of upcoming NFL games, discussing key matchups, player injuries, and team statistics to help listeners make informed betting decisions. Betting Strategies: The hosts share their sports betting strategies, tips, and advice, including discussions on point spreads, over/under totals, and prop bets. Expert Analysis: Experts …
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🚀 Are you ready to embark on a journey through the cosmos of trending topics? The stars align as Trevor Bauer, a former Cy Young winner, captures the attention of the Miami Marlins for a potential league minimum signing. 🌌 The Marlins are eager to fortify their pitching roster, and speculations soar as discussions heat up around Bauer's possible move to the team. But wait, what about the NFL? Enter NFL free agency - a saga of anticipation and excitement as running backs like Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry, Josh Jacobs, and Austin Ekeler enter the market. 🏈 Football fans are abuzz with discussions about potential moves and acquisitions during this offseason period. So, how will these gravitational forces shape the landscapes of both baseball and football? The energy around these trending sports topics is magnetic, drawing fans and analysts into a spiraling vortex of updates and speculations. ⚾️🔥 The chatter about Bauer's potential Marlins deal and the high-profile running backs hitting NFL free agency has ignited a supernova of interests, fueling significant online searches and engagement. But what will be the ultimate outcome of these cosmic events in the sports community? Engage with us! What are your predictions for these potential player transactions and team developments? Share your cosmic insights in the comments below! 🌠 Ready to amplify your own story and rise as a star in the digital universe? Soar to new heights by visiting us at https://lnkd.in/gUxjfrt7 for 30 days of social media posts. You're destined for greatness! 🚀✨ #SportsBuzz #TrendingTopics #NFLFreeAgency #MLBTalk #FanEngagement #DigitalStorytelling #PersonalEmpowerment
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Wanted to take a moment to highlight a somewhat niche but still really cool new sports analytics thing…and to sing the praises of my wonderful former colleague, Matt Morris. 👏🏽 👏🏽 The new “Group Forecast” feature in ESPN’s 🏀 Tournament Challenge takes each bracket’s current *and future* picks and calculates out all potential final group standings based on the 32,768 different ways the rest of the tournament could play out. Using the BPI-based probability of each of those possibilities, it computes the overall chance that each entry will actually win the pool (and finish Top 3 or 5), along with the future outcomes to root for/against to maximize the bracket’s chance of winning. Basically, it sizes up how your group could look *at the end of the tournament*, not just right now. There’s some counterintuitive but interesting stuff that comes out, like a bracket with fewer current and potential max points having a better chance to win the group than others with more (current/potential) points, due to having more differentiated (and still reasonably probable) picks in the higher-value later rounds. Somewhat related: my wife is currently crushing me on the men’s side - she’s 1st and I’m last, 130 points behind - but we have similar chances to win the group because of my unique pick of Arizona winning the title (and some other differences among the brackets in our group). Who said analytics was taking the fun out of the game? 🙂 Now, on Matt: I still remember thinking how awesome it was when he showed a prototype of this analysis to me at ESPN nearly a decade ago. He’d run it “ad hoc” for his own groups (and mine, cause he was nice) in between the Sweet 16 and Final Four, and we talked about how cool it would be to have this built into actual tournament pools each March. (Sidenote: this was one of countless cool and amazing things Matt did while we worked together. He’s 1 of the best colleagues I ever had, and I learned so much from him. 🙏🏽 ) Fast forward to 2024 and the group forecast is actually in there for both the Men’s and Women’s Tournament Challenge - a great story of perseverance from Matt, and a great experience for fans. Congrats to all at ESPN involved in creating this feature! 🎉 #SportsAnalytics #NCAATournament
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🏈 Excitement is building as the big game approaches! Which team will reign supreme in Las Vegas? Dive into our latest blog post where we dissect readership data to predict the winner and uncover surprising trends leading up to this historic night in football. 🏆 Read more here: https://ow.ly/uaQ650QzrVv #BigGame #BigGamePredictions #DataAnalysis #HalftimeShow #MarketingTrends #DigitalMarketing #ChiefsVs49ers
A Snapshot of Super Bowl LVIII, Told by Taboola’s Readership Data
blog.taboola.com
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Play-by-Play Announcer | Sports and Lifestyle Media Executive | Entrepreneur | Professor | Speaker I Leadership in Broadcasting, Podcasting, Content Development
Be Heard: The Art of Moving On This past week, the Washington Commanders threaded an interesting perceptual needle. They traded away two prominent players from a 3 and 5 team yet wanted to position the moves publicly not as a sign of disinterest in competing for a playoff spot this year. This created an interesting news cycle vacuum. What they leaned on was the promise of a developing young quarterback, Sam Howell. Here is where the action plan was implemented (and successfully thanks to a stellar performance by Howell in the following game at New England): -The Press Conferences in the immediate aftermath of the trades were littered with positive messaging about the growth and development of Howell on the premise that all moves are about the future successes of the team. -Questions about the trades themselves were not given lengthy explanations and answers about direct questions were diverted to Howell and the positive growth of their young quarterback. -The team social media roll out had posts profiling Howell as the team's focal point of hope and growth labelling him "QB1" as in the quarterback of the team. For those in sports, this is a known parlance. The reasons behind dealing two former first round draft picks (both defensive ends) Chase Young and Montez Sweat are nuanced but rarely does that filter into public perception. So, the calculation was to divert attention away from moves that short term, in all likelihood, wouldn't help the team succeed. What is unknown is how a cycle will play out. Thanks to a strong performance in New England by Howell (look at the media focus on the Commanders in the aftermath of the win), the page was successfully turned, and the focus was shifted squarely on the future and hope. If the team was playing poker, they just won a big pot. For all inquiries for consultation and speaking engagements please email me at [email protected] and to learn more about me, look at this link to my personal website: https://lnkd.in/eCsarmWb
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Profit-for-Purpose Founder and CEO | Helping companies and institutions pursue ethical exits via strategic, mission-aligned M&A | $400M+ in career wins | Championing regenerative wealth transfer and philanthropy
On game day, here are some Super Bowl LVIII facts that you may have not heard of and might just blow your mind: 🎟️𝗧𝗶𝗰𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗣𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗲𝘀 𝗦𝗸𝘆-𝗛𝗶𝗴𝗵: The cheapest ticket? A whopping $5,700. For those seeking the ultra-premium experience, will shell out up to $75,000 for select seats. 💰𝗙𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗪𝗶𝗻𝘀: Players on the winning team bag a $157,000 bonus, with the runners-up not left empty-handed, receiving $82,000. 🏈𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗕𝗮𝗹𝗹 𝗚𝗮𝗺𝗲: Each team gets 108 footballs for the game - 54 for practice and 54 for game day. 🎥𝗖𝗼𝗺𝗺𝗲𝗿𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗖𝗿𝗮𝘇𝗶𝗻𝗲𝘀𝘀: A 30-second TV spot during the Super Bowl costs up to $7 million. 🍗𝗪𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗜𝘁: Over 1.4 billion chicken wings will be consumed, highlighting the event's massive cultural impact. 👪𝗩𝗶𝗲𝘄𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗵𝗶𝗽: More than 100 million people are expected to tune in, showcasing the Super Bowl as the pinnacle of sports broadcasting in the U.S. 👀𝗔 𝗥𝗲𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗛𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘆: The Chiefs and 49ers face off for the second time in four years. Both times, Biden and Trump were running for President. 🏆𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗟𝗼𝗺𝗯𝗮𝗿𝗱𝗶 𝗧𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗵𝘆: Weighing in at 7 pounds of sterling silver and standing 22 inches tall, it's the coveted prize for the victor. The Super Bowl is not just a game; it's a cultural phenomenon that brings together sports, entertainment, and culinary excess in a spectacle unmatched worldwide. 🏆🍗🎤
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If you’re into the intersection of Artificial Intelligence + Sports, I think you might enjoy our 15 minute Gemini Sports Analytics Fireside Chat series. Episode #1 is a rapid fire conversation with two rockstars, Ally Brabant + Chris Carrieri. I can’t say enough about how much I value working with them everyday and think you'll see why if you watch this video. Top 5 reasons to consider carving 15 minutes out of your Sunday to watch Episode #1: 1: You’re curious about how Sports teams can convert 100,000+ pages of scouting reports written over the last 20+ years into a format that can be combined with quantitative data sets to create Machine Learning models that can be used to help Owners, General Managers, Coaches and Scouts make better Sports decisions aka Intellectual Property. 2: You’re interested in making #1 real via examples tied to the National Football League (NFL) and the upcoming Draft on Thursday 04.25 so your team can win the Draft and ultimately win more games. 3: You want to understand more broadly, beyond the NFL, how teams in any Sport / League can improve the way they bring Technical Expertise together with Sports Expertise to close gaps that can directly impact their on-field performance. 4: You’re curious why I brag about how awesome Ally and Chris are and of course, how much they LOVE soccer…and how Ally and I share our Derek Jeter aka The Captain fandom and Chris and I could go on and on about Mark Bavaro…who couldn’t, really? 5: You wonder why I talk about Tom Brady aka TB12 being overlooked as a Draft prospect so often and how we can take a 20,000 jigsaw puzzle down to 50 pieces to help NFL teams more efficiently find the next TB12 vs waiting until the 199th pick to take the GOAT who was / is SO DEDICATED to his craft… 🏆 🏆 🏆
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With the rise of sports betting's legality in the past two years, bettors have also now begun to leverage AI in making their picks. Check out this article on the analytics systems used by those @ The Sports Geek to feed their AI model for this past NFL season. They even give insight to their model's picks on this weekends divisional round playoff games! #artificialintelligence #sportsanalytics #sportsbetting
The Sports Geek’s A.I. Picks NFL Betting Record
thesportsgeek.com
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🗃️ “We'll have an understanding of the same customer but from a different angle because we have the first-party data.” ⚽ Marcus Mellor, in our latest episode of 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐅𝐚𝐧 𝐄𝐧𝐠𝐚𝐠𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐏𝐨𝐝𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭, speaks about Burnley Football Club’s first-party data strategy and how they leverage it to attract sponsors and commercial partners. Listen to the full episode here 👉 https://bit.ly/3zHXAk5 #fanengagement #fandata
#11 Marcus Mellor, Burnley FC – How one of England’s oldest football clubs is engaging U.S. fans
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